Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19950" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1">Oriental Watch Holdings (398 HK)</a> has been performing strongly since my write-up late 2017. Shares are up 55% since then (from 1.75 HKD to 2.70 HKD recently). The company's financial year ends in March and we patiently await the release of their full-year figures in 30-40 days time. Before the results are published there is a high probability we get a positive profit alert. The release of the profit alert and announcement of the full year earnings should both be positive events for the company.<div class="content-highlight">Wh…</div>

Oriental Watch Holdings (398 HK) has been performing strongly since my write-up late 2017. Shares are up 55% since then (from 1.75 HKD to 2.70 HKD recently). The company's financial year ends in March and we patiently await the release of their full-year figures in 30-40 days time. Before the results are published there is a high probability we get a positive profit alert. The release of the profit alert and announcement of the full year earnings should both be positive events for the company.Wh…

Oriental Watch: +55% in Last 5 Months; Several Data Points Suggest More Upside Ahead

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform using the Discovery Tool.  Notable themes include:<ul><li>Energy and Materials stocks continue to strengthen, with the exception of Australian names. </li><li>Financial stocks are strengthening, excluding Australian names. </li><li>Regional casino and education stocks are exhibiting uptrends.</li></ul>See the attached report for a complete list of our recommendations from this list.

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform using the Discovery Tool.  Notable themes include:Energy and Materials stocks continue to strengthen, with the exception of Australian names. Financial stocks are strengthening, excluding Australian names. Regional casino and education stocks are exhibiting uptrends.See the attached report for a complete list of our recommendations from this list.

Popular Stocks, Attractive and Unattractive Charts

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Macroeconomics

Have you read economics papers from the 1950s or material Alan Greenspan wrote in his early days? Certainly nothing to write home about. But then again, have we thought about the status and impact of economic series that have been coming out over the last 10-20 years. The headline tools haven’t changed much have they?Of course this is why hedge funds and more creative types have been hunting for new data series for awhile, as seen in pieces such as this <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/28/making-millions-from-the-data-hidden-in-plain-sight.html" target="_blank">one</a>  Hey: it turns out some bulk shipping…

Have you read economics papers from the 1950s or material Alan Greenspan wrote in his early days? Certainly nothing to write home about. But then again, have we thought about the status and impact of economic series that have been coming out over the last 10-20 years. The headline tools haven’t changed much have they?Of course this is why hedge funds and more creative types have been hunting for new data series for awhile, as seen in pieces such as this one  Hey: it turns out some bulk shipping…

Fund Manager Meeting Notes: Economists Back to Drawing Board

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Oriental Watch exhibits some clear break points to take action and a compelling weekly chart cycle that sets the stage for a bullish resolution out of the range. How long this flat range extends is the risk before we see upside ignition. Noise risk would stem from a temporary break below lower pattern support.When price trades flat as daily and weekly indicator cycles pullback, it typically is a bullish set up as the weekly RSI coils to unleash a fresh up cycle. The daily cycle will lead a the…

Oriental Watch exhibits some clear break points to take action and a compelling weekly chart cycle that sets the stage for a bullish resolution out of the range. How long this flat range extends is the risk before we see upside ignition. Noise risk would stem from a temporary break below lower pattern support.When price trades flat as daily and weekly indicator cycles pullback, it typically is a bullish set up as the weekly RSI coils to unleash a fresh up cycle. The daily cycle will lead a the…

Oriental Watch Bullish Resolution and Action Points

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19950" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1">Oriental Watch Holdings (398 HK)</a> is a HK/China watch retailer listed in HK since 1993</li><li>Rental prices in HK have dropped sharply and consumer sentiment in HK is improving</li><li>Oriental reached peak valuation of 6.2 HKD in July 2011</li><li>Oriental bottomed at 0.9 HKD in July 2016</li><li>With shares recently around 1.75 HKD they have doubled from last year but are still very cheap</li><li>Market cap is 1B HKD (128M USD) but EV only 221M HKD (28M USD)</li><li>First Half results showed turnaround, Second Half to be even better</li><li>Management moving to 90% payout as expansion plans are on hold: potential 10% yield in 2018</li><li>Fair Value: should trade at least at 0.75x book (2.9 HKD), or 65% upside </li></ul>

Oriental Watch Holdings (398 HK) is a HK/China watch retailer listed in HK since 1993Rental prices in HK have dropped sharply and consumer sentiment in HK is improvingOriental reached peak valuation of 6.2 HKD in July 2011Oriental bottomed at 0.9 HKD in July 2016With shares recently around 1.75 HKD they have doubled from last year but are still very cheapMarket cap is 1B HKD (128M USD) but EV only 221M HKD (28M USD)First Half results showed turnaround, Second Half to be even betterManagement moving to 90% payout as expansion plans are on hold: potential 10% yield in 2018Fair Value: should trade at least at 0.75x book (2.9 HKD), or 65% upside 

Oriental Watch: 0.45x Book, 2x 2018 Ex-Cash P/E, 78% of Mkt Cap Is Cash; 10% Dividend Likely in 2018

Hong Kong

Oriental Watch Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, trades watches and invests in properties.

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Oriental Watch (398 HK)

Oriental Watch: +55% in Last 5 Months; Several Data Points Suggest More Upside Ahead

Oriental Watch Holdings (398 HK) has been performing strongly since my write-up late 2017. Shares are up 55% since then (from 1.75 HKD to 2.70 HKD...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Popular Stocks, Attractive and Unattractive Charts

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform...

Vermilion Research

Fund Manager Meeting Notes: Economists Back to Drawing Board

Have you read economics papers from the 1950s or material Alan Greenspan wrote in his early days? Certainly nothing to write home about. But then...

Charles De Trenck

Oriental Watch Bullish Resolution and Action Points

Oriental Watch exhibits some clear break points to take action and a compelling weekly chart cycle that sets the stage for a bullish resolution out...

Thomas Schroeder

Oriental Watch: 0.45x Book, 2x 2018 Ex-Cash P/E, 78% of Mkt Cap Is Cash; 10% Dividend Likely in 2018

Oriental Watch Holdings (398 HK) is a HK/China watch retailer listed in HK since 1993 Rental prices in HK have dropped sharply and consumer...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

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52-week Range

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