Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

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Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Oct-24, Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN) acquired 46.8% stake in Orient Cement (ORCMNT IN) at Rs. 396 per share.</li>
<li>Now Orient cement is trading at 20% discount to open offer price.</li>
<li>This process can take approx. 2 months and can generate ~10-15% risk adjusted return by Jan-25.</li>
</ul>


In Oct-24, Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN) acquired 46.8% stake in Orient Cement (ORCMNT IN) at Rs. 396 per share.
Now Orient cement is trading at 20% discount to open offer price.
This process can take approx. 2 months and can generate ~10-15% risk adjusted return by Jan-25.


Event Driven: Arbitrage Opportunity in Orient Cement Open Offer by Ambuja

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Ambuja Cements’ Acquisition of Stake in Orient Cement Limited: On October 22, 2024, Ambuja Cements, part of the Adani Group, announced its acquisition of a 46.8% stake in Orient Cement Limited (OCL) for Rs 8,100 Cr at Rs 395 per share.</li><li>As part of this transaction, Ambuja will make an open offer to OCL’s public shareholders for an additional 26% stake.</li><li>On November 6, 2024, Ambuja Cements extended an open offer to acquire 5.34 Cr shares at Rs 395.40/share, amounting to Rs 2,112 Cr, for eligible shareholders of Orient Cement Limited by the SEBI (Substantial Acquisition of Shares and Takeovers) Regulations, 2011.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ambuja Cements’ Acquisition of Stake in Orient Cement Limited: On October 22, 2024, Ambuja Cements, part of the Adani Group, announced its acquisition of a 46.8% stake in Orient Cement Limited (OCL) for Rs 8,100 Cr at Rs 395 per share.As part of this transaction, Ambuja will make an open offer to OCL’s public shareholders for an additional 26% stake.On November 6, 2024, Ambuja Cements extended an open offer to acquire 5.34 Cr shares at Rs 395.40/share, amounting to Rs 2,112 Cr, for eligible shareholders of Orient Cement Limited by the SEBI (Substantial Acquisition of Shares and Takeovers) Regulations, 2011.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Orient Cement Limited - Lackluster Operating Performance

<ul><li>The company’s capacity expansion at its Chitapur plant in Karnataka (3 mtpa Clinker and 3 mtpa Grinding unit) is awaiting environmental clearance, with work expected to start by Q3FY25.</li><li>The plant is anticipated to be commissioned in the next 15- 18 months.</li><li>Additionally, the expansion at the Devapur plant is delayed due to pending forest clearance from the relevant authorities.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The company’s capacity expansion at its Chitapur plant in Karnataka (3 mtpa Clinker and 3 mtpa Grinding unit) is awaiting environmental clearance, with work expected to start by Q3FY25.The plant is anticipated to be commissioned in the next 15- 18 months.Additionally, the expansion at the Devapur plant is delayed due to pending forest clearance from the relevant authorities.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Orient Cement Limited - Capacity Expansion Delayed; Downgrade To SELL

<ul>
<li>OCL reported numbers that were above consensus estimates but below our estimates. Its Revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew by 1%/6%/1% YoY (below expectations).</li>
<li>The company reported flattish growth in Volume YoY but up 24% QoQ at 1.73 mtpa .It reported a PAT of Rs 68 Cr against Rs 67 Cr last year.</li>
<li>The company recorded an EBITDA margin of 16.7% (vs. expectations of 17.4%) against 15.9% YoY. </li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


OCL reported numbers that were above consensus estimates but below our estimates. Its Revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew by 1%/6%/1% YoY (below expectations).
The company reported flattish growth in Volume YoY but up 24% QoQ at 1.73 mtpa .It reported a PAT of Rs 68 Cr against Rs 67 Cr last year.
The company recorded an EBITDA margin of 16.7% (vs. expectations of 17.4%) against 15.9% YoY. 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Orient Cement - Volume Growth Flattish; Retain HOLD

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambuja-cements-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14745:1" rel="noopener">Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN)</a>, established in 1983 by traders Narotam Sekhsaria and Suresh Neotia, leveraged strategic foresight to become a premier Indian cement giant within the diversified Adani Group.</li>
<li>In 2022, Adani acquired Ambuja Cement at INR 385/share, valuing it at INR 49,620 crore ($6.4 billion), at EBITDA/ton levels (INR900-INR1,000) similar to the company's current performance.</li>
<li>Ambuja Cement is strategically positioned to achieve a substantial 44% increase in its cement production capacity by FY28, reaching a total of 140 MTPA from the current 97 MTPA.</li>
</ul>



Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN), established in 1983 by traders Narotam Sekhsaria and Suresh Neotia, leveraged strategic foresight to become a premier Indian cement giant within the diversified Adani Group.
In 2022, Adani acquired Ambuja Cement at INR 385/share, valuing it at INR 49,620 crore ($6.4 billion), at EBITDA/ton levels (INR900-INR1,000) similar to the company's current performance.
Ambuja Cement is strategically positioned to achieve a substantial 44% increase in its cement production capacity by FY28, reaching a total of 140 MTPA from the current 97 MTPA.


The Beat Ideas: Adani Cements:  Massive 140 MTPA Capacity Expansion, A Roadmap to FY28

India

Orient Cement Limited manufactures and distributes cement.

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Orient Cement (ORCMNT IN)

Event Driven: Arbitrage Opportunity in Orient Cement Open Offer by Ambuja

Ambuja Cements acquired stake in Orient Cement at Rs. 396 per share, now trading at 20% discount, potential for 10-15% return by Jan-25.

Nimish Maheshwari

Orient Cement Limited - Lackluster Operating Performance

On October 22, 2024, Ambuja Cements, part of the Adani Group, announced its acquisition of a 46.8% stake in Orient Cement Limited (OCL) for Rs...

Axis Direct

Orient Cement Limited - Capacity Expansion Delayed; Downgrade To SELL

The company’s capacity expansion at its Chitapur plant in Karnataka (3 mtpa Clinker and 3 mtpa Grinding unit) is awaiting environmental clearance,...

Axis Direct

Orient Cement - Volume Growth Flattish; Retain HOLD

OCL reported numbers that were above consensus estimates but below our estimates. Its Revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew by 1%/6%/1% YoY (below expectations).

Axis Direct

The Beat Ideas: Adani Cements: Massive 140 MTPA Capacity Expansion, A Roadmap to FY28

Ambuja Cements, founded by Sekhsaria and Neotia, was acquired by Adani in 2022 for INR 49,620 crore, with plans to increase production capacity to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Event Driven: Arbitrage Opportunity in Orient Cement Open Offer by Ambuja

​Ambuja Cements acquired stake in Orient Cement at Rs. 396 per share, now trading at 20% discount, potential for 10-15% return by Jan-25.

Nimish Maheshwari

Orient Cement Limited - Lackluster Operating Performance

On October 22, 2024, Ambuja Cements, part of the Adani Group, announced its acquisition of a 46.8% stake in Orient Cement Limited (OCL) for Rs...

Axis Direct

Orient Cement Limited - Capacity Expansion Delayed; Downgrade To SELL

The company’s capacity expansion at its Chitapur plant in Karnataka (3 mtpa Clinker and 3 mtpa Grinding unit) is awaiting environmental clearance,...

Axis Direct

Orient Cement - Volume Growth Flattish; Retain HOLD

OCL reported numbers that were above consensus estimates but below our estimates. Its Revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew by 1%/6%/1% YoY (below expectations).

Axis Direct

The Beat Ideas: Adani Cements: Massive 140 MTPA Capacity Expansion, A Roadmap to FY28

​Ambuja Cements, founded by Sekhsaria and Neotia, was acquired by Adani in 2022 for INR 49,620 crore, with plans to increase production capacity to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Ambuja Cements acquired stake in Orient Cement at Rs. 396 per share, now trading at 20% discount, potential for 10-15% return by Jan-25.

Ambuja Cements, founded by Sekhsaria and Neotia, was acquired by Adani in 2022 for INR 49,620 crore, with plans to increase production capacity to...