IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebixcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36390:1" rel="noopener">EbixCash (EBIXC IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix Inc (EBIX US)</a> and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July. </li>
<li>In <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ebixcash-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:108206" rel="noopener">EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining revenue visibility and deteriorating cash generation.</li>
</ul>



EbixCash (EBIXC IN), a subsidiary of Ebix Inc (EBIX US) and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July. 
In EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining revenue visibility and deteriorating cash generation.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samhi-hotels-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28359:1" rel="noopener">SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN)</a>  plans to raise around US$200m (estimated) in its Indian IPO.</li>
<li>Samhi is India’s third-largest hotel asset owner, by number of keys, with a portfolio of 25 operating hotel assets comprising 3,839 keys, as of Feb 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its updated filings and discuss the changes since its last filing in 2019.</li>
</ul>



SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN)  plans to raise around US$200m (estimated) in its Indian IPO.
Samhi is India’s third-largest hotel asset owner, by number of keys, with a portfolio of 25 operating hotel assets comprising 3,839 keys, as of Feb 2023.
In this note, we look at its updated filings and discuss the changes since its last filing in 2019.


Samhi Hotels Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Bigger Portfolio, Smaller Deal

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebixcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36390:1" rel="noopener">EbixCash (EBIXC IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix Inc (EBIX US)</a> and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July.   </li>
<li>EbixCash’s Forex operations have emerged as a leader in India’s airport Forex business. Also, EbixCash’s inward remittance business in India is the clear market leader.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving balance sheet, and declining leverage.</li>
</ul>



EbixCash (EBIXC IN), a subsidiary of Ebix Inc (EBIX US) and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July.   
EbixCash’s Forex operations have emerged as a leader in India’s airport Forex business. Also, EbixCash’s inward remittance business in India is the clear market leader.
The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving balance sheet, and declining leverage.


<ul>
<li>The promoters of Patanjali Foods aim to sell up to 9% of the company via an FPO. </li>
<li>The sale is being done so as to increase the firm’s public shareholding to the minimum required 25% imposed by SEBI.</li>
<li>We have looked at the background of the deal in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the recent update and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


The promoters of Patanjali Foods aim to sell up to 9% of the company via an FPO. 
The sale is being done so as to increase the firm’s public shareholding to the minimum required 25% imposed by SEBI.
We have looked at the background of the deal in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the recent update and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Patanjali Foods FPO - Very Well Flagged with a Decent Discount

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. </li>
<li>While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.</li>
<li>Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. 
While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.
Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.


MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

India

One 97 Communications Limited provides payment solutions. The Company provides online services such as hotel booking, top ups, data processing, games, mobile content, and bill payments. One 97 Communications Limited serves customers worldwide.

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Paytm (PAYTM IN)

EbixCash IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining...

Arun George

Samhi Hotels Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Bigger Portfolio, Smaller Deal

SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) plans to raise around US$200m (estimated) in its Indian IPO. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filing.

Sumeet Singh

EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving...

Arun George

Patanjali Foods FPO - Very Well Flagged with a Decent Discount

The promoters of Patanjali Foods aim to sell up to 9% of the company via an FPO. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal...

Sumeet Singh

MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

MSCI $ACWI Bullish Above $93, inverse head-and-shoulders breakout targets $110; EURO $STOXX 50 Holding At the Uptrend; Buys in Consumer...

Vermilion Research

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