Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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<li><div><span lang="EN-US">The Republican sweep in Washington and the unique nature of his insurgent victory means Trump faces fewer constraints on his power than any recent President.</span></div></li>
<li><div><span lang="EN-US">Trade and infrastructure spending are likely to be two key priorities – he can overturn established trade agreements and impose punitive tariffs without recourse to Congress.</span></div></li>
<li><div>However, the Mexican NAFTA deal rather than Asia is likely to be the initial focus of any trade pressure.</div></li>
<li><div>Trump’s economic policies (and many of his advisors) will be…</div></li>
</ul>


The Republican sweep in Washington and the unique nature of his insurgent victory means Trump faces fewer constraints on his power than any recent President.
Trade and infrastructure spending are likely to be two key priorities – he can overturn established trade agreements and impose punitive tariffs without recourse to Congress.
However, the Mexican NAFTA deal rather than Asia is likely to be the initial focus of any trade pressure.
Trump’s economic policies (and many of his advisors) will be…


President Trump Taking America Back to the 1980s…

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

<p>As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology stocks.</p><p>The biggest benefit to the US tech sector will come from lower tax rates. The biggest risk is trade wars that result in higher tariffs and retaliation against US tech companies. The wildcard is regulation: net neutrality rules – if relaxed – could shift the balance of power from internet companies to telcos.</p><p>Below we look at five themes emanating from Mr Trump's policies that have a direct impact on the global tech sector: taxation, trade, regulation, cybersecurity and social media.</p>

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology stocks.The biggest benefit to the US tech sector will come from lower tax rates. The biggest risk is trade wars that result in higher tariffs and retaliation against US tech companies. The wildcard is regulation: net neutrality rules – if relaxed – could shift the balance of power from internet companies to telcos.Below we look at five themes emanating from Mr Trump's policies that have a direct impact on the global tech sector: taxation, trade, regulation, cybersecurity and social media.

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

<p>It is not official yet. But against many odds it looks like Trump has taken it.  There are many implications we need to act on in our portfolios. ... </p><p>I didn’t think he’d manage it. His indiscretions seemed too large, his gaffes too many. But what we saw, with some 1+m Trump win of the popular vote, was the forgotten rural Americans voting anti-Clinton in greater numbers than expected, particularly in Blue Belt (Rust Belt) areas of the US Center. All while doing what Trump said he would do in…</p>

It is not official yet. But against many odds it looks like Trump has taken it.  There are many implications we need to act on in our portfolios. ... I didn’t think he’d manage it. His indiscretions seemed too large, his gaffes too many. But what we saw, with some 1+m Trump win of the popular vote, was the forgotten rural Americans voting anti-Clinton in greater numbers than expected, particularly in Blue Belt (Rust Belt) areas of the US Center. All while doing what Trump said he would do in…

Against [Official] Odds It's a Trump USA Now

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

<p>This piece highlights my recent proposal for a mechanism to solve the enforceability and adaptability issues faced by OPEC in their proposed production cuts and provides some worked examples of how the Tactical Petroleum Fund would work in practice for Smartkarma readers.</p>

This piece highlights my recent proposal for a mechanism to solve the enforceability and adaptability issues faced by OPEC in their proposed production cuts and provides some worked examples of how the Tactical Petroleum Fund would work in practice for Smartkarma readers.

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

<p>A Hillary victory would benefit Thai markets in terms of TIP market re-allocations and export strength, while hurting us on global stability. Victims of Trump includes energy and exporters. If Hillary extends Obamacare, chances of Americans coming to Thailand for medical tourism will also decline yo.</p><p>In Las Vegas, Hillary and Trump meet for their final debate, and both of them were SPECTACULAR. Not all the polls are out yet, but we generally agree that Hillary won narrowly. Trump had better grasps of foreign politics and exuded more confidence, but President (yes, trust me on this) Hillary won a vote from <em>MCorp Review </em>for superior <strong>thematic consistency </strong>(very important to us) and sportsmanship. The two candidates tied on economics, and no scores were awarded for emotional connection since this ain't no town hall format. At the end of the day, we regret to inform Trump supporters that well...he really shot himself in the foot yo. :(</p>

A Hillary victory would benefit Thai markets in terms of TIP market re-allocations and export strength, while hurting us on global stability. Victims of Trump includes energy and exporters. If Hillary extends Obamacare, chances of Americans coming to Thailand for medical tourism will also decline yo.In Las Vegas, Hillary and Trump meet for their final debate, and both of them were SPECTACULAR. Not all the polls are out yet, but we generally agree that Hillary won narrowly. Trump had better grasps of foreign politics and exuded more confidence, but President (yes, trust me on this) Hillary won a vote from MCorp Review for superior thematic consistency (very important to us) and sportsmanship. The two candidates tied on economics, and no scores were awarded for emotional connection since this ain't no town hall format. At the end of the day, we regret to inform Trump supporters that well...he really shot himself in the foot yo. :(

What Happens in Vegas...Goes to the White House (Hillary 2, Trump 1...Game Over!)

United States

Occidental Petroleum Corporation explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil and natural gas.  The Company also manufactures and markets a variety of basic chemicals, vinyls and performance chemicals. Occidental also gathers, treats, processes, transports, stores, trades and markets crude oil, natural gas, NGLs, condensate and carbon dioxide (CO2) and generates and markets power.

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Occidental Petroleum (OXY US)

President Trump Taking America Back to the 1980s…

The Republican sweep in Washington and the unique nature of his insurgent victory means Trump faces fewer constraints on his power than any recent...

Sean Maher

What Trump Means for Tech

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology...

CM Research

Against [Official] Odds It's a Trump USA Now

It is not official yet. But against many odds it looks like Trump has taken it. There are many implications we need to act on in our portfolios....

Charles De Trenck

How to Fix Oil Prices

This piece highlights my recent proposal for a mechanism to solve the enforceability and adaptability issues faced by OPEC in their proposed...

Emad Mostaque

What Happens in Vegas...Goes to the White House (Hillary 2, Trump 1...Game Over!)

A Hillary victory would benefit Thai markets in terms of TIP market re-allocations and export strength, while hurting us on global stability....

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

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