Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to decline, hourly earnings remain on an upward trend and other economic indicators such as retail sales, house prices and consumer sentiment continue to improve on a trend basis.We expect the pace of rate increases to be very gradual, and see the Federal Funds rate around 1.0% by the end of 2016. The pace of increase will depend on the strength of the US…

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to decline, hourly earnings remain on an upward trend and other economic indicators such as retail sales, house prices and consumer sentiment continue to improve on a trend basis.We expect the pace of rate increases to be very gradual, and see the Federal Funds rate around 1.0% by the end of 2016. The pace of increase will depend on the strength of the US…

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political risk in the US around Trump’s candidacy and the upcoming vote for a Brexit set to take place on June 23rd.  Inaction among four major central banks this week has highlighted the fact that major policy makers are very uncertain about the impact that a potential Brexit may have on the global economy. While the risk of Brexit seems to have faded today the markets may not have fully appreciated the risk to the global economy of a Brexit.The UK economy and consumer sentiment is tightly tied to a number of other European countries which have high consumer sentiment that has been buoying overall consumer sentiment.  Any risk to this group of exuberant countries puts global consumer sentiment at real risk of a sharp drop.

 Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political risk in the US around Trump’s candidacy and the upcoming vote for a Brexit set to take place on June 23rd.  Inaction among four major central banks this week has highlighted the fact that major policy makers are very uncertain about the impact that a potential Brexit may have on the global economy. While the risk of Brexit seems to have faded today the markets may not have fully appreciated the risk to the global economy of a Brexit.The UK economy and consumer sentiment is tightly tied to a number of other European countries which have high consumer sentiment that has been buoying overall consumer sentiment.  Any risk to this group of exuberant countries puts global consumer sentiment at real risk of a sharp drop.

Global Economy Dodges a Bullet - Brexit Could Cause Global Recession

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

<ul><li class="p1">The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or through mobile devices across many developed economies.</li><li class="p1">However, as we take a step back and examine the various states of digital commerce across different geographies, we find a number of constants in not only how winners in the digital commerce space rise to the top in each region, but also how these players develop lasting network effects that serve as the foundation of the wide economic moats we assign to many of the leading players in this industry across the globe.</li></ul>Analysts: R.J. Hottovy, Suruchi Jain, Daniel Mueller

The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or through mobile devices across many developed economies.However, as we take a step back and examine the various states of digital commerce across different geographies, we find a number of constants in not only how winners in the digital commerce space rise to the top in each region, but also how these players develop lasting network effects that serve as the foundation of the wide economic moats we assign to many of the leading players in this industry across the globe.Analysts: R.J. Hottovy, Suruchi Jain, Daniel Mueller

The Global E-Commerce Handbook: Themes Investors Need to Know as Consumer Shopping Tendencies Evolve

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

Mark Twain once said 'Too much of anything is bad, but too much of good whisky is barely enough'. The 'water of life', as it's colloquially called, is enjoyed the world over in equal measure. Whether you like it smoky, smooth or peaty, whisky has always made good company. And now, over the last few years it's caught the imagination of the general public not only on the taste buds but also in portfolios. New and innovative ways to invest have cropped up in what used to be a drink reserved for the rich and the elite. The article gives an overview of the whisky market and some ways to invest in it. For those unaware of the difference between whisky and whiskey, you can read more <a href="http://www.whiskyforeveryone.com/whisky_basics/whisky_or_whiskey.html" target="_blank">here</a>.

Mark Twain once said 'Too much of anything is bad, but too much of good whisky is barely enough'. The 'water of life', as it's colloquially called, is enjoyed the world over in equal measure. Whether you like it smoky, smooth or peaty, whisky has always made good company. And now, over the last few years it's caught the imagination of the general public not only on the taste buds but also in portfolios. New and innovative ways to invest have cropped up in what used to be a drink reserved for the rich and the elite. The article gives an overview of the whisky market and some ways to invest in it. For those unaware of the difference between whisky and whiskey, you can read more here.

Global Macro Strategy

Callum Henderson

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured' tightening cycle in the history of the Federal Reserve* The offset to extremely measured Fed rate hikes will be the gradual end and reversal of the dollar rally* USD weakness on the back of growth competition will be a positive for high-beta assets, including EM* The focus within EM will be on alpha rather than beta and more specifically on relative value* Overweight ASEAN currencies vs. Underweight NEA currencies (ex-JPY) continues to generate alpha

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured' tightening cycle in the history of the Federal Reserve* The offset to extremely measured Fed rate hikes will be the gradual end and reversal of the dollar rally* USD weakness on the back of growth competition will be a positive for high-beta assets, including EM* The focus within EM will be on alpha rather than beta and more specifically on relative value* Overweight ASEAN currencies vs. Underweight NEA currencies (ex-JPY) continues to generate alpha

Asia Calling: Measure for Measure - Why Fed Tightening Is Great News for High-Beta Assets

United States

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. retails and supplies automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories.  The Company sells its products to do-it-yourself customers and professional mechanics or service technicians. O'Reilly operates stores throughout the United States.

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O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY US)

US: Federal Reserve to Stay on Course to Normalize Rates

The Federal Reserve can be expected to stay on course to normalize interest rate policy through the year as the unemployment rate continues to...

Rajan Govil

Global Economy Dodges a Bullet - Brexit Could Cause Global Recession

Recently global equity markets have come under stress due to the high degree of uncertainty stemming from US Fed’s recent FOMC meeting, political...

David Riedel

The Global E-Commerce Handbook: Themes Investors Need to Know as Consumer Shopping Tendencies Evolve

The idea of e-commerce as a disruptive force is not new, with consumers becoming increasingly comfortable making everyday purchases online or...

Morningstar, Inc.

Whisky - Rarer the Richer

Mark Twain once said 'Too much of anything is bad, but too much of good whisky is barely enough'. The 'water of life', as it's colloquially called,...

Ishita Jain

Asia Calling: Measure for Measure - Why Fed Tightening Is Great News for High-Beta Assets

* Concerns over China, the US and oil have driven this year's market slump, not the Fed* Yellen's Fed is likely to enact the most 'measured'...

Callum Henderson

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