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<ul><li>Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales</li><li>We estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)</li><li>However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarter</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades salesWe estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarterContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Promoter buying reflects insider confidence in the company's future, often driven by access to undisclosed positive developments and growth opportunities.</li>
<li>Increased promoter stake may indicate that the market has undervalued the company, potentially presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a discount.</li>
<li>Consider the broader market environment, company fundamentals, and industry trends alongside promoter buying activity to form a comprehensive investment thesis.</li>
</ul>


Promoter buying reflects insider confidence in the company's future, often driven by access to undisclosed positive developments and growth opportunities.
Increased promoter stake may indicate that the market has undervalued the company, potentially presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a discount.
Consider the broader market environment, company fundamentals, and industry trends alongside promoter buying activity to form a comprehensive investment thesis.


Contrarian Moves: Promoter Buying During Indian Equity Downturns

<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially offset by muted petchem earnings and elevated debt</li><li>IOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimate</li><li>Earnings were supported by strong performance from the refining segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially offset by muted petchem earnings and elevated debtIOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimateEarnings were supported by strong performance from the refining segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail, ACC, CDSL

India

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited provides construction materials. The Company offers cement, ready mix concrete, and aggregates. Nuvoco Vistas serves customers in India.

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Nuvoco Vistas (NUVOCO IN)

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales

HDFC Securities

Contrarian Moves: Promoter Buying During Indian Equity Downturns

There are 100 reasons to sell in the market, but only one reason to buy!! Taking a deep understanding of Promoter Buying in the Indian Landscape in...

Nimish Maheshwari

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail, ACC, CDSL

IOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimate

HDFC Securities

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