Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 3Q23, revenue jumped 2.5x YoY and 12.1x QoQ to KRW231.8 billion, mainly due to the inflow related to Novavax vaccine contract settlement and resumption of flu vaccine production.</li>
<li>Despite significantly improved Q3 result, SK Bioscience is expected to end 2023 on a weak note, due to the absence of contract manufacturing revenue from Novavax.</li>
<li>SK Bioscience has applied for EUA for the updated Novavax COVID-19 vaccine in Korea. Once approved, the company targets to distribute the vaccine during 2023–2024 winter seasons in Korea.</li>
</ul>


In 3Q23, revenue jumped 2.5x YoY and 12.1x QoQ to KRW231.8 billion, mainly due to the inflow related to Novavax vaccine contract settlement and resumption of flu vaccine production.
Despite significantly improved Q3 result, SK Bioscience is expected to end 2023 on a weak note, due to the absence of contract manufacturing revenue from Novavax.
SK Bioscience has applied for EUA for the updated Novavax COVID-19 vaccine in Korea. Once approved, the company targets to distribute the vaccine during 2023–2024 winter seasons in Korea.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Significantly Improved 3Q Result Benefitted From One-Time Payment

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

<ul>
<li>This model finds companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.</li>
<li>The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business. </li>
<li>Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag: Novavax, Micron, Generac, FormFactor</li>
</ul>


This model finds companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.
The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business. 
Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag: Novavax, Micron, Generac, FormFactor


Breaking Estimate Short Candidates: Novavax, Micron, Generac, FormFactor

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We compare how a portfolio composed of our top five picks in each of our thematic reports based on datamining technical publications would have performed versus Indices</li>
<li>The size of outperformance for various periods suggests that incorporating innovation quality index that we use to rank companies can be a solid tool to generate alpha.   </li>
<li>We understand that much of the outperformance is generated by positive skew but even backing out the largest two contributors we see solid outperformance.</li>
</ul>


We compare how a portfolio composed of our top five picks in each of our thematic reports based on datamining technical publications would have performed versus Indices
The size of outperformance for various periods suggests that incorporating innovation quality index that we use to rank companies can be a solid tool to generate alpha.   
We understand that much of the outperformance is generated by positive skew but even backing out the largest two contributors we see solid outperformance.


A Look at How a Portfolio Composed of Our Top Five Innovators in Each Report Would Have Performed

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> received approval for Korea’s first locally-developed COVID-19 vaccine, SKYCovione. The company is seeking European approval and plans to apply for emergency use listing to the WHO.</li>
<li>The company is a late entrant in the overcrowded domestic vaccine market. Currently, six vaccines are approved for use in South Korea. Moreover, demand outlook is uncertain beyond 2022.</li>
<li>Recently, the company has dropped a multinational phase 3 trial of P2-VP8, trivalent rotavirus vaccine. Among the non-COVID pipeline, P2-VP8 was in the most advanced stage of clinical trial.</li>
</ul>



SK Bioscience (302440 KS) received approval for Korea’s first locally-developed COVID-19 vaccine, SKYCovione. The company is seeking European approval and plans to apply for emergency use listing to the WHO.
The company is a late entrant in the overcrowded domestic vaccine market. Currently, six vaccines are approved for use in South Korea. Moreover, demand outlook is uncertain beyond 2022.
Recently, the company has dropped a multinational phase 3 trial of P2-VP8, trivalent rotavirus vaccine. Among the non-COVID pipeline, P2-VP8 was in the most advanced stage of clinical trial.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Murky Outlook On Weak Vaccine Demand And Flooding Supply

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> markets four in-house products in Korea, including influenza, shingles, and chicken pox vaccines. The company has partnerships with global companies for the production of COVID-19 vaccines. </li>
<li>SK Bioscience has started shipment of Novavax’ COVID-19 vaccine, while its own vaccine is in phase 3 trial. With ~15% vaccination in low-income countries, demand for vaccine is still high.  </li>
<li>SK Bioscience has a rich pipeline, with four promising blockbuster candidates for the global market. This entails strong revenue visibility in post-COVID era.</li>
</ul>



SK Bioscience (302440 KS) markets four in-house products in Korea, including influenza, shingles, and chicken pox vaccines. The company has partnerships with global companies for the production of COVID-19 vaccines. 
SK Bioscience has started shipment of Novavax’ COVID-19 vaccine, while its own vaccine is in phase 3 trial. With ~15% vaccination in low-income countries, demand for vaccine is still high.  
SK Bioscience has a rich pipeline, with four promising blockbuster candidates for the global market. This entails strong revenue visibility in post-COVID era.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): An Attractive Pure-Play on Vaccines- Both COVID and Non-COVID

United States

Novavax, Inc. is a clinical stage biotechnology company. The Company creates novel vaccines to address a broad range of infectious diseases worldwide using proprietary virus-like particle (VLP) technology.

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Novavax (NVAX US)

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Significantly Improved 3Q Result Benefitted From One-Time Payment

In 3Q23, revenue jumped 2.5x YoY and 12.1x QoQ to KRW232B, mainly due to the inflow related to Novavax vaccine contract settlement, resumption of...

Tina Banerjee

Breaking Estimate Short Candidates: Novavax, Micron, Generac, FormFactor

This model uncovers companies facing recent declines in estimates. This week we flag: Novavax, Micron, Generac, & FormFactor

Eric Fernandez, CFA

A Look at How a Portfolio Composed of Our Top Five Innovators in Each Report Would Have Performed

Our datamining reports ranks companies within thematic based on innovation quality. We see strong outperformance in a portfolio built using the top...

Pyari Menon

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Murky Outlook On Weak Vaccine Demand And Flooding Supply

SK bioscience is a late entrant in the overcrowded COVID-19 vaccine market. Demand for the vaccine is waning globally and is uncertain beyond 2022....

Tina Banerjee

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): An Attractive Pure-Play on Vaccines- Both COVID and Non-COVID

SK Bioscience’s near-term growth will be driven by CMO contract of Novavax COVID-19 vaccine. The company’s rich non-COVID pipeline and global...

Tina Banerjee

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