Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 4Q24 outlook shows a decline of 12% in revenue, 3% in GM, and 15% in OPM compared to the previous quarter.</li>
<li>AI-Related demand is an ongoing trend, with AI smartphones, PCs, and NBs expected to drive replacement demand.</li>
<li>Mass production of expected OLED TDDI is set to begin in 2Q25 and is progressing smoothly with customers.</li>
</ul>


The 4Q24 outlook shows a decline of 12% in revenue, 3% in GM, and 15% in OPM compared to the previous quarter.
AI-Related demand is an ongoing trend, with AI smartphones, PCs, and NBs expected to drive replacement demand.
Mass production of expected OLED TDDI is set to begin in 2Q25 and is progressing smoothly with customers.


Novatek (3034.TT): 4Q24 Revenue Downside of More than 10% QoQ.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> will initially use Novatek's DDIC (Display Driver IC) for the iPhone 16, but it will soon being replaced largely.</li>
<li>In 4Q24, there is a possibility of experiencing a decline, with a potential quarter-over-quarter decrease of approximately 5-10%.</li>
<li>The Chinese panel market continues to be a key battleground, and Novatek must navigate these challenges to remain competitive.</li>
</ul>



Apple (AAPL US) will initially use Novatek's DDIC (Display Driver IC) for the iPhone 16, but it will soon being replaced largely.
In 4Q24, there is a possibility of experiencing a decline, with a potential quarter-over-quarter decrease of approximately 5-10%.
The Chinese panel market continues to be a key battleground, and Novatek must navigate these challenges to remain competitive.


Novatek (3034.TT): To Utilizing on IPhone 16 DDIC Will Soon Be Largely Replaced by Korean Fabless.

<ul>
<li>The 3Q24 revenue is expected 10.5% higher than 2Q24, but the GM/OPG outlook will be 5.1%/3.6% lower because of pricing adjustments and limited NRE sales .  </li>
<li>Smartphone's demand will enter peak season with expected stockpiling for new models. Automotive inventory adjustment is needed due to muted demand.  </li>
<li>Dividend payout ratio has remained at 80-85% in recent years, with no major changes expected.</li>
</ul>


The 3Q24 revenue is expected 10.5% higher than 2Q24, but the GM/OPG outlook will be 5.1%/3.6% lower because of pricing adjustments and limited NRE sales .  
Smartphone's demand will enter peak season with expected stockpiling for new models. Automotive inventory adjustment is needed due to muted demand.  
Dividend payout ratio has remained at 80-85% in recent years, with no major changes expected.


Novatek (3034.TT): 3Q24 Guidance Slightly Weak in GM

<ul>
<li>The supply chain received good news that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a> as successfully passed iPhone 16 OLED DRIVER IC (DDIC) qualification.</li>
<li>Novatek's recent alliance with ARM to develop Neoverse V2 is a noteworthy development.</li>
<li>Novatek's 1Q24F forecast remains unchanged, but the outlook for 2024F is likely to show positive growth.</li>
</ul>


The supply chain received good news that Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) as successfully passed iPhone 16 OLED DRIVER IC (DDIC) qualification.
Novatek's recent alliance with ARM to develop Neoverse V2 is a noteworthy development.
Novatek's 1Q24F forecast remains unchanged, but the outlook for 2024F is likely to show positive growth.


Novatek (3034.TT): It Had Been Qualified by the IPhone 16 for OLED Driver IC.

<ul>
<li>Novatek's share price has surged by more than 15% in four days due to the news of Novatek's alliance with ARM to develop Neoverse V2.</li>
<li>While the decision on whether the iPhone 16 will feature OLED technology is still pending, the general sentiment is optimistic.</li>
<li>Novatek is set to leverage Intel Corp (INTC US)'s 12nm capacity through United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) in the near future.</li>
</ul>


Novatek's share price has surged by more than 15% in four days due to the news of Novatek's alliance with ARM to develop Neoverse V2.
While the decision on whether the iPhone 16 will feature OLED technology is still pending, the general sentiment is optimistic.
Novatek is set to leverage Intel Corp (INTC US)'s 12nm capacity through United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) in the near future.


Novatek (3034.TT): It's Said to Alliance with ARM to Build up Neoverse V2, Targeting AI Market.

Taiwan

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

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Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)

Novatek (3034.TT): 4Q24 Revenue Downside of More than 10% QoQ.

4Q24 outlook shows decline in revenue, GM, and OPM. AI-related demand driving replacement demand. OLED TDDI mass production set for 2Q25.

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): To Utilizing on IPhone 16 DDIC Will Soon Be Largely Replaced by Korean Fabless.

In 4Q24, Novatek faces potential decline in Chinese panel market, with a potential QoQ decrease of approximately 5-10%, and the demand may start...

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): 3Q24 Guidance Slightly Weak in GM

3Q24 revenue to rise 10.5%, but GM/OPG outlook to drop 5.1%/3.6% due to pricing adjustments. Smartphone demand peaks, automotive inventory...

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): It Had Been Qualified by the IPhone 16 for OLED Driver IC.

Novatek's successful qualification for iPhone 16 OLED DDIC and partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2 development signal positive growth in 2024.

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): It's Said to Alliance with ARM to Build up Neoverse V2, Targeting AI Market.

Novatek's stock soars on partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2, potential collaboration with Intel for 12nm capacity. Optimism surrounds iPhone...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Novatek (3034.TT): 4Q24 Revenue Downside of More than 10% QoQ.

​4Q24 outlook shows decline in revenue, GM, and OPM. AI-related demand driving replacement demand. OLED TDDI mass production set for 2Q25.

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): To Utilizing on IPhone 16 DDIC Will Soon Be Largely Replaced by Korean Fabless.

​In 4Q24, Novatek faces potential decline in Chinese panel market, with a potential QoQ decrease of approximately 5-10%, and the demand may start...

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): 3Q24 Guidance Slightly Weak in GM

​3Q24 revenue to rise 10.5%, but GM/OPG outlook to drop 5.1%/3.6% due to pricing adjustments. Smartphone demand peaks, automotive inventory...

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): It Had Been Qualified by the IPhone 16 for OLED Driver IC.

​Novatek's successful qualification for iPhone 16 OLED DDIC and partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2 development signal positive growth in 2024.

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): It's Said to Alliance with ARM to Build up Neoverse V2, Targeting AI Market.

​Novatek's stock soars on partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2, potential collaboration with Intel for 12nm capacity. Optimism surrounds iPhone...

Patrick Liao

4Q24 outlook shows decline in revenue, GM, and OPM. AI-related demand driving replacement demand. OLED TDDI mass production set for 2Q25.

In 4Q24, Novatek faces potential decline in Chinese panel market, with a potential QoQ decrease of approximately 5-10%, and the demand may start...

3Q24 revenue to rise 10.5%, but GM/OPG outlook to drop 5.1%/3.6% due to pricing adjustments. Smartphone demand peaks, automotive inventory...

Novatek's successful qualification for iPhone 16 OLED DDIC and partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2 development signal positive growth in 2024.

Novatek's stock soars on partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2, potential collaboration with Intel for 12nm capacity. Optimism surrounds iPhone...