Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to see more and more global indexes and Sectors breaking out to new highs. This is classic bull market behavior. The latest breakouts: Israel, Germany, and Sweden</li>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities.</li>
<li>We continue to get more evidence suggesting the US Dollar (DXY) is rolling over, and quite likely that global sovereign 10-year yields are rolling over as well. Risk-on.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see more and more global indexes and Sectors breaking out to new highs. This is classic bull market behavior. The latest breakouts: Israel, Germany, and Sweden
Our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities.
We continue to get more evidence suggesting the US Dollar (DXY) is rolling over, and quite likely that global sovereign 10-year yields are rolling over as well. Risk-on.


Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; More Global Breakouts. Buys in Discretionary, Tech

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mediatek Top Performer; Showcasing New AI Capabilities at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Competition Is Hotting Up for Key Memory Chips Nvidia Depends On; Nanya Left Out?</li>
<li>Novatek (3034.TT): It Has Been Qualified by the IPhone 16 for OLED Driver IC</li>
</ul>


Mediatek Top Performer; Showcasing New AI Capabilities at the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona
Memory Monitor: Competition Is Hotting Up for Key Memory Chips Nvidia Depends On; Nanya Left Out?
Novatek (3034.TT): It Has Been Qualified by the IPhone 16 for OLED Driver IC


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Surges After Showcasing Breathtaking AI Capabilities; Novatek; Nanya

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,723.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD4,330mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Umc, Global Unichip, Quanta Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,723.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD4,330mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Umc, Global Unichip, Quanta Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 23rd): Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD66.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Novatek, Faraday Tech, Realtek Semi, Shihlin Elec&amp;Eng, Asmedia Tech, TSMC, Global Unichip, Alchip Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD66.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Novatek, Faraday Tech, Realtek Semi, Shihlin Elec&amp;Eng, Asmedia Tech, TSMC, Global Unichip, Alchip Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 23rd): Novatek, Faraday Tech, Realtek Semi, Shihlin Elec&Eng, TSMC

<ul>
<li>Key Events: 1) Nvidia Results Coming Today in the U.S. 2) Elan &amp; ChipMOS Tomorrow in Taiwan 3) U.S. PC Maker Results Next Week</li>
<li>Why United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel </li>
<li>Novatek a Top Gainer After Reports of Alliance with ARM to Build Neoverse V2 for AI</li>
</ul>


Key Events: 1) Nvidia Results Coming Today in the U.S. 2) Elan &amp; ChipMOS Tomorrow in Taiwan 3) U.S. PC Maker Results Next Week
Why United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel 
Novatek a Top Gainer After Reports of Alliance with ARM to Build Neoverse V2 for AI


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Taiwan

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

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Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)

Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; More Global Breakouts. Buys in Discretionary, Tech

Bullish Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over, 10-Yr Treasury Yield $TNX Rolling Over; More Global Indexes Breaking Out (Israel, Germany, Sweden). Buys...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Surges After Showcasing Breathtaking AI Capabilities; Novatek; Nanya

Mediatek top performer as it debuts new AI capabilities at the Mobile World Congress; Competition hotting up for memory chips Nvidia depends on;...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 23rd): Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 23rd): Novatek, Faraday Tech, Realtek Semi, Shihlin Elec&Eng, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Novatek, Faraday Tech, Realtek Semi, Shihlin...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Key developments: Nvidia results today, Elan & ChipMOS tomorrow, and U.S. PC maker results next week. UMC a potential acquisition for Intel?...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; More Global Breakouts. Buys in Discretionary, Tech

Bullish Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over, 10-Yr Treasury Yield $TNX Rolling Over; More Global Indexes Breaking Out (Israel, Germany, Sweden). Buys...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Surges After Showcasing Breathtaking AI Capabilities; Novatek; Nanya

​Mediatek top performer as it debuts new AI capabilities at the Mobile World Congress; Competition hotting up for memory chips Nvidia depends on;...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 23rd): Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 23rd): Novatek, Faraday Tech, Realtek Semi, Shihlin Elec&Eng, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Novatek, Faraday Tech, Realtek Semi, Shihlin...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Key developments: Nvidia results today, Elan & ChipMOS tomorrow, and U.S. PC maker results next week. UMC a potential acquisition for Intel?...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Mediatek top performer as it debuts new AI capabilities at the Mobile World Congress; Competition hotting up for memory chips Nvidia depends on;...