Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ilyang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2789:1" rel="noopener">Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS)</a> shares touched new high of KRW 84,300 in December 2020 after its self-developed innovative drug Supect received approval for clinical trial for potential label expansion. However, Supect failed to prove efficacy in another clinical trial for COVID-19 in March 2021 and since then shares are declining. Ilyang shares are now trading near 52-week low.</li>
<li>Ilyang’s flagship drug Noltec is the leading anti-ulcer drug in Korea due to its superior efficacy and convenience of administration. Noltec is further expected to gain market share driven by its label expansion. </li>
<li>While Noltec has been enjoying steady revenue growth since its launch in 2009, Ilyang’s aspiration to become a leading global pharmaceutical company is dependent on the long-term commercialization success of its leukemia drug Supect and its label expansion potential.</li>
<li>Last week’s FDA approval of a new class of leukemia drug from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novartis-ag-8261b5d2-53ba-409e-8628-86d59cd6f853" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27907:1" rel="noopener">Novartis AG (NOVN SW)</a> has further increased competition in the already crowded leukemia space. This insight has mainly analyzed concerns over the commercialization of Supect amidst this competitive backdrop to find whether Ilyang can be a good bargain hunting idea for investors.  </li>
</ul>



Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS) shares touched new high of KRW 84,300 in December 2020 after its self-developed innovative drug Supect received approval for clinical trial for potential label expansion. However, Supect failed to prove efficacy in another clinical trial for COVID-19 in March 2021 and since then shares are declining. Ilyang shares are now trading near 52-week low.
Ilyang’s flagship drug Noltec is the leading anti-ulcer drug in Korea due to its superior efficacy and convenience of administration. Noltec is further expected to gain market share driven by its label expansion. 
While Noltec has been enjoying steady revenue growth since its launch in 2009, Ilyang’s aspiration to become a leading global pharmaceutical company is dependent on the long-term commercialization success of its leukemia drug Supect and its label expansion potential.
Last week’s FDA approval of a new class of leukemia drug from Novartis AG (NOVN SW) has further increased competition in the already crowded leukemia space. This insight has mainly analyzed concerns over the commercialization of Supect amidst this competitive backdrop to find whether Ilyang can be a good bargain hunting idea for investors.  


Ilyang Pharmaceutical (007570 KS): Leukemia Drug Commercialization Concerns Still Persist

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

CARSgen Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carsgen-therapeutics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32213:1" rel="noopener">CARSgen Therapeutics (1186504D CH)</a> is a biopharma focused on innovative CAR-T cell therapies for the treatment of haematological malignancies and solid tumours. CARsgen opines that is a key player in the field of CAR-T cell therapies. CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500 million, according to press reports. </p><p>Five CAR-T products, <em>Kymriah, Yescarta, Tecartus, Breyanzi</em> and <em>Abecma</em>, have been approved by the FDA for marketing in the US. However, there is no CAR-T cell therapy approved by the NMPA for marketing in China. The total revenue of <em>Kymriah, Yescarta</em> and <em>Tecartus</em> in 2020 was $1.1 billion (source: Frost &amp; Sullivan) which highlights the market opportunity. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>CARsgen has developed a pipeline of 11 product candidates, including six at the clinical stage. CARsgen owns the global rights to its product candidates and technologies, all of which are developed in-house. The sole core product candidate is CT053. Overall, we believe that the promising prospects for the lead product, a credible management team and a good shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. </p></div>

CARSgen Therapeutics (1186504D CH) is a biopharma focused on innovative CAR-T cell therapies for the treatment of haematological malignancies and solid tumours. CARsgen opines that is a key player in the field of CAR-T cell therapies. CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500 million, according to press reports. Five CAR-T products, Kymriah, Yescarta, Tecartus, Breyanzi and Abecma, have been approved by the FDA for marketing in the US. However, there is no CAR-T cell therapy approved by the NMPA for marketing in China. The total revenue of Kymriah, Yescarta and Tecartus in 2020 was $1.1 billion (source: Frost &amp; Sullivan) which highlights the market opportunity. CARsgen has developed a pipeline of 11 product candidates, including six at the clinical stage. CARsgen owns the global rights to its product candidates and technologies, all of which are developed in-house. The sole core product candidate is CT053. Overall, we believe that the promising prospects for the lead product, a credible management team and a good shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. 

CARsgen Therapeutics IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T

Genor Biopharma Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genor-biopharma" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29201:1" rel="noopener">Genor Biopharma (0883276D CH)</a> aka JHBP Holdings is a biopharmaceutical company focusing on developing and commercializing oncology and autoimmune drugs. Its drug candidates encompass the top three oncology targets and five out of the ten bestselling drugs globally. Genor is backed by Hillhouse Capital, Temasek and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-tigermed-consulting-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29212:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (H) (3347 HK)</a>. It is seeking a Hong Kong IPO to raise around $300 million, according to press reports. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Genor has a broad drug pipeline with significant near-term revenue potential from as early as 2021. Overall, we believe that the prospectus for Genor’s late-stage drug assets is favourable. </p></div>

Genor Biopharma (0883276D CH) aka JHBP Holdings is a biopharmaceutical company focusing on developing and commercializing oncology and autoimmune drugs. Its drug candidates encompass the top three oncology targets and five out of the ten bestselling drugs globally. Genor is backed by Hillhouse Capital, Temasek and Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (H) (3347 HK). It is seeking a Hong Kong IPO to raise around $300 million, according to press reports. Genor has a broad drug pipeline with significant near-term revenue potential from as early as 2021. Overall, we believe that the prospectus for Genor’s late-stage drug assets is favourable. 

JHBP Holdings (Genor Biopharma) IPO Initiation: Hunting for a Cure

Legend Biotech Corp / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech (BLG US)</a> is one of the leading companies in developing CAR-T cell therapies in China, having received clearance for the first CAR-T cell therapy IND application by the NMPA. Legend is a majority-owned (76.9%) subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genscript-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21041:1" rel="noopener">Genscript Biotech (1548 HK)</a>. Legend has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds $300 million, according to press reports. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Legend’s lead product candidate is LCAR-B38M/JNJ-4528 which is being co-developed with Janssen, which is owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1132:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US)</a>. LCAR-B38M refers to the product candidate being studied in China, and JNJ-4528, refers to the product candidate being studied in the rest of the world. Overall, we believe that the solid prospects for the lead product along with the strong shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. </p></div>

Legend Biotech (BLG US) is one of the leading companies in developing CAR-T cell therapies in China, having received clearance for the first CAR-T cell therapy IND application by the NMPA. Legend is a majority-owned (76.9%) subsidiary of Genscript Biotech (1548 HK). Legend has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds $300 million, according to press reports. Legend’s lead product candidate is LCAR-B38M/JNJ-4528 which is being co-developed with Janssen, which is owned by Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US). LCAR-B38M refers to the product candidate being studied in China, and JNJ-4528, refers to the product candidate being studied in the rest of the world. Overall, we believe that the solid prospects for the lead product along with the strong shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. 

Legend Biotech IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p style="text-align: justify;">Despite recent weakness across global markets, our weight of the evidence approach continues to lead us to the same conclusions as we posited in our 1/24/20 and 1/30/20 <em>Int’l Compass </em>reports: we continue to believe this is a bull market until proven otherwise, and a “buy the dip” strategy remains warranted. In our February International Strategy, we highlight various themes which lead to our bullish outlook, and offer several attractive opportunities we are seeing in the global health care and technology sectors..</p>

Despite recent weakness across global markets, our weight of the evidence approach continues to lead us to the same conclusions as we posited in our 1/24/20 and 1/30/20 Int’l Compass reports: we continue to believe this is a bull market until proven otherwise, and a “buy the dip” strategy remains warranted. In our February International Strategy, we highlight various themes which lead to our bullish outlook, and offer several attractive opportunities we are seeing in the global health care and technology sectors..

Switzerland

Novartis AG manufactures pharmaceutical and consumer healthcare products. The Company uses innovative science and digital technologies to create transformative treatments in areas of great medical need. Novartis offers patent protected prescription medicine and generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars.

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Novartis (NOVN SW)

Ilyang Pharmaceutical (007570 KS): Leukemia Drug Commercialization Concerns Still Persist

This insight has analyzed commercialization concern over Ilyang's leukemia drug due to strong competition. Investors should avoid Ilyang shares.

Tina Banerjee

CARsgen Therapeutics IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T

CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500m. The promising prospects for the lead product, credible management and a good...

Arun George

JHBP Holdings (Genor Biopharma) IPO Initiation: Hunting for a Cure

$ Genor Biopharma is a biopharmaceutical company focusing on developing and commercializing oncology and autoimmune drugs. Its drug candidates...

Arun George

Legend Biotech IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T

Legend Biotech (BLG US) is one of the leading companies in developing CAR-T cell therapies in China, having received clearance for the first CAR-T...

Arun George

Global Equity Strategy: Buy the Dips

Despite recent weakness across global markets, our weight of the evidence approach continues to lead us to the same conclusions as we posited in...

Vermilion Research

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