External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Since our latest XCCY publication; the tight levels of EUR prints by Norwegian issuers resulted in additional EUR prints from Scandinavian issuers.</li><li>Overall issuance from Norway was approx. 3x that of last year incl. covered prints. Swedish names also printed in EUR, but the trend continues with less issuance compared to last year.</li><li>USD issuance YTD has been elevated compared to previous years with an uptick from last year by non-USD issuers printing in USD. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Since our latest XCCY publication; the tight levels of EUR prints by Norwegian issuers resulted in additional EUR prints from Scandinavian issuers.Overall issuance from Norway was approx. 3x that of last year incl. covered prints. Swedish names also printed in EUR, but the trend continues with less issuance compared to last year.USD issuance YTD has been elevated compared to previous years with an uptick from last year by non-USD issuers printing in USD. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Norges Bank kept its key rate unchanged at 4.5% today with no change in the conclusion vis-à-vis December:</li><li>“Based on the Committee’s current assessment of the outlook and the balance of risks, the policy rate will likely be kept at that level for some time ahead.</li><li>"When it comes to the risks to the outlook for the key rate, the central bank again repeats that a weaker NOK than expected could lead to a new hike</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank kept its key rate unchanged at 4.5% today with no change in the conclusion vis-à-vis December:“Based on the Committee’s current assessment of the outlook and the balance of risks, the policy rate will likely be kept at that level for some time ahead."When it comes to the risks to the outlook for the key rate, the central bank again repeats that a weaker NOK than expected could lead to a new hikeContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Since the last publication, the XCCY basis market has experienced a year-end turn, which turned out to be a bit different than prior years.</li><li>Some of the highlights were, USD trading almost without any turn-price and the usual low level for SEK basis was only a fraction of what we were used to see.</li><li>In the last part of 2023 EUR/USD basis trended higher and higher and ended the year at historical high levels.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Since the last publication, the XCCY basis market has experienced a year-end turn, which turned out to be a bit different than prior years.Some of the highlights were, USD trading almost without any turn-price and the usual low level for SEK basis was only a fraction of what we were used to see.In the last part of 2023 EUR/USD basis trended higher and higher and ended the year at historical high levels.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Norges Bank plans to increase NGB issuance to between 100 and 110 bn NOK in 2024, a large increase from the 80bn issued this year. </li><li>NGBs are mainly used to fund various government lending schemes, but the bulk of next year’s increase is not from these programs and a source of some uncertainty to us. </li><li>The Government Budget cites the end of the special income stream from the discontinuation of a government infrastructure fund (it added 100bn in 2023) as the reason behind the increased funding needs (“Gul bok” p44 and p88, in Norwegian only).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank plans to increase NGB issuance to between 100 and 110 bn NOK in 2024, a large increase from the 80bn issued this year. NGBs are mainly used to fund various government lending schemes, but the bulk of next year’s increase is not from these programs and a source of some uncertainty to us. The Government Budget cites the end of the special income stream from the discontinuation of a government infrastructure fund (it added 100bn in 2023) as the reason behind the increased funding needs (“Gul bok” p44 and p88, in Norwegian only).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>High beta currencies have done well over the past week.</li><li>A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.</li><li>Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

High beta currencies have done well over the past week.A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

Norway

The Norwegian krone is the official currency of the Kingdom of Norway.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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NOK (USDNOK CURNCY)

Nordea XCCY publication: May Edition

Since our latest XCCY publication; the tight levels of EUR prints by Norwegian issuers resulted in additional EUR prints from Scandinavian issuers.

Nordea

Norges Bank Review: Nothing new

"When it comes to the risks to the outlook for the key rate, the central bank again repeats that a weaker NOK than expected could lead to a new hike

Nordea

Nordea XCCY Publication: Q1-2024

Since the last publication, the XCCY basis market has experienced a year-end turn, which turned out to be a bit different than prior years.

Nordea

NGB: Borrowing Programme 2024

Norges Bank plans a large increase in bond issuance next year and could at the same time restart their swap program. We comment on last week's...

Nordea

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

High beta currencies have done well over the past week. A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted...

Scotiabank

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