External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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FX & Rates

<ul><li>Norges Bank was the first and is now the last hawk amongst G10 central banks in this hiking cycle.</li><li>With a Fed and ECB pivot in sight, Norges Bank will need to keep rates higher for longer due to higher and more pronounced price pressures in the Norwegian economy than in the US and Europe.</li><li>The central bank needs a stronger NOK to bring the price pressure under control.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank was the first and is now the last hawk amongst G10 central banks in this hiking cycle.With a Fed and ECB pivot in sight, Norges Bank will need to keep rates higher for longer due to higher and more pronounced price pressures in the Norwegian economy than in the US and Europe.The central bank needs a stronger NOK to bring the price pressure under control.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NOK Update: Norges Bank Wants the NOK to Fly High

<ul><li>Norges Bank just announced that they will keep the daily NOK sales unchanged at 1400 million per day in December (sales of 1400 million NOK per day up to and including 15 December).</li><li>This was what we expected as the most likely outcome beforehand, although we wouldn’t be surprised if the NOK sales were reduced a tad today.</li><li>That said, we believe that a larger cut in NOK sales will be announced on the 29 of December.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank just announced that they will keep the daily NOK sales unchanged at 1400 million per day in December (sales of 1400 million NOK per day up to and including 15 December).This was what we expected as the most likely outcome beforehand, although we wouldn’t be surprised if the NOK sales were reduced a tad today.That said, we believe that a larger cut in NOK sales will be announced on the 29 of December.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>EURNOK is now trading just below 11.80, down from a peak at 11.96 yesterday. USDNOK has fallen to 10.86 from 11.15.</li><li>The larger decline in USDNOK compared to EURNOK needs to be seen in light of a broad USD weakening, with EURUSD up from 1.07 to around 1.085.</li><li>The massive NOK rally happened after the publishing of the US CPI figures, with core inflation falling from 4.1% y/y down to 4% while consensus was for no decline. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EURNOK is now trading just below 11.80, down from a peak at 11.96 yesterday. USDNOK has fallen to 10.86 from 11.15.The larger decline in USDNOK compared to EURNOK needs to be seen in light of a broad USD weakening, with EURUSD up from 1.07 to around 1.085.The massive NOK rally happened after the publishing of the US CPI figures, with core inflation falling from 4.1% y/y down to 4% while consensus was for no decline. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NOK Update: Huge Relief Rally but Will It Be Sustained?

<ul><li>EURNOK is trading around 12.00. Lately, good news has been disregarded while bad news has hurt the NOK.</li><li>Seasonally speaking, this is not the best time for the NOK.</li><li>We expect the NOK to do better at the start of next year, but risks remain.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EURNOK is trading around 12.00. Lately, good news has been disregarded while bad news has hurt the NOK.Seasonally speaking, this is not the best time for the NOK.We expect the NOK to do better at the start of next year, but risks remain.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NOK Update: EURNOK Above 12 for a 3rd Time

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Norges Bank plans to increase NGB issuance to between 100 and 110 bn NOK in 2024, a large increase from the 80bn issued this year. </li><li>NGBs are mainly used to fund various government lending schemes, but the bulk of next year’s increase is not from these programs and a source of some uncertainty to us. </li><li>The Government Budget cites the end of the special income stream from the discontinuation of a government infrastructure fund (it added 100bn in 2023) as the reason behind the increased funding needs (“Gul bok” p44 and p88, in Norwegian only).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank plans to increase NGB issuance to between 100 and 110 bn NOK in 2024, a large increase from the 80bn issued this year. NGBs are mainly used to fund various government lending schemes, but the bulk of next year’s increase is not from these programs and a source of some uncertainty to us. The Government Budget cites the end of the special income stream from the discontinuation of a government infrastructure fund (it added 100bn in 2023) as the reason behind the increased funding needs (“Gul bok” p44 and p88, in Norwegian only).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norway

The Norwegian krone is the official currency of the Kingdom of Norway.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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NOK Update: Norges Bank Wants the NOK to Fly High

We also expect NOK sales on behalf of the Government to be halved next year, starting from January. This should also support the NOK ahead.

Nordea

NOK Update: Ending at a high

Norges Bank just announced that they will keep the daily NOK sales unchanged at 1400 million per day in December (sales of 1400 million NOK per day...

Nordea

NOK Update: Huge Relief Rally but Will It Be Sustained?

The massive NOK rally happened after the publishing of the US CPI figures, with core inflation falling from 4.1% y/y down to 4% while consensus was...

Nordea

NOK Update: EURNOK Above 12 for a 3rd Time

EURNOK is trading around 12.00. Lately, good news has been disregarded while bad news has hurt the NOK. Seasonally speaking, this is not the best...

Nordea

NGB: Borrowing Programme 2024

Norges Bank plans a large increase in bond issuance next year and could at the same time restart their swap program. We comment on last week's...

Nordea

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