Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.</li>
<li>After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.</li>
<li>As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.
After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.
As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.


MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There are only few more days left in the reference period used for the constituent selection process for the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Currently, I see 6 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and 4 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.
There are only few more days left in the reference period used for the constituent selection process for the June 2023 Rebalance.
Currently, I see 6 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and 4 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​​SENSEX Jun 23: Six BSE 100 Changes and Four BSE 200 Changes

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The BSE AllCap March 2023 Rebalance results were announced and this changes the main universe from which SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 members are selected.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the recent updates to my expectations and the price and volume performance of the candidates.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.
The BSE AllCap March 2023 Rebalance results were announced and this changes the main universe from which SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 members are selected.
In this insight, we take a look at the recent updates to my expectations and the price and volume performance of the candidates.


Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The reference period for the trading data used for the index selection ended on 31st October 2022.</li>
<li>There have been a couple of key revisions to the index selection methodologies for SENSEX and SENSEX Next 50 which could have important consequences.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the December 2022 Rebalance.
The reference period for the trading data used for the index selection ended on 31st October 2022.
There have been a couple of key revisions to the index selection methodologies for SENSEX and SENSEX Next 50 which could have important consequences.


S&P BSE/​Sensex Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nmdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2016:1" rel="noopener">Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piramal-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14158:1" rel="noopener">Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN)</a> at the close on 5 August.</li>
<li>In September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-aeronautics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26747:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HNAL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphasis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7672:1" rel="noopener">Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN)</a> are potential inclusions.</li>
<li>At over 4 days of deliverable volume to trade, the impact is especially large on  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lupin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17910:1" rel="noopener">Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN) will replace Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN) and Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN) at the close on 5 August.
In September, Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN), Bharat Electronics (BHE IN), Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HNAL IN) and Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN) are potential inclusions.
At over 4 days of deliverable volume to trade, the impact is especially large on  Bharat Electronics (BHE IN), Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) and Lupin Ltd (LPC IN). 


NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Changes in August, Then 5 More in September

India

NMDC Limited explores for minerals. The Company is exploring for iron ore, copper, rock phosphate, lime stone, dolomite, gypsum, bentonite, magnesite, diamond, tin, tungsten, graphite, and beach sands.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN)

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/SENSEX Jun 23: Six BSE 100 Changes and Four BSE 200 Changes

BSE 100 and BSE 200 ADDs have historically outperformed the SENSEX index on average from the end of the reference period to the announcement of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

Following the March 2023 BSE AllCap rebalance, NMDC could be a BSE 200 ADD as it stands and Apl Apollo Tubes has fallen out of the "IN AS-IS" section.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P BSE/Sensex Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

I see one change for SENSEX, 3 ADDs/DELs for BSE 100, 5 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200, and 13 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 500. I expect the potential ADDs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Changes in August, Then 5 More in September

There are two index changes at the close on 5 August, then there should be 5 more at the close on 29 September. Passive funds will have over 4-5...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​​SENSEX Jun 23: Six BSE 100 Changes and Four BSE 200 Changes

BSE 100 and BSE 200 ADDs have historically outperformed the SENSEX index on average from the end of the reference period to the announcement of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

Following the March 2023 BSE AllCap rebalance, NMDC could be a BSE 200 ADD as it stands and Apl Apollo Tubes has fallen out of the "IN AS-IS" section.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P BSE/​Sensex Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

I see one change for SENSEX, 3 ADDs/DELs for BSE 100, 5 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200, and 13 ADDs/DELs for the BSE 500. I expect the potential ADDs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Changes in August, Then 5 More in September

There are two index changes at the close on 5 August, then there should be 5 more at the close on 29 September. Passive funds will have over 4-5...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/SENSEX Jun 23: Six BSE 100 Changes and Four BSE 200 Changes

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

S&P BSE/Sensex Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index