Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our October 26, 2023 Int'l Compass we discussed our expectations for a bounce in global equities (MSCI ACWI). So far, that has been the low.</li>
<li>Then, in our November 2, 2023 report, we discussed the bullish implications of the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency), before discussing expectations for a year-end rally on Nov.16</li>
<li>We see a massive opportunity in global gold/silver miners with gold nearing multi-year breakout. Also buy opportunities: Utilities in Europe, UK, and India; Materials, Industrials, Transportation, Real Estate, and Technology</li>
</ul>


In our October 26, 2023 Int'l Compass we discussed our expectations for a bounce in global equities (MSCI ACWI). So far, that has been the low.
Then, in our November 2, 2023 report, we discussed the bullish implications of the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency), before discussing expectations for a year-end rally on Nov.16
We see a massive opportunity in global gold/silver miners with gold nearing multi-year breakout. Also buy opportunities: Utilities in Europe, UK, and India; Materials, Industrials, Transportation, Real Estate, and Technology


Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Samhällsbyggnadsbolaget I Norden AB / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June 2023 regular rebalance index changes for the SE600 index and the EURSTX index were announced after the close yesterday.</li>
<li>There are 8 ADDs/DELs for the SE600 index and 3 ADDs and 2 DELs for the EURSTX index.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a closer look at our final index flow expectations for June 2023.</li>
</ul>


The June 2023 regular rebalance index changes for the SE600 index and the EURSTX index were announced after the close yesterday.
There are 8 ADDs/DELs for the SE600 index and 3 ADDs and 2 DELs for the EURSTX index.
In this insight, we take a closer look at our final index flow expectations for June 2023.


SE600 Jun 23 Rebal: Past Trades Successful, DELs Could Underperform Index over the Next ~2 Weeks

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EURO STOXX Indices for the March 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>As it stands, I see 6 ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 index and 3 ADDs and 2 DELs for the Euro STOXX Index in March 2023.</li>
<li>There are several names requiring a small price change to trigger more constituent changes and with few more days left to the reference date, a lot can change.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EURO STOXX Indices for the March 2023 Rebalance.
As it stands, I see 6 ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 index and 3 ADDs and 2 DELs for the Euro STOXX Index in March 2023.
There are several names requiring a small price change to trigger more constituent changes and with few more days left to the reference date, a lot can change.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 23: Linde Deletion and 6 Regular ADDs/DELs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EURO STOXX Indices for the March 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Based on the latest available data, I see five ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 Index during the March 2023 review.</li>
<li>Separately, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/electricite-de-france-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21441:1" rel="noopener">Electricite De France Sa (EDF FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vantage-towers-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35602:1" rel="noopener">Vantage Towers (VTWR GR)</a> could have index outflows triggered by extraordinary float adjustments before or during the March 2023 review. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EURO STOXX Indices for the March 2023 Rebalance.
Based on the latest available data, I see five ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 Index during the March 2023 review.
Separately, Electricite De France Sa (EDF FP) and Vantage Towers (VTWR GR) could have index outflows triggered by extraordinary float adjustments before or during the March 2023 review. 


Quiddity Leaderboard STOXX Europe Mar 23: 5 ADDs/DELs and Potential Downweights for EDF and VTWR

Denmark

NKT Holding A/S is a Danish group of companies active as industrial suppliers. The Group designs and manufactures a variety of technical products including optical chips and optical fibers for data transmission, cables for the energy and telecom sectors, pipelines for the offshore industry, fiber optic sensors, as well as Nilfisk professional cleaning equipment.  NKT sells internationally.

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NKT Holding A/S (NKT DC)

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys

Our bullish outlook on global equities $ACWI remains intact. We are also upgrading Brazil $EWZ to overweight. We continue to expect a rally into...

Vermilion Research

SE600 Jun 23 Rebal: Past Trades Successful, DELs Could Underperform Index over the Next ~2 Weeks

The changes are mostly in line with expectations. SE600 and EURSTX DELs have historically managed to underperform the SE600 index on average from...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 23: Linde Deletion and 6 Regular ADDs/DELs

I expect Linde AG (LIN GR) to be replaced by Sinch (SINCH SS) in the STOXX Europe 600 index at the end of February 2023 (before the March 2023...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard STOXX Europe Mar 23: 5 ADDs/DELs and Potential Downweights for EDF and VTWR

At present, there are multiple names hovering around the borders requiring fairly small price gains/drops to become ADDs/DELs in the March 2023...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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