Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>In today’s report we highlight the follow themes:</p><ul><li>As a whole, Europe continues to lag, but we like the price patterns—mostly multi-year bases. Recent weakness presents a buying opportunity, especially in leading countries, like Germany, and leading Sectors and Groups, such as software stocks. </li><li>Japan recently broke out above a key resistance level, making the current pullback all the more attractive. Add exposure.</li><li>EM remains unchallenged this year from a performance standpoint. While a pullback/pause wouldn’t surprise us, we expect EM to continue to lead, especially in light of the bottom pattern visible in the EM/ACWI ratio.</li><li>Today’s report includes actionable ideas across the developed and EM universe, and across multiple sectors.</li></ul>

In today’s report we highlight the follow themes:As a whole, Europe continues to lag, but we like the price patterns—mostly multi-year bases. Recent weakness presents a buying opportunity, especially in leading countries, like Germany, and leading Sectors and Groups, such as software stocks. Japan recently broke out above a key resistance level, making the current pullback all the more attractive. Add exposure.EM remains unchallenged this year from a performance standpoint. While a pullback/pause wouldn’t surprise us, we expect EM to continue to lead, especially in light of the bottom pattern visible in the EM/ACWI ratio.Today’s report includes actionable ideas across the developed and EM universe, and across multiple sectors.

Global Equity Pullback = Buying Opportunity

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headlines</h2><ul><li>Cat food registers 3% current value growth to reach JPY181 billion in 2016, while volumes rise by 1% to 243,304 tonnes.</li><li>Significant expansion of products targeting senior cats.</li><li>Cat treats sees the fastest growth in 2016, with sales up 27% (to JPY10 billion) in current value terms and 25% (to 3,083 tonnes) in volume terms.</li><li>The unit price of cat food rises by 2% during the year, driven by developments in the premium segment.</li><li>Unicharm increases its market-leading value share in 2016, as Nestlé overtakes Mars to gain second place.</li><li>Cat food is expected to see a constant value CAGR of 2% over the forecast period to reach JPY203 billion in 2022.</li></ul>

HeadlinesCat food registers 3% current value growth to reach JPY181 billion in 2016, while volumes rise by 1% to 243,304 tonnes.Significant expansion of products targeting senior cats.Cat treats sees the fastest growth in 2016, with sales up 27% (to JPY10 billion) in current value terms and 25% (to 3,083 tonnes) in volume terms.The unit price of cat food rises by 2% during the year, driven by developments in the premium segment.Unicharm increases its market-leading value share in 2016, as Nestlé overtakes Mars to gain second place.Cat food is expected to see a constant value CAGR of 2% over the forecast period to reach JPY203 billion in 2022.

<p>In this last of a series of articles examining the FashionTech scene in Japan, Euromonitor International looks at companies operating CtoC sales platforms and their impact on the Japanese apparel and footwear market. Please also read the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/can-tech-save-the-declining-japanese-apparel-industry-fashiontech-series-1-3" target="_blank">first</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/can-tech-save-the-declining-japanese-apparel-industry-fashion-tech-series-2-3" target="_blank">second</a> articles.</p>

In this last of a series of articles examining the FashionTech scene in Japan, Euromonitor International looks at companies operating CtoC sales platforms and their impact on the Japanese apparel and footwear market. Please also read the first and second articles.

Can Tech Save the Declining Japanese Apparel Industry? : FashionTech Series (3/3)

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

<p>With approx. 200 names already reporting 3Q numbers. We looked at the Market and Sector numbers to see who is best positioned to beat full-year guidance. Right now aggregate YTD OP is up 3% YoY and the market has achieved 76% of aggregate full-year OP guidance. </p><h2>Sector Aggregates YTD % Achieved of full-year OP Guidance</h2><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/020/021/original/overall2.png?1485974713" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="20021"></figure><div class="content-caption"><strong>Source: Custom Products </strong></div><p>At the sector level, with YoY YTD OP growth at 20% the Information &amp; Communication sector has already achieved 90% of its full-year OP guidance for names…</p>

With approx. 200 names already reporting 3Q numbers. We looked at the Market and Sector numbers to see who is best positioned to beat full-year guidance. Right now aggregate YTD OP is up 3% YoY and the market has achieved 76% of aggregate full-year OP guidance. Sector Aggregates YTD % Achieved of full-year OP GuidanceSource: Custom Products At the sector level, with YoY YTD OP growth at 20% the Information &amp; Communication sector has already achieved 90% of its full-year OP guidance for names…

Japan's Aggregate OP up 3% in the First Part of 3Q Earnings Season.....

Fintech, Real-time Big-Data Analytics Provider, Nowcast, Inc.

Ryota Hayashi

Fintech, Real-time Big-Data Analytics Provider

Nowcast, Inc.

We at Nowcast develop "Big-Data Economic Analytics Platforms".  We aim to revolutionize the financial markets by providing "accurate" and "real-time" analytics based on economic indicators and corporate activity data procured worldwide. 

Our Main Services

(1) Real-time Analytics
With our Nikkei CPI Now Index at our core, we provide real time analytics of global economic indicators such as POS Data. By utilizing Big-Data technology, we also provide real-time analytics of micro level data such as corporate earnings. 

(2) Big-Data Application Consulting
We too provide business consultation and conduct joint research on initiatives that strive to use data, such as from the operation capacity of construction machinery to number of passengers on railroad trains, as economic indicators. We provide continuous support to Data Scientists specialized in economics in their proposal stage, product development and up till its business development. 

(3) Monetary Policy Insights
With the proactive involvement of and support from from academicians in macroeconomics & key figures in the financial industry, we produce reports, conduct seminars and meetings that discuss about the forecast of financial markets, provide intellectual suggestions on asset allocation, etc. 

Macroeconomics

<ul class="ember-tether-target ember-tether-element-attached-top ember-tether-element-attached-left ember-tether-target-attached-top ember-tether-target-attached-right"><li><strong>"Nikkei CPINow" </strong>is a statistical database produced by Nowcast Inc. that provides real-time economic statistics using so-called “big data” gathered on a real-time basis; making it possible to “nowcast” economic developments, that is, to gauge them almost in real time.</li><li>Nikkei CPINow was launched in January 2016, disseminating the new “CPINow” price indeces, which succeeds and improves upon the Nikkei UTokyo Daily Price Index.</li><li>This December 2016 Review looks into analyzing the current developments in Japan's economy based on The Nikkei CPINow<strong> S index </strong>&amp;<strong> T index.</strong></li></ul>

"Nikkei CPINow" is a statistical database produced by Nowcast Inc. that provides real-time economic statistics using so-called “big data” gathered on a real-time basis; making it possible to “nowcast” economic developments, that is, to gauge them almost in real time.Nikkei CPINow was launched in January 2016, disseminating the new “CPINow” price indeces, which succeeds and improves upon the Nikkei UTokyo Daily Price Index.This December 2016 Review looks into analyzing the current developments in Japan's economy based on The Nikkei CPINow S index &amp; T index.

December 2016 Review of Current Developments in Japan's Economy

Japan

Nisshin Seifun Group Inc. produces and sells flour, fodder, processed foods, and medicines. The Company offers specialized pasta sauce, frozen foods, and gourmet soup. Nisshin Seifun Group also markets pet foods.

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Nisshin Seifun Group (2002 JP)

Global Equity Pullback = Buying Opportunity

In today’s report we highlight the follow themes: As a whole, Europe continues to lag, but we like the price patterns—mostly multi-year bases....

Vermilion Research

Sector Capsule: Cat Food in Japan

Headlines Cat food registers 3% current value growth to reach JPY181 billion in 2016, while volumes rise by 1% to 243,304 tonnes. Significant...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Can Tech Save the Declining Japanese Apparel Industry? : FashionTech Series (3/3)

In this last of a series of articles examining the FashionTech scene in Japan, Euromonitor International looks at companies operating CtoC sales...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Japan's Aggregate OP up 3% in the First Part of 3Q Earnings Season.....

With approx. 200 names already reporting 3Q numbers. We looked at the Market and Sector numbers to see who is best positioned to beat full-year...

Custom Products Group

December 2016 Review of Current Developments in Japan's Economy

"Nikkei CPINow" is a statistical database produced by Nowcast Inc. that provides real-time economic statistics using so-called “big data”...

Nowcast, Inc.

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