Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>24mos ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-paint-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13340:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Paint (4613 JP)</a> announced a new MTMP, a large buyback, and plans to unwind cross-holdings. Big. 15mos ago a large secondary offering kicked off the festivities.</li>
<li>Key was Toyota sold. Then KP could sell its Toyota shares - two-thirds of its cross-holdings. The offering was one to buy. A buyback followed. KP vs Nippon Paint doubled.</li>
<li>KP offered a CB recently with the delta hedge done by TN-3. Now there is a HUGE new buyback. Really big. This gets rid of more cross-holders. And there's more.</li>
</ul>


24mos ago, Kansai Paint (4613 JP) announced a new MTMP, a large buyback, and plans to unwind cross-holdings. Big. 15mos ago a large secondary offering kicked off the festivities.
Key was Toyota sold. Then KP could sell its Toyota shares - two-thirds of its cross-holdings. The offering was one to buy. A buyback followed. KP vs Nippon Paint doubled.
KP offered a CB recently with the delta hedge done by TN-3. Now there is a HUGE new buyback. Really big. This gets rid of more cross-holders. And there's more.


Kansai Paint (4613) - Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$1.4 billion secondary placement announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16287:1" rel="noopener">ASICS Corp (7936 JP)</a>’s shares are up 0.9% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,564 per share (12 July).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Asics’ shares have deviated from the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 23 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$1.4 billion secondary placement announcement, ASICS Corp (7936 JP)’s shares are up 0.9% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,564 per share (12 July).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Asics’ shares have deviated from the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 23 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.


Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$2.0 billion secondary placement announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a>’s shares are down 5.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,520 per share (8 July).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Kokusai’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 22 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$2.0 billion secondary placement announcement, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s shares are down 5.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,520 per share (8 July).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Kokusai’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 22 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.


Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The Current Playbook

<ul>
<li>Since the US$3.3 billion secondary placement announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a>’s shares are down 5% from the undisturbed price of JPY1,791 per share (4 July).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Honda’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 17 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$3.3 billion secondary placement announcement, Honda Motor (7267 JP)’s shares are down 5% from the undisturbed price of JPY1,791 per share (4 July).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Honda’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 17 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16287:1" rel="noopener">ASICS Corp (7936 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 85.0 million shares (including overallotment). At the close, the offer, including overallotment, is worth JPY218 billion (US$1.4 billion).</li>
<li>Asics' goal with the secondary offering is to eliminate cross-shareholdings. Asics also announced a material upgrade to full-year forecasts to offset the impact of the offering.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 23 and 26 July (likely 23 July).</li>
</ul>



ASICS Corp (7936 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 85.0 million shares (including overallotment). At the close, the offer, including overallotment, is worth JPY218 billion (US$1.4 billion).
Asics' goal with the secondary offering is to eliminate cross-shareholdings. Asics also announced a material upgrade to full-year forecasts to offset the impact of the offering.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 23 and 26 July (likely 23 July).


ASICS (7936 JP): A US$1.4 Billion Secondary Offering

Japan

NIPPON PAINT HOLDINGS CO., LTD. produces paints for automobiles, ships, and other industrial paints.  The Company also manufactures fine chemicals such as finishing agents and adhesives.

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Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP)

Kansai Paint (4613) - Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond

After this morning's TN-3 buyback (promised in May), KP shares are about 13x Mar25 EPS (as of yesterday's close). At that price, the remaining...

Travis Lundy

ASICS (7936 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 23 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 22 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

Honda (7267 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 17 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

ASICS (7936 JP): A US$1.4 Billion Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 23 and...

Arun George

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