External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>NIO’s 3Q22 earnings missed on lower GPM and higher R&amp;D costs.</li><li>It plans to launch five new models in 1H23, which could help NIO’s sales volume outperform the NEV market next year.</li><li>The upcoming NIO Day could be a positive catalyst, as it may debut these new models.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NIO’s 3Q22 earnings missed on lower GPM and higher R&amp;D costs.It plans to launch five new models in 1H23, which could help NIO’s sales volume outperform the NEV market next year.The upcoming NIO Day could be a positive catalyst, as it may debut these new models.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Five new models in 1H23 to regain market share

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume surged 33% YoY to 2.33mn units, 8% higher than our prior projection due to more inventories pushed to dealers than expected.</li><li>Almost 260,000 units of inventories were added into dealers in Sep 2022, the most in any Sep in history. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume surged 33% YoY to 2.33mn units, 8% higher than our prior projection due to more inventories pushed to dealers than expected.Almost 260,000 units of inventories were added into dealers in Sep 2022, the most in any Sep in history. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – 2H22E likely beat; FY23E consensus overstated

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.</li><li>4Q is unlikely to be a big surprise as property and its supply chain (20-30% of GDP) will still be the major drag that could neutralize the still resilient auto and gradually recovering consumption.</li><li>Together with more market volatility from pandemic and CPC meeting, we recommend investors to avoid one-sided long or short, but focus on pair trade opportunities to play the difference of BtoC over BtoB as BtoB is more vulnerable in terms of bad debts and pricing power than BtoC amid weak macro.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.4Q is unlikely to be a big surprise as property and its supply chain (20-30% of GDP) will still be the major drag that could neutralize the still resilient auto and gradually recovering consumption.Together with more market volatility from pandemic and CPC meeting, we recommend investors to avoid one-sided long or short, but focus on pair trade opportunities to play the difference of BtoC over BtoB as BtoB is more vulnerable in terms of bad debts and pricing power than BtoC amid weak macro.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cross sector report – Post-Golden Week: More positive on BToC recovery potential; Cautious on BToB

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CALB raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its offering at the low-end.</li>
<li>CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


CALB raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its offering at the low-end.
CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products.
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


CALB IPO Trading - Last of the Lot with the Least Demand of the Lot

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>The global game market can shrink in 2022, which will impact Chinese game companies’ global diversification.</li>
<li>NetEase formally launched its own social networking service to compete with Tencent.</li>
<li>Kuaishou announced that it would launch an e-commerce channel on its App’s homepage.</li>
</ul>


The global game market can shrink in 2022, which will impact Chinese game companies’ global diversification.
NetEase formally launched its own social networking service to compete with Tencent.
Kuaishou announced that it would launch an e-commerce channel on its App’s homepage.


China Internet Weekly (3Oct2022): Tencent, NetEase, Alibaba, Kuaishou, Uxin

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

China Auto Sector – 2H22E likely beat; FY23E consensus overstated

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior...

CMB International

Cross sector report – Post-Golden Week: More positive on BToC recovery potential; Cautious on BToB

Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.

CMB International

CALB IPO Trading - Last of the Lot with the Least Demand of the Lot

CALB raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its offering at the low-end. In this note, we talk about the demand for the deal...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (3Oct2022): Tencent, NetEase, Alibaba, Kuaishou, Uxin

The global game market shrink will impact Chinese game companies’ global diversification. NetEase launched its own social networking service....

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Five new models in 1H23 to regain market share

NIO’s 3Q22 earnings missed on lower GPM and higher R&D costs. It plans to launch five new models in 1H23, which could help NIO’s sales volume...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – 2H22E likely beat; FY23E consensus overstated

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume, based on insurance data, rose 9% YoY to 1.86mn units in Sep 2022, 3% lower than our prior...

CMB International

Cross sector report – Post-Golden Week: More positive on BToC recovery potential; Cautious on BToB

Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.

CMB International

CALB IPO Trading - Last of the Lot with the Least Demand of the Lot

CALB raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its offering at the low-end. In this note, we talk about the demand for the deal...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (3Oct2022): Tencent, NetEase, Alibaba, Kuaishou, Uxin

The global game market shrink will impact Chinese game companies’ global diversification. NetEase launched its own social networking service....

Ming Lu