Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This earnings season has highlighted the robust performance of older-generation ("trailing edge") companies.</li>
<li>Their inventories have also been rising. At the same time, there's a noticeable demand slump in China.</li>
<li>Surprisingly, Chinese semiconductor firms are increasing their investments in older technology, known as the "lagging edge" capacity. Put the pieces together, and there’s a big story here.</li>
</ul>


This earnings season has highlighted the robust performance of older-generation ("trailing edge") companies.
Their inventories have also been rising. At the same time, there's a noticeable demand slump in China.
Surprisingly, Chinese semiconductor firms are increasing their investments in older technology, known as the "lagging edge" capacity. Put the pieces together, and there’s a big story here.


Chinese EV's and the Lagging Edge Price War

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Housing bureaus in China’s first tier cities pledge to draft supportive policy on home purchase（+）</li>
<li>2150HK: Nayuki teahouse average store revenue remains flattish YoY in July 2023（/）</li>
<li>LI/NIO/XPEV: Li Auto, NIO and Xpeng update August vehicle delivery results (+/+//)</li>
</ul>


Real Estate Industry Update: Housing bureaus in China’s first tier cities pledge to draft supportive policy on home purchase（+）
2150HK: Nayuki teahouse average store revenue remains flattish YoY in July 2023（/）
LI/NIO/XPEV: Li Auto, NIO and Xpeng update August vehicle delivery results (+/+//)


China TMT Update-BEKE/2150.HK/LI/NIO/XPEV-Supportive Policy on Home Purchase;August Vehicle Delivery

<ul>
<li>NIO: NIO to offer single-motor model in sub-brand codenamed Alps (+)</li>
<li>BEKE: Political Bureau of the Central Committee shifted tone on real estate regulation（+）</li>
<li>LEGN: Janssen reported CARVYKTI sales US$117mn, lower than our expectation (-)</li>
</ul>


NIO: NIO to offer single-motor model in sub-brand codenamed Alps (+)
BEKE: Political Bureau of the Central Committee shifted tone on real estate regulation（+）
LEGN: Janssen reported CARVYKTI sales US$117mn, lower than our expectation (-)


China TMT Update-NIO/BEKE/LEGN-NIO to Offer Single-Motor Model;Political Bureau Shifted Tone

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Forty to sixty percent of the world’s carbon emission takes place in buildings. Energy efficiency job is the single largest component that balances the job loss</li>
<li>In traditional energy and job gain in renewable energy. China is materially behind the US in energy efficiency; We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package </li>
<li>Will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, and our listed companies in the new energy sector shall benefit from the trend.</li>
</ul>


Forty to sixty percent of the world’s carbon emission takes place in buildings. Energy efficiency job is the single largest component that balances the job loss
In traditional energy and job gain in renewable energy. China is materially behind the US in energy efficiency; We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package 
Will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, and our listed companies in the new energy sector shall benefit from the trend.


[Blue Lotus Macro]: A Job-Creating Stimulus that Also Saves the Real Estate

<ul>
<li>XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order in China auto market (+/+/+/+/+)</li>
<li>XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50%, outperforming the industry (+)</li>
<li>ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn Efgartigimod received NMPA approval. We expect 2023 revenue US$10mn (-)</li>
</ul>


XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order in China auto market (+/+/+/+/+)
XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50%, outperforming the industry (+)
ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn Efgartigimod received NMPA approval. We expect 2023 revenue US$10mn (-)


China TMT Update-XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK/ZLAB: 16 Automakers Pledge to Maintain Order;G6 Conversion

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (9866 HK)

Chinese EV's and the Lagging Edge Price War

Prices cuts imply price wars, Western chip subsidies are against strategy spending in China. Full stack margin at Chinese Automotive makers means...

Fabricated Knowledge

China TMT Update-BEKE/2150.HK/LI/NIO/XPEV-Supportive Policy on Home Purchase;August Vehicle Delivery

China’s first tier cities draft supportive policy on home purchase;Nayuki teahouse average store revenue remains flattish YoY;LI/NIO/XPEV: Li Auto,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-NIO/BEKE/LEGN-NIO to Offer Single-Motor Model;Political Bureau Shifted Tone

NIO: NIO to offer single-motor model ;BEKE: Political Bureau of the Central Committee shifted tone on real estate regulation;LEGN: Janssen reported...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Macro]: A Job-Creating Stimulus that Also Saves the Real Estate

We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, listed companies in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK/ZLAB: 16 Automakers Pledge to Maintain Order;G6 Conversion

XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order;XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50% (+)ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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