Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples ($4,362m of outflows) and financials ($1,929m of outflows) led the outflows in October.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tianqi Lithium, BOE Technology, and outflows from Moutai, Ping An Bank/Insurance, Wulianye, Yili.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples ($4,362m of outflows) and financials ($1,929m of outflows) led the outflows in October.
We highlight inflows into Tianqi Lithium, BOE Technology, and outflows from Moutai, Ping An Bank/Insurance, Wulianye, Yili.


Northbound Flows Monthly (September): One Year High Outflows of $8.3bn

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 28 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.</li>
<li>We had forecast nearly all the changes, though the index committee seems to have used discretion in deciding not to add three Distillers to the index, leading to other changes.</li>
<li>There's a large sector skew with Industrials, Information Technology and Materials stocks taking 17 more spots in the index, while Health Care and Financials lose 9 and 5 spots respectively.</li>
</ul>


There are 28 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.
We had forecast nearly all the changes, though the index committee seems to have used discretion in deciding not to add three Distillers to the index, leading to other changes.
There's a large sector skew with Industrials, Information Technology and Materials stocks taking 17 more spots in the index, while Health Care and Financials lose 9 and 5 spots respectively.


CSI300 Index Rebalance: Big Sector Shift with 28 Changes

<ul>
<li>With a few weeks to the end of the review period, we see 30 potential changes (the maximum allowed at a review) to the index in June.</li>
<li>Most of the changes are high probability ones. We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.48% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.86bn.</li>
<li>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions over the last couple of months. There could be more to go here as positions are built in the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


With a few weeks to the end of the review period, we see 30 potential changes (the maximum allowed at a review) to the index in June.
Most of the changes are high probability ones. We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.48% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.86bn.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions over the last couple of months. There could be more to go here as positions are built in the next few weeks.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Maxing Out the 30 Changes

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer staples and materials sectors led the outflows while energy, communication services and real estate led the inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks with top weekly outflows: Moutai, East Money, Yunnan Energy, CATL, Naura Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer staples and materials sectors led the outflows while energy, communication services and real estate led the inflows.
We highlight stocks with top weekly outflows: Moutai, East Money, Yunnan Energy, CATL, Naura Tech.


Northbound Flows: $10bn Outflows in 2 Weeks

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>
<p>The China STAR market (or the Science and Technology Innovation Board, or China's reply to the NASDAQ) started trading on 22 July 2019 with 25 stocks listed. Currently, there are 123 stocks listed on the STAR Board.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Turnover has picked up over the last few months as the market moves higher and tries to reach the highs that it did in August 2019.</p>
<p>To celebrate its first anniversary, there have been a number of announcements made on inclusion eligibility of STAR Board stocks in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite index, potential inclusion of STAR Board stocks in the Stock Connect program, and the launch of the STAR 50 index. Put together, this should increase the visibility of the stocks listed on the STAR Board by improving accessibility and bringing passive index flow in to the market.</p>
</div>


The China STAR market (or the Science and Technology Innovation Board, or China's reply to the NASDAQ) started trading on 22 July 2019 with 25 stocks listed. Currently, there are 123 stocks listed on the STAR Board.


Turnover has picked up over the last few months as the market moves higher and tries to reach the highs that it did in August 2019.
To celebrate its first anniversary, there have been a number of announcements made on inclusion eligibility of STAR Board stocks in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite index, potential inclusion of STAR Board stocks in the Stock Connect program, and the launch of the STAR 50 index. Put together, this should increase the visibility of the stocks listed on the STAR Board by improving accessibility and bringing passive index flow in to the market.


STAR Board: Launch of STAR50 Index and Inclusion in SSE Composite Indices

China

Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium battery electrode materials. The Company manufactures and sells lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide and other related products. Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology markets its products throughout China.

Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Techn (688005 CH)

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Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Techn (688005 CH)

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): One Year High Outflows of $8.3bn

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, BOE Technology, Moutai, Ping An Bank...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300 Index Rebalance: Big Sector Shift with 28 Changes

The June rebalance of the CSI300 Index will have 28 changes, a large sector skew, one-way turnover of 4.11% and a one-way trade of CNY 10bn. The...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Maxing Out the 30 Changes

We estimate 30 changes at the June rebalance with a one-way turnover of 4.48% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.86bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows: $10bn Outflows in 2 Weeks

We highlight two weeks of big outflows from A-share by northbound investors, and stocks with top weekly outflows including Moutai, East Money,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAR Board: Launch of STAR50 Index and Inclusion in SSE Composite Indices

The China STAR market (or the Science and Technology Innovation Board, or China's reply to the NASDAQ) started trading on 22 July 2019 with 25...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)