Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Thursday 1 December 2016</p><div><strong>Bracing for early December risk off phase</strong></div><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/nNOppOUYGp" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/nNOppOUYGp&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1480654826274000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFoeG0NlUnu_Ji5NyI4j-oXq5r9NA">http://www.screencast.com/t/nNOppOUYGp</a> </strong>6:41 min.</p><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/017/124/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1480568526" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="17124"></figure><div class="content-caption">Defensive positioning webcast</div>
</div><div>Base case called for a tactical cycle peak for equities in late November ahead of a risk-off phase in the first half of December per our cycle work and a natural US equity stall led by tech. EM's are in a vulnerable position given a firm USD and firm yield levels (even with a corrective dollar and yield dip)…</div>

Chartonics webcast Thursday 1 December 2016Bracing for early December risk off phaseTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/nNOppOUYGp 6:41 min.
Defensive positioning webcast
Base case called for a tactical cycle peak for equities in late November ahead of a risk-off phase in the first half of December per our cycle work and a natural US equity stall led by tech. EM's are in a vulnerable position given a firm USD and firm yield levels (even with a corrective dollar and yield dip)…

Bracing for Early December Risk off Phase - Euro 1.05 Inflection

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for Uber across cities, learnt during one of his early India visits. He was exhorting Indians to be hustlers during a guest lecture to aspiring tech entrepreneurs.  <strong>And India definitely seems to have lived up to its reputation of Jugaad/Hustlers once again after demonetization, as more than half of the outstanding High-Value notes (Rs8trn out of Rs15.3trn)</strong>…</p>

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for Uber across cities, learnt during one of his early India visits. He was exhorting Indians to be hustlers during a guest lecture to aspiring tech entrepreneurs.  And India definitely seems to have lived up to its reputation of Jugaad/Hustlers once again after demonetization, as more than half of the outstanding High-Value notes (Rs8trn out of Rs15.3trn)…

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

Managing Partner, Ampersand Investment Advisors

Rahul Singh

Managing Partner

Ampersand Investment Advisors

<p>We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth expectations. While we expected a correction, it came from completely unexpected quarters. The beneficiaries from the favorable macro tidings (monsoons, pay commission) in what was supposed to be a very strong 2HFY17 have suffered a setback post-demonetization. This prompts us to re-evaluate our sector and market cap preferences in this edition of the Ampersand newsletter.</p>

We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth expectations. While we expected a correction, it came from completely unexpected quarters. The beneficiaries from the favorable macro tidings (monsoons, pay commission) in what was supposed to be a very strong 2HFY17 have suffered a setback post-demonetization. This prompts us to re-evaluate our sector and market cap preferences in this edition of the Ampersand newsletter.

Independent Insight Provider

Stewart Paterson

Taurus Advisors LLP

Macroeconomics

<p> Over the past five years or so, since the RMB moved into over-valuation territory, there has been a consistent and inverse relationship between the RMB and US bond yields. RMB strength has been associated with rising US bond yields while RMB weakness has been associated with falling bond yields. The rationale should be apparent but as RMB weakness is associated with the potential for Chinese exporters to lower their USD prices (and incidentally reduce Asian corporate earnings outside of China)…</p>

 Over the past five years or so, since the RMB moved into over-valuation territory, there has been a consistent and inverse relationship between the RMB and US bond yields. RMB strength has been associated with rising US bond yields while RMB weakness has been associated with falling bond yields. The rationale should be apparent but as RMB weakness is associated with the potential for Chinese exporters to lower their USD prices (and incidentally reduce Asian corporate earnings outside of China)…

Money Matters: US Bond Yields & USD/RMB - A Paradigm Shift?

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

<p>§ <span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><strong>As many as 9 STI Stocks have traded more than double their three month daily average volume in trading sessions for the early week of 21 November.</strong></p><p style="text-align: start;">§ <span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><strong>Biggest volume surges were generated by Genting Singapore PLC which traded almost 5x its average volume on Monday, and StarHub which traded 4x its average volume on Monday – then 3x its average volume on Tuesday.</strong></p><p style="text-align: start;">§ <span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><strong>The 9 Stocks, which represent five Sectors have together averaged a 1.5% gain in the November MTD, bringing their 2016 YTD average</strong>…</p>

§  As many as 9 STI Stocks have traded more than double their three month daily average volume in trading sessions for the early week of 21 November.§  Biggest volume surges were generated by Genting Singapore PLC which traded almost 5x its average volume on Monday, and StarHub which traded 4x its average volume on Monday – then 3x its average volume on Tuesday.§  The 9 Stocks, which represent five Sectors have together averaged a 1.5% gain in the November MTD, bringing their 2016 YTD average…

Nine STI Stocks See Volume Surge in Early Week

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

Bracing for Early December Risk off Phase - Euro 1.05 Inflection

Chartonics webcast Thursday 1 December 2016Bracing for early December risk off phaseTo view click on this...

Thomas Schroeder

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for...

Asia Advisors

Money Matters: US Bond Yields & USD/RMB - A Paradigm Shift?

Over the past five years or so, since the RMB moved into over-valuation territory, there has been a consistent and inverse relationship between...

Stewart Paterson

Nine STI Stocks See Volume Surge in Early Week

§ As many as 9 STI Stocks have traded more than double their three month daily average volume in trading sessions for the early week of 21...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Bracing for Early December Risk off Phase - Euro 1.05 Inflection

Chartonics webcast Thursday 1 December 2016Bracing for early December risk off phaseTo view click on this...

Thomas Schroeder

'Indian Hustle' Undermines Govt Efforts to Curb Black Money: Demonetization May Be A Costly Mistake!

"Jugaad" is the popular Indian word for "Hustle", as the self-proclaimed hustling CEO Travis Kalanick who has been pushing legal boundaries for...

Asia Advisors

Taking Fresh Guard - Nov 16 Newsletter

We have been incessantly cautioning for a corrective phase in our stock markets mainly due to excessive valuations based of unrealistic growth...

Ampersand Investment Advisors

Money Matters: US Bond Yields & USD/RMB - A Paradigm Shift?

Over the past five years or so, since the RMB moved into over-valuation territory, there has been a consistent and inverse relationship between...

Stewart Paterson

Nine STI Stocks See Volume Surge in Early Week

§ As many as 9 STI Stocks have traded more than double their three month daily average volume in trading sessions for the early week of 21...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)