ANIMAL SPIRITS™ REPORT: Greater China View - China "Goldilocks", HK "Revival" & Taiwan "Bond-Proxy"
Investment ConclusionsMacro, Index and Sector Views Our macro baseline scenario is positive on emerging markets (EM) in Q4, 2016. We see...
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Consumer Banks in Asia May Fare Better at a Time when Large Corporate Stresses Are Evident
There is plenty of corporate risk out there. We have seen this across several large economies in the way of meaningful corporate stress. In South...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Japan Equity Market Outlook - BOJ, Fed & The Value Trap
Executive Summary This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two...
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US Stock Market Seasonality: Shemitah Redux, The Afterparty
Almost exactly a year ago I wrote a piece on stock market seasonality titled Stock Market Seasonality - Januaries, SuperBowls, Third Years,...
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Financial Services Observer: Solving the Interest Rate Equation
Trends in Technology, Demographics, and Borrowing Will Set the Course of Rates We hypothesise that three main factors will determine the future...
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