Head of Trading/ Partner, AceGama Advisors

Sankalp Singh

Head of Trading/ Partner

Proprietary Trading Desk

AceGama Advisors

Trading desk specializing in the Listed & OTC options strategies for risk management & investment purposes.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Indian markets to implement T+0 settlement cycle starting 28-March-2024. Phase-wise transition planned .</li>
<li>Upcoming long weekends causing drastic markdown in IV levels. This combined with "High &amp; Down" vol regime - short gamma/ short vega trades recommended.  </li>
<li>Contango shape of Volatility curves are an additional reason to be short gamma &amp; earning theta</li>
</ul>


Indian markets to implement T+0 settlement cycle starting 28-March-2024. Phase-wise transition planned .
Upcoming long weekends causing drastic markdown in IV levels. This combined with "High &amp; Down" vol regime - short gamma/ short vega trades recommended.  
Contango shape of Volatility curves are an additional reason to be short gamma &amp; earning theta


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 18-Mar-24 to 22-Mar-24

<ul>
<li>Multiple factors help IVs stabilize after last week's spike. "High &amp; Up" vol state to persist until elections results on 04-June-2024.</li>
<li>SEBI makes changes to Dynamic Price-band Mechanism. Will impact options market-making &amp; should have an overall Vol suppressing effect. </li>
<li>Nifty50 10-delta Risk-reversals extend to -8.5% as the Index reaches 23000. Risk-premia favouring puts over calls is looking over-extended.</li>
</ul>


Multiple factors help IVs stabilize after last week's spike. "High &amp; Up" vol state to persist until elections results on 04-June-2024.
SEBI makes changes to Dynamic Price-band Mechanism. Will impact options market-making &amp; should have an overall Vol suppressing effect. 
Nifty50 10-delta Risk-reversals extend to -8.5% as the Index reaches 23000. Risk-premia favouring puts over calls is looking over-extended.


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 20-May-24 to 24-May-24

<ul>
<li>Curtail Short Gamma &amp; Short Vega exposure as Vol-regime has switched to "High &amp; Up" state.  </li>
<li>Short-Dated IVs traded markedly lower, driven by recovering equities &amp; the 20-May market holiday</li>
<li>Nifty50 vol curve is exhibiting unusual kinked shape. Monthly IVs are commanding a large vol markup relative to rest of the curve. </li>
</ul>


Curtail Short Gamma &amp; Short Vega exposure as Vol-regime has switched to "High &amp; Up" state.  
Short-Dated IVs traded markedly lower, driven by recovering equities &amp; the 20-May market holiday
Nifty50 vol curve is exhibiting unusual kinked shape. Monthly IVs are commanding a large vol markup relative to rest of the curve. 


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 13-May-24 to 17-May-24

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent (TRENT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ltimindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22778:1" rel="noopener">LTIMindtree (LTIM IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/divi-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4871:1" rel="noopener">Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the close on 27 September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade at least 5 days of ADV and over 11 days of delivery volume in the stocks.</li>
<li>All the index changes are also changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and there will be opposing flows (though much smaller in size) for the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Trent (TRENT IN) and Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) will replace LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) and Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the close on 27 September.
Passive trackers will need to trade at least 5 days of ADV and over 11 days of delivery volume in the stocks.
All the index changes are also changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and there will be opposing flows (though much smaller in size) for the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

<ul>
<li>Election-Related volatility being reflected in options. India VIX has surged 70% over the past two weeks. Quarterly IVs have seen the largest rise as they capture election result date.</li>
<li>BankNifty IVs are finally responding as the market plays catch up to the bank regulator's new-found aggressiveness</li>
<li>Elevated Vol-of-vol observed the past few weeks. Vol-regime Switching Model continues to point to "High &amp; Down" state. Odds of switching to a "High &amp; Up" state are increasing.</li>
</ul>


Election-Related volatility being reflected in options. India VIX has surged 70% over the past two weeks. Quarterly IVs have seen the largest rise as they capture election result date.
BankNifty IVs are finally responding as the market plays catch up to the bank regulator's new-found aggressiveness
Elevated Vol-of-vol observed the past few weeks. Vol-regime Switching Model continues to point to "High &amp; Down" state. Odds of switching to a "High &amp; Up" state are increasing.


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 06-May-24 to 10-May-24

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 18-Mar-24 to 22-Mar-24

Upcoming long weekends and contango volatility curves prompting short gamma/short vega trades. Indian markets to shift to T+0 settlement cycle in ...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 20-May-24 to 24-May-24

IVs stabilize post-spike but high vol state will last until election results. SEBI changes to impact options market-making, Nifty50 risk-reversals...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 13-May-24 to 17-May-24

Vol-regime has switched to "High & Up" state. Reduce Short Gamma & Short Vega exposure. Short-Dated IVs softer on account of market holiday....

AceGama Advisors

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace LTIM and Divi Lab in the NIFTY50. There is over 5x ADV/11x delivery volume to trade in the stocks. There...

Brian Freitas

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 06-May-24 to 10-May-24

IVs have surged due to election-related uncertainty. BankNifty options market finally responding to RBI aggression. Vol-of-vol is elevated but...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 18-Mar-24 to 22-Mar-24

Upcoming long weekends and contango volatility curves prompting short gamma/short vega trades. ​Indian markets to shift to T+0 settlement cycle in ...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 20-May-24 to 24-May-24

​IVs stabilize post-spike but high vol state will last until election results. SEBI changes to impact options market-making, Nifty50 risk-reversals...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 13-May-24 to 17-May-24

Vol-regime has switched to "High & Up" state. ​Reduce Short Gamma & Short Vega exposure. Short-Dated IVs softer on account of market holiday....

AceGama Advisors

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace LTIM and Divi Lab in the NIFTY50. There is over 5x ADV/11x delivery volume to trade in the stocks. There...

Brian Freitas

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 06-May-24 to 10-May-24

IVs have surged due to election-related uncertainty. BankNifty options market finally responding to RBI aggression. Vol-of-vol is elevated but...

AceGama Advisors

Upcoming long weekends and contango volatility curves prompting short gamma/short vega trades. Indian markets to shift to T+0 settlement cycle in ...

IVs stabilize post-spike but high vol state will last until election results. SEBI changes to impact options market-making, Nifty50 risk-reversals...

Vol-regime has switched to "High & Up" state. Reduce Short Gamma & Short Vega exposure. Short-Dated IVs softer on account of market holiday....