IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Lygend Resources & Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lygend-resources-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36493:1" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$15.80 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$3.5 billion (US$450 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lygend-resources-technology-ipo-riding-the-wave" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84558" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Riding the Wave</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lygend-resources-technology-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84749" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK) priced its IPO at HK$15.80 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$3.5 billion (US$450 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Riding the Wave and Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Valuation Insights.
Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.


Lygend Resources & Technology IPO: Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lygend-resources-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36493:1" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK)</a>, a nickel play, has launched its IPO to raise up to US$595 million. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lygend-resources-technology-ipo-riding-the-wave" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84558" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Riding the Wave</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and look at valuation. Lygend is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate.</li>
</ul>



Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK), a nickel play, has launched its IPO to raise up to US$595 million. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Lygend Resources &amp; Technology IPO: Riding the Wave. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and look at valuation. Lygend is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate.


Lygend Resources & Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lygend-resources-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36493:1" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (LR HK)</a>, a nickel play, is set to open its books for an HKEx IPO to raise US$700-800 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>Lygend had the largest nickel ore trading volume in China in 2019, 2020 and 2021, with a market share of 26.8% in 2021.</li>
<li>The fundamentals are solid as the consolidation of HPL has delivered strong growth and an improved margin profile, at manageable leverage.</li>
</ul>



Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (LR HK), a nickel play, is set to open its books for an HKEx IPO to raise US$700-800 million, according to press reports.
Lygend had the largest nickel ore trading volume in China in 2019, 2020 and 2021, with a market share of 26.8% in 2021.
The fundamentals are solid as the consolidation of HPL has delivered strong growth and an improved margin profile, at manageable leverage.


Lygend Resources & Technology IPO: Riding the Wave

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, the portfolio has gained 195% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 new join the fray
Since inception, the portfolio has gained 195% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The broad global indexes are decisively below our "lines in the sand" of $54 on MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on MSCI EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).</li>
<li>As noted in our Feb. 15 Int'l Macro Vision, we are bearish at the index level as long as we are below the aforementioned levels.</li>
<li>Global 10-year sovereign yields remain elevated, leading to outperformance from value Sectors (Energy/Materials/Financials) which remain our preferred area of the market. We also continue to like defensive areas, especially Staples.</li>
</ul>


The broad global indexes are decisively below our "lines in the sand" of $54 on MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on MSCI EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
As noted in our Feb. 15 Int'l Macro Vision, we are bearish at the index level as long as we are below the aforementioned levels.
Global 10-year sovereign yields remain elevated, leading to outperformance from value Sectors (Energy/Materials/Financials) which remain our preferred area of the market. We also continue to like defensive areas, especially Staples.


Buying Metals/Mining and Consumer Staples

Philippines

Apex Mining Co., Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of gold, silver, copper, lead, zinc brass, iron, steel, and other metals and minerals in the Philippines. It operates the Maco mines located in Maco, Compostela Valley. The company is also involved in the oil exploration and development activities. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Pasig City, the Philippines.

Philex Mining Corporation produces copper concentrates, containing copper, gold, and silver. The Company was incorporated in 1955.

Atlas Consolidated Mining & Development Corporation is a Philippine company engaged in metallic mineral mining and exploration. The Company currently produces copper concentrate (with gold and silver), magnetite iron ore concentrate and laterite nickel.

Atlas Consolidated Mining & Development (AT PM)

Atok-Big Wedge Co., Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a gas and oil exploration and production company with a portfolio of projects in the Philippines. The company has an interest in the Service Contract 72, an oil and gas project situated offshore West of Palawan Island. It also provides stock transfer agency services. The company was formerly known as Atok-Big Wedge Mining Co., Inc. and changed its name to Atok-Big Wedge Co., Inc. in 1996. Atok-Big Wedge Co., Inc. was incorporated in 1931 and is based in Makati, the Philippines. Atok-Big Wedge Co., Inc. is a subsidiary of Boerstar Corporation.

Phinma Corporation operates property and shelter, education, energy and financial services businesses.  The Company produces galvanized and painted steel coils and sheets; builds affordable housing; holds the Philippine master franchise for a motel company; operates universities; explores for oil; generates electricity; and offers securities brokerage and transfer services.

Lepanto Consolidated Mining Company engages in the exploration and mining of mineral properties primarily in the Philippines. The company operates through three segments: Mining Activities, Service, and Others. It explores for gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc, as well as various kinds of ores, metals, minerals, oil, gas, coal, and related by-products. The company holds interests in the Victoria and Teresa gold projects, and the Enargite copper project located in Mankayan, Benguet. It is also involved in drilling, hauling, and sawmilling activities; apartments/guesthouses and warehouses leasing activities; and insurance and real estate brokerage businesses. In addition, the company offers diamond drilling services primarily to mining companies; and manufactures, distributes, and sells industrial diamond tools, including diamond core and non-core bits, reamer shells, casing bits, diamond circular segmental and diamond gang saws, and tubular and other products for mining exploration, marble cutting, and the construction industry. Lepanto Consolidated Mining Company was founded in 1936 and is based in Makati, the Philippines.

Marcventures Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, Marcventures Mining and Development Corporation, primarily explores for, develops, and mines nickel ores in the Philippines. It has a mineral production sharing agreement that covers an area of approximately 4,799 hectares located in Cantilan, Surigao Del Sur. The company was incorporated in 1957 and is based in Makati City, the Philippines. Marcventures Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of PCD Nominee Corporation.

D&L Industries Inc is a Philippine company that customizes raw materials for the food, plastics, chemicals, and aerosol industries. The Company's major end-market is food and beverage, including snacks and QSRs. D&L Industries also manufactures and sells materials to the automotive, oil and gas, as well as personal care and home care industries.

Asiabest Group International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in mining and real estate businesses. It has a management agreement with an option to buy with Geogen Corporation, a mining company that holds mining claims in the Dinapigue nickel project located in Dinapigue, Isabela. The company was formerly known as AGP Industrial Corporation and changed its name to Asiabest Group International, Inc. in March 2012. Asiabest Group International, Inc. is based in Makati City, the Philippines.

Oriental Peninsula Resources Group Inc., through its subsidiary, Citinickel Mines and Development Corporation, prospects, locates, acquires, holds, explores, develops, exploits, operates and leases mineral properties in the Philippines. The company explores for nickel, chromite, copper, manganese, magnesite, silver, gold, and other precious and non-precious minerals. It holds interests in a total contract area of 2,176 hectares comprising the Pulot mine covering 1,408 hectares located in the municipality of Sofronio Espa�ola, Palawan; and the Toronto mine covering 768 hectares located in the municipality of Narra, Palawan. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Makati City, the Philippines.

Resolute Mining Limited explores for, produces and develops gold in Mali and Queensland, Australia. The Company's gold exploration projects include Syama and Ravenswood.

Gallantt Metal Ltd. manufactures steel.  The Company produces sponge iron, billets, and thermo mechanically treated bars.

Liuzhou Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. mainly engages in the selling of sintered products, iron and steel making and their by-products. The Company also sells rolled steel, coke and their by-products, engages in related technology export, raw materials, equipment and parts import.

Jiangsu Wuzhong Industrial Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells medicines while engages in real estate development. The company also produces specialty chemicals.

Jiangsu Wuzhong Industrial Co., (600200 CH)

Wanguo International Mining Group Limited is  mining company. The Company is focused on the business of mining , ore processing, and the sale of concentrates in the Peoples Republic of China.

Imdex Ltd operates as a mining equipment, technology, and services company. The Company provides drilling fluids and down hole instrumentation to mining, oil and gas, water well, and civil engineering industries worldwide.

Henan Yuguang Gold&Lead Co., Ltd. smelts electrolytic lead, silver, gold, and other non-ferrous metals.  The Company also imports and exports non-ferrous metals.

Henan Yuguang Gold & Lead Co., (600531 CH)

Silver Lake Resources Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company is focused on gold exploration in Western Australia.

SunCoke Energy, Inc. supplies high-quality coke used in the blast furnace production of steel, under long-term, take-or-pay contracts that pass through commodity and certain operating costs to customers. We utilize an innovative heat-recovery technology that captures excess heat for steam or electrical power generation. Our cokemaking facilities are located in US and Brazil.

Western Metal Materials Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells sheet, strip, foil, wire, bar and tube of rare and precious metal materials.

Nickel Asia Corporation explores for and produces nickel in the Philippines.

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Nickel Asia (NIKL PM)

Lygend Resources & Technology IPO: Trading Debut

Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains...

Arun George

Lygend Resources & Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

In this note, we present our forecasts and look at valuation. Lygend is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate.

Arun George

Lygend Resources & Technology IPO: Riding the Wave

The fundamentals are solid as the consolidation of HPL has delivered strong growth and an improved margin profile, at manageable leverage.

Arun George

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 38

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, and 11 new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Buying Metals/Mining and Consumer Staples

Commodity prices remain in a secular bull market, and now even gold is joining the rally. This is bullish for global metals/mining stocks (precious...

Vermilion Research

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