Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

New World Development / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> nudges an all-time low P/B and implied stub; as the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">NWS Holdings (659 HK)</a> moves gradually forward. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on NWD/NWS are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



New World Development (17 HK) nudges an all-time low P/B and implied stub; as the privatisation of NWS Holdings (659 HK) moves gradually forward. 
Preceding my comments on NWD/NWS are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: NWD (17 HK) Is Cheap. It May Get Cheaper Still

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keiyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14415:1" rel="noopener">Keiyo Co Ltd (8168 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symbio-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20292:1" rel="noopener">Symbio Holdings (SYM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-china-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:888:1" rel="noopener">IMAX China Holding (1970 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yaizu-suisankagaku-industry" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20044:1" rel="noopener">Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-pmc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13752:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Keiyo Co Ltd (8168 JP), 111 Inc (YI US), Eoflow (294090 KS), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), IMAX China Holding (1970 HK), JSR Corp (4185 JP). 
Lowest spreads  Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP), Healius (HLS AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS), Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (02 Oct) - NWS, Mason, IMAX China, Keiyo, System Info, Toyo, Symbio, Allkem

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>PBoC cut 25bps of RRR, being the second cut in 2023, and is expected to inject 500bn of liquidity into the system. The average RRR is 7.4% post cut</li>
<li>We look at the potential pair trade of China and HK for property.  The original thesis was that China offers higher growth to investors</li>
<li>Now, the thesis no longer holds.  The trade now becomes more complicated, given the moving pieces both from top down and bottom up.  We recommend single stock trade.</li>
</ul>


PBoC cut 25bps of RRR, being the second cut in 2023, and is expected to inject 500bn of liquidity into the system. The average RRR is 7.4% post cut
We look at the potential pair trade of China and HK for property.  The original thesis was that China offers higher growth to investors
Now, the thesis no longer holds.  The trade now becomes more complicated, given the moving pieces both from top down and bottom up.  We recommend single stock trade.


China RRR Cut, Macro, & A Debate on – Property Pair Trade “Long China and Short HK” (Or the Reverse)

Equity Bottom-Up

Sun Hung Kai Properties / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-hung-kai-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:111:1" rel="noopener">Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK)</a> released its interim results, shares declined 12.7% intra-day this past Monday, touching a 14-year low, before closing down 9.5%. </li>
<li>The same day, the Kwok family increased their stake in the company, purchasing ~2.2mn shares for ~HK$175mn.  </li>
<li>SHKP is currently trading a trailing P/B of 0.36x versus its five-year average of 0.54x, and the five-year average preceding Covid of 0.68x.</li>
</ul>


After Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK) released its interim results, shares declined 12.7% intra-day this past Monday, touching a 14-year low, before closing down 9.5%. 
The same day, the Kwok family increased their stake in the company, purchasing ~2.2mn shares for ~HK$175mn.  
SHKP is currently trading a trailing P/B of 0.36x versus its five-year average of 0.54x, and the five-year average preceding Covid of 0.68x.


Sun Hung Kai (16 HK): The Kwoks Step In To Stem The Tide

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dali-foods-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1082:1" rel="noopener">Dali Foods Group (3799 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">Nws Holdings (659 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a>, Yitai Coal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ddh1-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36022:1" rel="noopener">DDH1 (DDH AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Tryt Inc (9164 JP), Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - JSR Corp (4185 JP), Dali Foods Group (3799 HK), Nws Holdings (659 HK), Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK), Yitai Coal, DDH1 (DDH AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Hong Kong

New World Development Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties, provides contracting services, property management, and transportation services.  The Company also operates infrastructure business, telecommunication services, department stores, hotels and restaurants, and media and technology business.

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New World Development (17 HK)

StubWorld: NWD (17 HK) Is Cheap. It May Get Cheaper Still

If the Chengs aren't buying here, it doesn't exactly compel investors to do otherwise. The arb for NWS Holdings looks like a better bet here after...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (02 Oct) - NWS, Mason, IMAX China, Keiyo, System Info, Toyo, Symbio, Allkem

This week, the highest gross spreads are Keiyo (58.3%), 111 (40.8%), Eoflow (22.4%), Symbio (19.3%), IMAX China (19.0%), JSR (8.3%), Boustead...

Arun George

China RRR Cut, Macro, & A Debate on – Property Pair Trade “Long China and Short HK” (Or the Reverse)

The RRR cut is another step of China's easing. We looked at the old pair trade between China and HK for property. The picture today is more...

Jacob Cheng

Sun Hung Kai (16 HK): The Kwoks Step In To Stem The Tide

I can't think of a compelling reason to get exposure in SHKP here. I can think of a number of compelling reasons not to.

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, JSR, DDH1/Perenti, Silk Laser) and ECM (Tryt, J&T...

Arun George

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