Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the SE600 and EURSTX Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be up to seven index changes in the run up to the December 2023 rebalance.</li>
<li>This includes a couple of intra-review index changes that could be triggered by the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dechra-pharmaceuticals-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21908:1" rel="noopener">Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chr-hansen-holding-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22322:1" rel="noopener">Chr Hansen Holding A/S (CHR DC)</a> takeover situations.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the SE600 and EURSTX Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.
There could be up to seven index changes in the run up to the December 2023 rebalance.
This includes a couple of intra-review index changes that could be triggered by the Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN) and Chr Hansen Holding A/S (CHR DC) takeover situations.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Dec 23: 7 Changes Possible Including Two Intra-Review Changes

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be a couple of intra-review changes in the next 2-3 months but the intra-review replacement names could depend on the timing of these changes.</li>
<li>Separately, I see one regular ADD and DELETE for F250 in December 2023 but many names are close to the border and index change expectations could change if prices fluctuate.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2023 Rebalance.
There could be a couple of intra-review changes in the next 2-3 months but the intra-review replacement names could depend on the timing of these changes.
Separately, I see one regular ADD and DELETE for F250 in December 2023 but many names are close to the border and index change expectations could change if prices fluctuate.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run up to the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I currently expect two changes for the F100 index and three changes for the F250 index.</li>
<li>As always, there are several names lurking just outside the borders and could be involved in index changes in September 2023 if there are sharp price changes.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run up to the September 2023 Rebalance.
I currently expect two changes for the F100 index and three changes for the F250 index.
As always, there are several names lurking just outside the borders and could be involved in index changes in September 2023 if there are sharp price changes.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​250 Sep 23: Two F100 Change and Three F250 Changes Likely

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Network International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/network-international-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28918:1" rel="noopener">Network International Holdings (NETW LN)</a> and a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brookfield-asset-management-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23741:1" rel="noopener">Brookfield Asset Management Lt (BAM US)</a>-led consortium agreed on a 400p/share cash offer (64% premium, 12.9x EV/Fwd EBITDA) to be implemented via a scheme of arrangement. </li>
<li>Network is no longer grossly undervalued. The 9 June closing share price of 383p represents an 89% chance of completing the deal (based on the 245p close price). </li>
<li>Synergies have not been quantified, but may explain why Brookfield's consortium has been able to trump CVC. Spread is 4.25%/8.92% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by 15 December). Long.</li>
</ul>



Network International Holdings (NETW LN) and a Brookfield Asset Management Lt (BAM US)-led consortium agreed on a 400p/share cash offer (64% premium, 12.9x EV/Fwd EBITDA) to be implemented via a scheme of arrangement. 
Network is no longer grossly undervalued. The 9 June closing share price of 383p represents an 89% chance of completing the deal (based on the 245p close price). 
Synergies have not been quantified, but may explain why Brookfield's consortium has been able to trump CVC. Spread is 4.25%/8.92% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by 15 December). Long.


<ul>
<li>Middle East and Africa leading payments processing firm Network International is in play. On 21 April, Brookfield submitted a 400p competing proposal, vs. CVC/Francisco's earlier 387p. Network was trading cheaply.</li>
<li>Exposure to underserved MEA markets should support sustainable longer-term growth. My fair value estimate is 431p. The shares trade 0.75% below Brookfield's proposal, the market awaits a counteroffer from CVC/Francisco.</li>
<li>The fact that Brookfield has raised just 3.4% above CVC/Francisco seems to signal that Brookfield will be cautious in case of an "auction". <strong>Long.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


Middle East and Africa leading payments processing firm Network International is in play. On 21 April, Brookfield submitted a 400p competing proposal, vs. CVC/Francisco's earlier 387p. Network was trading cheaply.
Exposure to underserved MEA markets should support sustainable longer-term growth. My fair value estimate is 431p. The shares trade 0.75% below Brookfield's proposal, the market awaits a counteroffer from CVC/Francisco.
The fact that Brookfield has raised just 3.4% above CVC/Francisco seems to signal that Brookfield will be cautious in case of an "auction". Long.



United Arab Emirates

Network International Holdings PLC operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides payment solution such as payment devices, online payment, easy payment plan, online reward, cashback, prepaid card solutions, and other related services. Network International Holdings serves customers in Middle East and Africa.

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Network International Holdings (NETW LN)

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Dec 23: 7 Changes Possible Including Two Intra-Review Changes

If the Dechra Pharma and Chr Hansen deals close prior to the Dec 23 review, there will be intra-review replacements. Synthomer and Adevinta are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Tullow Oil, Kier Group, and AO world are currently the top 3 F250 potential ADDs. Alfa Financial, ASOS, and XP power are next in line. There could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Sep 23: Two F100 Change and Three F250 Changes Likely

Newly-listed cross-border payment services provider Cab Payments Holdings Plc (CABP LN) could be added to the F250 index in September 2023 unless...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Brookfield to Buy Network International

On 9 June, just before the expiration of the PUSU deadline, Brookfield and Network agreed on a 400p/share cash offer to be effected via a scheme of...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Competing Proposals

On 21 April, Network International confirmed that it had received a highly preliminary, non-binding proposal regarding a possible cash offer of...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Dec 23: 7 Changes Possible Including Two Intra-Review Changes

If the Dechra Pharma and Chr Hansen deals close prior to the Dec 23 review, there will be intra-review replacements. Synthomer and Adevinta are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Tullow Oil, Kier Group, and AO world are currently the top 3 F250 potential ADDs. Alfa Financial, ASOS, and XP power are next in line. There could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​250 Sep 23: Two F100 Change and Three F250 Changes Likely

Newly-listed cross-border payment services provider Cab Payments Holdings Plc (CABP LN) could be added to the F250 index in September 2023 unless...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Brookfield to Buy Network International

On 9 June, just before the expiration of the PUSU deadline, Brookfield and Network agreed on a 400p/share cash offer to be effected via a scheme of...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Competing Proposals

On 21 April, Network International confirmed that it had received a highly preliminary, non-binding proposal regarding a possible cash offer of...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Dec 23: Dechra, Network International, and Other Potential Changes

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Sep 23: Two F100 Change and Three F250 Changes Likely