Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK：Tencent's &lt;Need for Speed Mobile&gt; is set to be released in 3Q24.(+)</li>
<li>Douyin/3690 HK: Douyin to acquire payment license for local life services biz, implying heightened competition for Meituan.（-）</li>
<li>TCOM: Railway passenger volume during Qingming holiday expected to reach 111% of 2019 level, showing a decline compared to the Spring Festival.</li>
</ul>


700 HK：Tencent's &lt;Need for Speed Mobile&gt; is set to be released in 3Q24.(+)
Douyin/3690 HK: Douyin to acquire payment license for local life services biz, implying heightened competition for Meituan.（-）
TCOM: Railway passenger volume during Qingming holiday expected to reach 111% of 2019 level, showing a decline compared to the Spring Festival.


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/Douyin/3690 HK/TCOM US/BABA US/NTES US

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With no stocks in outright inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5.3% leading to a round-trip trade of US$1.51bn.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> is expected to be the largest buy in June following the stock being the largest sell at the March rebalance (also due to capping).</li>
</ul>


With no stocks in outright inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June.
Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5.3% leading to a round-trip trade of US$1.51bn.

Li Auto (2015 HK) is expected to be the largest buy in June following the stock being the largest sell at the March rebalance (also due to capping).


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$1.5bn in June

<ul>
<li>NTES US/1024 HK: The NPPA has released the approval results for domestic online games in March.(+/+)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/PDD US /1024 HK: Alibaba to start charging live-streaming commissions (+)</li>
<li>241 HK: Alibaba Health updates its guidance for fiscal year 2023-24 and fiscal year 2024-25, introducing Alimama advertising revenue, but it is still not cheap（/）</li>
</ul>


NTES US/1024 HK: The NPPA has released the approval results for domestic online games in March.(+/+)
BABA US/JD US/PDD US /1024 HK: Alibaba to start charging live-streaming commissions (+)
241 HK: Alibaba Health updates its guidance for fiscal year 2023-24 and fiscal year 2024-25, introducing Alimama advertising revenue, but it is still not cheap（/）


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/1024 HK/BABA US /JD US /PDD US /241 HK/Douyin/ 3690 HK/ TCOM

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the Feb batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>However, neither Tencent and Netease got any approval in March.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the Feb batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
However, neither Tencent and Netease got any approval in March.


Tencent/Netease: Both Zeroed in March Game Approval

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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NetEase (9999 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/Douyin/3690 HK/TCOM US/BABA US/NTES US

Tencent to release Need for Speed Mobile in 3Q24, Douyin acquires payment license for local services, railway passenger volume during Qingming...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$1.5bn in June

We do not expect any constituent changes for the HSTECH Index in June. Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5.3% leading to a round...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/1024 HK/BABA US /JD US /PDD US /241 HK/Douyin/ 3690 HK/ TCOM

NPPA approves domestic online games in March; Alibaba to charge live-streaming commissions; Alibaba Health updates guidance for fiscal years 2023-25.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Screening for GEMs: April 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Tencent/Netease: Both Zeroed in March Game Approval

China's game approval process shows higher levels than in 2023, with an accelerated pace resembling pre-tightening, but major companies like...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/Douyin/3690 HK/TCOM US/BABA US/NTES US

​Tencent to release Need for Speed Mobile in 3Q24, Douyin acquires payment license for local services, railway passenger volume during Qingming...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$1.5bn in June

We do not expect any constituent changes for the HSTECH Index in June. Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5.3% leading to a round...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES US/1024 HK/BABA US /JD US /PDD US /241 HK/Douyin/ 3690 HK/ TCOM

​NPPA approves domestic online games in March; Alibaba to charge live-streaming commissions; Alibaba Health updates guidance for fiscal years 2023-25.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Screening for GEMs: April 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Tencent/Netease: Both Zeroed in March Game Approval

​China's game approval process shows higher levels than in 2023, with an accelerated pace resembling pre-tightening, but major companies like...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent to release Need for Speed Mobile in 3Q24, Douyin acquires payment license for local services, railway passenger volume during Qingming...

NPPA approves domestic online games in March; Alibaba to charge live-streaming commissions; Alibaba Health updates guidance for fiscal years 2023-25.

China's game approval process shows higher levels than in 2023, with an accelerated pace resembling pre-tightening, but major companies like...