Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>NetEase's recent quarterly earnings report demonstrates a mixed performance characterized by both promising growth areas and some challenges.</li><li>The company's overall financial health remains strong, supported by diversified business operations in gaming, education, music, and other innovative ventures.</li><li>In the gaming segment, NetEase achieved solid results, with total online games net revenue reaching approximately RMB 20 billion, indicating substantial year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter growth in PC games.</li></ul>

NetEase's recent quarterly earnings report demonstrates a mixed performance characterized by both promising growth areas and some challenges.The company's overall financial health remains strong, supported by diversified business operations in gaming, education, music, and other innovative ventures.In the gaming segment, NetEase achieved solid results, with total online games net revenue reaching approximately RMB 20 billion, indicating substantial year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter growth in PC games.

NetEase Inc.: The Expansion of Gaming Portfolio & Global Reach & Other Major Drivers

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>NetEase reported C3Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (3.6%) and (5.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.4%) and (5.0%) vs. consensus. </li>
<li>Mobile game revenue decline is less a concern due to imminent pipeline launches, but PC game’s significantly beat is a positive surprise. </li>
<li>We raised the TP to US$118 for the better outlook of new game launches.</li>
</ul>


NetEase reported C3Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (3.6%) and (5.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.4%) and (5.0%) vs. consensus. 
Mobile game revenue decline is less a concern due to imminent pipeline launches, but PC game’s significantly beat is a positive surprise. 
We raised the TP to US$118 for the better outlook of new game launches.


[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$118) TP Change]: Growth Rebounds Ahead from Both PC and Mobile

<ul>
<li>We expect NTES to report C3Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in (3.8%), in-line and in-line vs. consensus. </li>
<li>Main reason for the revenue miss was product aging in &lt;Justice Mobile&gt; and &lt;Eggy Party&gt; offsetting &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt;;</li>
<li>We cut TP from US$122 to US$110 to reflect the downward pressure from product aging to sustain, but maintaining a BUY rating due to the promising pipeline. </li>
</ul>


We expect NTES to report C3Q24 revenue, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in (3.8%), in-line and in-line vs. consensus. 
Main reason for the revenue miss was product aging in &lt;Justice Mobile&gt; and &lt;Eggy Party&gt; offsetting &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt;;
We cut TP from US$122 to US$110 to reflect the downward pressure from product aging to sustain, but maintaining a BUY rating due to the promising pipeline. 


[NetEase, Inc. (NTES US, BUY, TP US$110) TP Change]: C3Q24 Preview: Revenue Miss but Is Temporary

<ul><li>NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges typical for a growing enterprise.</li><li>The company reported a total revenue of RMB 25.5 billion, indicating a 6% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the success in its gaming division and expanded efforts in international markets.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

NetEase's 2024 second quarter earnings report revealed considerable strategic progress, although accompanied by some operational challenges typical for a growing enterprise.The company reported a total revenue of RMB 25.5 billion, indicating a 6% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the success in its gaming division and expanded efforts in international markets.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

NetEase Inc.: An Expanding Game Portfolio with Worldwide Reach! - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>NetEase reported C2Q24 top line, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (5.6%) and (7.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.0%) and (5.5%) vs. consensus. </li>
<li>We believe game growth will materially accelerate in C2H24 and 2025, based on our projection for Naraka Mobile, Where Winds Meet and the two Marvel games. </li>
<li>We keep TP of US$122 unchanged and maintain BUY .</li>
</ul>


NetEase reported C2Q24 top line, GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in line, (5.6%) and (7.3%) vs. our estimates, and in line, (4.0%) and (5.5%) vs. consensus. 
We believe game growth will materially accelerate in C2H24 and 2025, based on our projection for Naraka Mobile, Where Winds Meet and the two Marvel games. 
We keep TP of US$122 unchanged and maintain BUY .


[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, TP US$122) Review]: Growth Will Materially Accelerate in C2H24 and 2025

China

NetEase, Inc. is an Internet technology company that develops applications, services and other Internet technologies in China. The Company's core businesses consist of email service, web portal and online entertainment, including online gaming services. NetEase also offers online advertising, search, mobile applications and e-commerce.

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NetEase Inc (NTES US)

NetEase Inc.: The Expansion of Gaming Portfolio & Global Reach & Other Major Drivers

NetEase's recent quarterly earnings report demonstrates a mixed performance characterized by both promising growth areas and some challenges. The...

Baptista Research