Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and/or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes in March.</li>
<li>On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential NIFTY Index and/or Nifty Next 50 Index changes in March.
On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by 6.3% QoQ while it could fall by 6.6% YoY in 2Q</li><li>Inventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished products</li><li>EBITDA could fall by 7% YoY while EBITDA margin could remain flattish YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by 6.3% QoQ while it could fall by 6.6% YoY in 2QInventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished productsEBITDA could fall by 7% YoY while EBITDA margin could remain flattish YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chemicals (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lackluster quarter

Equity Bottom-Up

Navin Fluorine International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Navin Fluorine International Ltd (NFIL) announced that Mr Radhesh Welling has resigned as the managing director (MD) and director on the board of the company for personal reasons</li><li>Mr Welling will be relieved from the services of the company effective from the close of business hours on December 15, 2023</li><li>He shall continue to serve the company to facilitate a smooth transition</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Navin Fluorine International Ltd (NFIL) announced that Mr Radhesh Welling has resigned as the managing director (MD) and director on the board of the company for personal reasonsMr Welling will be relieved from the services of the company effective from the close of business hours on December 15, 2023He shall continue to serve the company to facilitate a smooth transitionContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Navin Fluorine International - Growth Momentum to Continue. Maintain BUY

<ul><li>GAIL: Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a target price of INR 137 is based on (1) an increase in gas transmission volume to 127mmscmd by FY25 on the back of an increase in domestic gas production, (2) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India, and (3) expectation of improvement in earnings from the petchem segment</li><li>Q1FY24 reported EBITDA/PAT at INR 24/14bn, came in below our estimates, impacted by weak earnings from the LPG and Liquid Hydro Carbon (LHC) segment</li><li>However, sharp pick-up in natural gas transmission volumes, higher tariff and higher gas marketing volumes supported earnings</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAIL: Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a target price of INR 137 is based on (1) an increase in gas transmission volume to 127mmscmd by FY25 on the back of an increase in domestic gas production, (2) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India, and (3) expectation of improvement in earnings from the petchem segmentQ1FY24 reported EBITDA/PAT at INR 24/14bn, came in below our estimates, impacted by weak earnings from the LPG and Liquid Hydro Carbon (LHC) segmentHowever, sharp pick-up in natural gas transmission volumes, higher tariff and higher gas marketing volumes supported earningsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: GAIL, Oberoi Realty, Petronet LNG, Navin Fluorine International

HSIE Results Daily: GAIL, Oberoi Realty, Petronet LNG

India

Navin Fluorine International Limited manufactures fluorochemicals. The Company produces benzotrifuoride derivatives, fluoro benzene derivatives, fluoro toluene derivatives, and aliphatic fluoro compounds.

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Navin Fluorine International (NFIL IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Chemicals (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lackluster quarter

Inventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished...

HDFC Securities

Navin Fluorine International - Growth Momentum to Continue. Maintain BUY

Navin Fluorine International Ltd (NFIL) announced that Mr Radhesh Welling has resigned as the managing director (MD) and director on the board of...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: GAIL, Oberoi Realty, Petronet LNG, Navin Fluorine International

Q1FY24 reported EBITDA/PAT at INR 24/14bn, came in below our estimates, impacted by weak earnings from the LPG and Liquid Hydro Carbon (LHC) segment

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: GAIL, Oberoi Realty, Petronet LNG

Q1FY24 reported EBITDA/PAT at INR 24/14bn, came in below our estimates, impacted by weak earnings from the LPG and Liquid Hydro Carbon (LHC) segment

HDFC Securities

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