Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December review will use closing prices from 18 November to determine the list of stocks that will be included into and excluded from the ETFs.</li>
<li>As of the close on 15 November, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naura-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2333:1" rel="noopener">NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-lancang-river-hydropow" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26585:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Lancang River Hydropow (600025 CH)</a> in the ETFs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naura-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2333:1" rel="noopener">NAURA Technology</a> has doubled in price this year, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-lancang-river-hydropow" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26585:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Lancang</a> has corrected from its highs and could be deleted from the ETF in just one quarter.</li>
</ul>


The December review will use closing prices from 18 November to determine the list of stocks that will be included into and excluded from the ETFs.
As of the close on 15 November, we see NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH) replacing Huaneng Lancang River Hydropow (600025 CH) in the ETFs.

NAURA Technology has doubled in price this year, while Huaneng Lancang has corrected from its highs and could be deleted from the ETF in just one quarter.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: One Change to Close Out the Year

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

NAURA Technology Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Naura announced 3Q24 results. Q3 revenue was RMB8.0bn, up 30.1% YoY and 23.8% QoQ, driven by significant growth in semiconductor equipment sales (up 47.0% in 9M24).</li><li>NP was RMB1.7bn, up 55.0% YoY and 1.7% QoQ. GPM was 42.3%, up 5.9ppts from 3Q23 but declined 5.1ppts sequentially, mainly due to 1) higher photovoltaic (PV) equipment sales that had a lower GPM and 2) seasonal fluctuations in gross margins of semiconductor equipment business.</li><li>Overall, Q3 was a solid quarter with robust revenue and net profit growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Naura announced 3Q24 results. Q3 revenue was RMB8.0bn, up 30.1% YoY and 23.8% QoQ, driven by significant growth in semiconductor equipment sales (up 47.0% in 9M24).NP was RMB1.7bn, up 55.0% YoY and 1.7% QoQ. GPM was 42.3%, up 5.9ppts from 3Q23 but declined 5.1ppts sequentially, mainly due to 1) higher photovoltaic (PV) equipment sales that had a lower GPM and 2) seasonal fluctuations in gross margins of semiconductor equipment business.Overall, Q3 was a solid quarter with robust revenue and net profit growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - Solid Q3 Earnings Signal Intact Growth Trajectory

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

<ul>
<li>Consistent compounders, stocks with steady earnings growth and excess returns over a long period of time, are difficult to find. It's even more difficult to find reasonably valued compounders.</li>
<li>From the universe of large Asian companies, we screen those with steady profit growth (&gt;10%) and excess returns in each of last 10 years and over next three forecast years.</li>
<li>Our list of 20 inexpensive compounders comprises 10 from onshore China, 5 from HK, 3 from India and 1 each from Japan and the Philippines.</li>
</ul>


Consistent compounders, stocks with steady earnings growth and excess returns over a long period of time, are difficult to find. It's even more difficult to find reasonably valued compounders.
From the universe of large Asian companies, we screen those with steady profit growth (&gt;10%) and excess returns in each of last 10 years and over next three forecast years.
Our list of 20 inexpensive compounders comprises 10 from onshore China, 5 from HK, 3 from India and 1 each from Japan and the Philippines.


Asian Equities: Twenty Inexpensive Consistent Compounders

<ul><li>Naura announced 1H24 results. 1H revenue grew 46.4% YoY to RMB12.3bn, while NP grew 54.5% YoY to RMB2.8bn, both aligning with the mid-point of company’s earnings pre-announcement.</li><li>1H24 revenue/NP were 40%/46% of our FY24E forecast, consistent with the company’s historical seasonality, which saw 38%/46% in 1H23.</li><li>GPM improved to 45.5% in 1H24 (vs. 42%/41% in 1H23/FY23), while NPM expanded to 22.5% in 1H24 from 17.7% in FY23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Naura announced 1H24 results. 1H revenue grew 46.4% YoY to RMB12.3bn, while NP grew 54.5% YoY to RMB2.8bn, both aligning with the mid-point of company’s earnings pre-announcement.1H24 revenue/NP were 40%/46% of our FY24E forecast, consistent with the company’s historical seasonality, which saw 38%/46% in 1H23.GPM improved to 45.5% in 1H24 (vs. 42%/41% in 1H23/FY23), while NPM expanded to 22.5% in 1H24 from 17.7% in FY23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - Robust Earnings with Margin Expansion; Maintain BUY

<ul><li>Naura announced a 1H24 profit alert. 1H revenue is expected to be within the range of RMB11.4-13.1bn, representing 35.4% to 55.9% YoY growth, respectively.</li><li>Net profit is estimated to be RMB2.6-3.0bn (YoY growth of 42.8% to 64.5%).</li><li>This implies that 2Q24 revenue (mid-point) could be RMB6.4bn (40.8% YoY and 9.5% QoQ growth), 5% below consensus estimate. 2Q24 net profit (mid-point) is expected to be RMB1.6bn (35.7% YoY and 45.4% QoQ growth), 9% above consensus estimate. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Naura announced a 1H24 profit alert. 1H revenue is expected to be within the range of RMB11.4-13.1bn, representing 35.4% to 55.9% YoY growth, respectively.Net profit is estimated to be RMB2.6-3.0bn (YoY growth of 42.8% to 64.5%).This implies that 2Q24 revenue (mid-point) could be RMB6.4bn (40.8% YoY and 9.5% QoQ growth), 5% below consensus estimate. 2Q24 net profit (mid-point) is expected to be RMB1.6bn (35.7% YoY and 45.4% QoQ growth), 9% above consensus estimate. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - 1H24 Profit Alert Points to Solid 2Q Results

China

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

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NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH)

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: One Change to Close Out the Year

NAURA Tech could replace Huaneng Lancang Hydro in the ETFs in Dec. Huaneng Lancang was added to the ETFs in Sep, so could be short stay for the...

Brian Freitas

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - Solid Q3 Earnings Signal Intact Growth Trajectory

Naura announced 3Q24 results. Q3 revenue was RMB8.0bn, up 30.1% YoY and 23.8% QoQ, driven by significant growth in semiconductor equipment sales...

CMB International

Asian Equities: Twenty Inexpensive Consistent Compounders

Finding consistent compounders with steady earnings growth and excess returns is challenging, especially those that are reasonably valued. We...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - Robust Earnings with Margin Expansion; Maintain BUY

Naura announced 1H24 results. 1H revenue grew 46.4% YoY to RMB12.3bn, while NP grew 54.5% YoY to RMB2.8bn, both aligning with the mid-point of...

CMB International

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - 1H24 Profit Alert Points to Solid 2Q Results

Naura announced a 1H24 profit alert. 1H revenue is expected to be within the range of RMB11.4-13.1bn, representing 35.4% to 55.9% YoY growth,...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: One Change to Close Out the Year

NAURA Tech could replace Huaneng Lancang Hydro in the ETFs in Dec. Huaneng Lancang was added to the ETFs in Sep, so could be short stay for the...

Brian Freitas

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - Solid Q3 Earnings Signal Intact Growth Trajectory

Naura announced 3Q24 results. Q3 revenue was RMB8.0bn, up 30.1% YoY and 23.8% QoQ, driven by significant growth in semiconductor equipment sales...

CMB International

Asian Equities: Twenty Inexpensive Consistent Compounders

​Finding consistent compounders with steady earnings growth and excess returns is challenging, especially those that are reasonably valued. We...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - Robust Earnings with Margin Expansion; Maintain BUY

Naura announced 1H24 results. 1H revenue grew 46.4% YoY to RMB12.3bn, while NP grew 54.5% YoY to RMB2.8bn, both aligning with the mid-point of...

CMB International

Naura Technology (002371 CH) - 1H24 Profit Alert Points to Solid 2Q Results

Naura announced a 1H24 profit alert. 1H revenue is expected to be within the range of RMB11.4-13.1bn, representing 35.4% to 55.9% YoY growth,...

CMB International

Finding consistent compounders with steady earnings growth and excess returns is challenging, especially those that are reasonably valued. We...