Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Welcome to our weekly Portfolio Watch! Every week, we assess the risk/reward across asset classes and explain our decisions in our own portfolio.</li><li>We once again note the great diversification effects from Energy over the past week.</li><li>Front month Nat Gas has been on the move in the US despite relatively weak flow data, which is a strong harbinger of an improving underlying demand dynamic in the industrial sector due to the tick-up in orders books in cyclical- and energy intensive sectors such as Chemicals.</li></ul>

Welcome to our weekly Portfolio Watch! Every week, we assess the risk/reward across asset classes and explain our decisions in our own portfolio.We once again note the great diversification effects from Energy over the past week.Front month Nat Gas has been on the move in the US despite relatively weak flow data, which is a strong harbinger of an improving underlying demand dynamic in the industrial sector due to the tick-up in orders books in cyclical- and energy intensive sectors such as Chemicals.

Portfolio Watch: Equities Running Out of Gas?

<ul><li>Welcome to our inaugural EIA Watch.</li><li>Every Thursday, we will assess the demand side of the energy equation via our sophisticated seasonally adjusted models based on the weekly EIA time series.</li><li>Conclusions up front: EIA fuel data remains weaker than suggested by actual congestion on roads, in ports and in the air.</li></ul>

Welcome to our inaugural EIA Watch.Every Thursday, we will assess the demand side of the energy equation via our sophisticated seasonally adjusted models based on the weekly EIA time series.Conclusions up front: EIA fuel data remains weaker than suggested by actual congestion on roads, in ports and in the air.

EIA Watch: Strong Energy Demand Month in October, Except in Nat Gas

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil in US equity space amidst the big 7 reporting earnings.</li><li>The last quarter of the year will most likely define how asset markets will perform well into next 2024 with USDJPY hovering just below the all important 150 handle and global central banks likely heading towards the end of their cutting cycle.</li><li>As always, we have collected 5 of the things we find to be the most important to watch in the current landscape.</li></ul>

Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil in US equity space amidst the big 7 reporting earnings.The last quarter of the year will most likely define how asset markets will perform well into next 2024 with USDJPY hovering just below the all important 150 handle and global central banks likely heading towards the end of their cutting cycle.As always, we have collected 5 of the things we find to be the most important to watch in the current landscape.

5 Things We Watch – Central Bank Outlook, USDJPY, Natural Gas, Credit & Liquidity

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

<ul>
<li>Key takeaways: Temperatures in Europe and the US are above mean levels, but only prices in the US have reacted (materially)</li>
<li>No signs of actual weak gasoline demand</li>
<li>New sanctions on Russia and Iran on the cards?</li>
</ul>


Key takeaways: Temperatures in Europe and the US are above mean levels, but only prices in the US have reacted (materially)
No signs of actual weak gasoline demand
New sanctions on Russia and Iran on the cards?


Energy Cable #43: Price Resilience Despite Warm Weather

Head of Research, Steno Research

Emil Moller

Head of Research

<ul><li>Another week of blood and drama. But fear not, we’re here to wrap up the week with our usual watch series, where we’ll gauge the current market sentiment using the latest positioning data.</li><li>First things first, let’s take a quick peek at the chart of the week down below. In yesterday’s Portfolio Watch, we spilled the beans about some big changes we’re planning for our portfolio.</li><li>One of the main reasons we’re making these moves now is because of what we see in this chart: The S&amp;P 500 just dipped below its 200-day moving average support line, waving a red flag that suggests we might be in for a bumpy ride in the coming weeks</li></ul>

Another week of blood and drama. But fear not, we’re here to wrap up the week with our usual watch series, where we’ll gauge the current market sentiment using the latest positioning data.First things first, let’s take a quick peek at the chart of the week down below. In yesterday’s Portfolio Watch, we spilled the beans about some big changes we’re planning for our portfolio.One of the main reasons we’re making these moves now is because of what we see in this chart: The S&amp;P 500 just dipped below its 200-day moving average support line, waving a red flag that suggests we might be in for a bumpy ride in the coming weeks

Positioning Watch: Shifting Gears without Panic

United States

Natural gas is a naturally occurring hydrocarbon gas mixture consisting primarily of methane, but commonly including varying amounts of other higher alkanes, and sometimes a small percentage of carbon dioxide, nitrogen, hydrogen sulfide, or helium. It is formed when layers of decomposing plant and animal matter are exposed to intense heat and pressure supplied by existing under the surface of the Earth over millions of years. The energy that the plants originally obtained from the sun is stored in the form of chemical bonds in the gas.

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Natural Gas (NATURAL GAS COMDTY)

Portfolio Watch: Equities Running Out of Gas?

Front month Nat Gas has been on the move in the US despite relatively weak flow data, which is a strong harbinger of an improving underlying demand...

Steno Research

EIA Watch: Strong Energy Demand Month in October, Except in Nat Gas

Welcome to our inaugural EIA Watch. Every Thursday, we will assess the demand side of the energy equation via our sophisticated seasonally...

Steno Research

5 Things We Watch – Central Bank Outlook, USDJPY, Natural Gas, Credit & Liquidity

Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil in US equity space amidst the big 7 reporting earnings. The last...

Steno Research

Energy Cable #43: Price Resilience Despite Warm Weather

Temperatures in Europe and the US are above mean levels, but only prices in the US have reacted (materially), and there are no signs of actual weak...

Steno Research

Positioning Watch: Shifting Gears without Panic

I sent Congress an urgent budget request to fund America’s national security needs to support our critical partners, including Israel and...

Steno Research

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