Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>During the last 3 weeks, Naspers and Prosus have come under pressure relative to their underlying portfolios.</li>
<li>Since reaching a new all-time low on the 12th of February, Naspers’ discount has widened by 6 percentage points to 40.7%.</li>
<li>Prosus’ discount has widened 5.7 percentage points to 35.4%. Naspers and Prosus are down 9% and 8% respectively, relative to a decline of 1.9% for Tencent in ZAR.</li>
</ul>


During the last 3 weeks, Naspers and Prosus have come under pressure relative to their underlying portfolios.
Since reaching a new all-time low on the 12th of February, Naspers’ discount has widened by 6 percentage points to 40.7%.
Prosus’ discount has widened 5.7 percentage points to 35.4%. Naspers and Prosus are down 9% and 8% respectively, relative to a decline of 1.9% for Tencent in ZAR.


NPN X PRX Discount Update Discounts Widen to Pare Back Strong YTD Gains

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> has underperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv-2e2a2230-64b0-4044-b797-a3880fcb487a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28301:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX SJ)</a> by 3.9% since the start of the year.</li>
<li>This has widened Naspers' discount to Prosus' market value to 13.3% from 9.9%, a level last seen during July 2023.</li>
<li>Opportunity to put on a pairs trade, long NPN short PRX as we believe the relative underperformance is overdone and a structural shift in the discount is underway.</li>
</ul>



Naspers (NPN SJ) has underperformed Prosus NV (PRX SJ) by 3.9% since the start of the year.
This has widened Naspers' discount to Prosus' market value to 13.3% from 9.9%, a level last seen during July 2023.
Opportunity to put on a pairs trade, long NPN short PRX as we believe the relative underperformance is overdone and a structural shift in the discount is underway.


Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX) Pairs Trade Opportunity as Naspers Comes Under Pressure

<ul>
<li>Regulatory risks back in the spotlight, dampening decent year for both counters.</li>
<li>At the end of last year, China’s regulator released a proposal to introduce spending and time limits on gaming (22 Dec).</li>
<li>Tencent was down 12% on the day, Naspers and Prosus followed suit with more aggressive selling, sending both stocks down 17% for the half day of trading. </li>
</ul>


Regulatory risks back in the spotlight, dampening decent year for both counters.
At the end of last year, China’s regulator released a proposal to introduce spending and time limits on gaming (22 Dec).
Tencent was down 12% on the day, Naspers and Prosus followed suit with more aggressive selling, sending both stocks down 17% for the half day of trading. 


Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): A Look Back at 2023, Regulatory Risk Back in Spotlight

<ul><li>Naspers and Prosus reported H1 FY24 results last week Wednesday before the open.</li><li>No major surprises, all three discounts closed slightly lower. We see room for further narrowing as the consolidated ecommerce businesses approach profitability ahead of the initial target.</li><li>Prosus is still trading below the value of its Tencent stake.</li></ul>

Naspers and Prosus reported H1 FY24 results last week Wednesday before the open.No major surprises, all three discounts closed slightly lower. We see room for further narrowing as the consolidated ecommerce businesses approach profitability ahead of the initial target.Prosus is still trading below the value of its Tencent stake.

NPN X PRX Discount Update + Key Takeaways H1 FY24 Results

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The removal of their cross-holding structure has had a negligible effect on the respective discounts to NAV for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a>.</li>
<li>We have seen a remarkable turnaround in Prosus’s operating performance during FY2024 and the market will focus on whether the new CEO can achieve his ambitions for “profitable growth”.</li>
<li>The open-ended share repurchase program will continue as long as the discount remains “elevated”.</li>
</ul>


The removal of their cross-holding structure has had a negligible effect on the respective discounts to NAV for Prosus NV (PRX NA) and Naspers (NPN SJ).
We have seen a remarkable turnaround in Prosus’s operating performance during FY2024 and the market will focus on whether the new CEO can achieve his ambitions for “profitable growth”.
The open-ended share repurchase program will continue as long as the discount remains “elevated”.


Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount

South Africa

Naspers Limited operates in the technology industry. The Company invests in global internet companies across the world.

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Naspers (NPN SJ)

NPN X PRX Discount Update Discounts Widen to Pare Back Strong YTD Gains

During the last 3 weeks, Naspers and Prosus have come under pressure relative to their underlying portfolios. Since reaching a new all-time low on...

DMA

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX) Pairs Trade Opportunity as Naspers Comes Under Pressure

Naspers has underperformed Prosus since the start of the year, presenting an opportunity to put on a pairs trade. We expect a structural shift in...

DMA

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): A Look Back at 2023, Regulatory Risk Back in Spotlight

A look into how the discounts traded through the year. Naspers outperformed Prosus by a large margin highlighting the merits of the structure...

DMA

NPN X PRX Discount Update + Key Takeaways H1 FY24 Results

Naspers and Prosus reported H1 FY24 results last week Wednesday before the open. No major surprises, all three discounts closed slightly lower.

DMA

Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount

In this insight, we analyse Prosus’s discount to NAV, the performance of its underlying consolidated operations, cash flow generation, capital...

Wium Malan, CFA

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