Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index measures the performance of emerging markets stocks that are not state-owned enterprises.</li>
<li>The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~16% and in a one-way trade of US$329m. There are 16 stocks with over US$3m to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> will be added to the index while there will be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index measures the performance of emerging markets stocks that are not state-owned enterprises.
The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~16% and in a one-way trade of US$329m. There are 16 stocks with over US$3m to trade.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) will be added to the index while there will be selling in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT).


WisdomTree Emerging Markets Ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index Rebalance: 16% Turnover, US$660m Trade

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>During the last two weeks both discounts have widened by more than 1 percentage point, likely driven by risk-off sentiment as opposed to idiosyncratic factors. </li>
<li>Management have released the NAV update for Q2 of FY24. Naspers' NAV can be found <a href="https://www.naspers.com/investors/investing-in-naspers/net-asset-value" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and Prosus' NAV <a href="https://www.prosus.com/investors/investing-in-prosus/net-asset-value" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
<li>During the quarter, Prosus' discount widened by 4.2 percentage points to 39.8% and Naspers' discount widened by 3.6 percentage points to 46.6%, erasing cross-holding unwind gains.</li>
</ul>


During the last two weeks both discounts have widened by more than 1 percentage point, likely driven by risk-off sentiment as opposed to idiosyncratic factors. 
Management have released the NAV update for Q2 of FY24. Naspers' NAV can be found here and Prosus' NAV here.
During the quarter, Prosus' discount widened by 4.2 percentage points to 39.8% and Naspers' discount widened by 3.6 percentage points to 46.6%, erasing cross-holding unwind gains.


Naspers & Prosus: Risk off Trade Puts Pressure on Discounts, NAV Update for Q2 FY24 Released

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for lockup release on 10th Aug 2023.</li>
<li>Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. Its acquisition of Blinkit marked its foray into the instant grocery segment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.</li>
</ul>


In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for lockup release on 10th Aug 2023.
Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. Its acquisition of Blinkit marked its foray into the instant grocery segment.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and recent updates.


Zomato Lock-Up - A US$650m+ Worth Acquisition Linked Lockup Release

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Prosus looks to continue to cut its stake in Tencent by 2-3% every year to fund its open-ended share buyback program.</li>
<li>Evidence would suggest that the buyback is set to continue at a relatively steady pace for the foreseeable future, which should support the discount to NAV going forward.</li>
<li>The simplification of the shareholding structure, to remove the cross-holding, could sustainably reduce Prosus’ discount to NAV by roughly 10%.</li>
</ul>


Prosus looks to continue to cut its stake in Tencent by 2-3% every year to fund its open-ended share buyback program.
Evidence would suggest that the buyback is set to continue at a relatively steady pace for the foreseeable future, which should support the discount to NAV going forward.
The simplification of the shareholding structure, to remove the cross-holding, could sustainably reduce Prosus’ discount to NAV by roughly 10%.


South Africa

Naspers Limited operates in the technology industry. The Company invests in global internet companies across the world.

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Naspers (NPN SJ)

WisdomTree Emerging Markets Ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index Rebalance: 16% Turnover, US$660m Trade

There are 157 adds/79 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index. One-way turnover is 16% resulting in a one-way...

Brian Freitas

Naspers & Prosus: Risk off Trade Puts Pressure on Discounts, NAV Update for Q2 FY24 Released

Naspers & Prosus: discounts widen during last two weeks driven by risk-off sentiment plus Q2 FY24 NAV update released. Fresh opportunity for those...

DMA

Screening for GEMs: September 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Zomato Lock-Up - A US$650m+ Worth Acquisition Linked Lockup Release

In Aug 2022, Zomato completed the acquisition of Blinkit’s outstanding shares via issuing its own shares. These issued shares will come up for...

Sumeet Singh

Prosus: The More Things Change…

In this insight, we analyse Prosus’s discount to NAV with specific referrals to holding structure changes, the ongoing buyback program,...

Wium Malan, CFA

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