Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

Mid - July peak in risk is expected to be an overlapping choppy affair into next week where the market will still wants to test the upside and a second failure would nail down a peak for a heavier cycle in July. NDX key reversal is a key first step. US speed bumps in reopening should hit sentiment/price action as virus cases spike with the US administration coming under increasing scrutiny. After spiking off low bases US data is bound to face weakness into September.Webcast covers colors in an NDX (bounce resistance and pivot support that must break to induce a harder US equity cycle), risk FX that are teetering on rolling over, VIX and trendline support in Europe that once broken would trigger a secondary decline.Russell 2000 has been our top short pick/vehicle and pressing on triangle support. NDX is the key driver for US cycle risk and the global cycle.

Mid - July peak in risk is expected to be an overlapping choppy affair into next week where the market will still wants to test the upside and a second failure would nail down a peak for a heavier cycle in July. NDX key reversal is a key first step. US speed bumps in reopening should hit sentiment/price action as virus cases spike with the US administration coming under increasing scrutiny. After spiking off low bases US data is bound to face weakness into September.Webcast covers colors in an NDX (bounce resistance and pivot support that must break to induce a harder US equity cycle), risk FX that are teetering on rolling over, VIX and trendline support in Europe that once broken would trigger a secondary decline.Russell 2000 has been our top short pick/vehicle and pressing on triangle support. NDX is the key driver for US cycle risk and the global cycle.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX)</a> is teetering on a more bullish break point that will define a wave 5 thrust higher or secondary pullback within the summer flat corrective range with support near 2,950.3,220 and 3,080 will act as key break points for a continued rally or second part of a summer pullback cycle (the later is the favored sequence for a pullback from 3,200).July cycle peak should align with increased virus cases/concerns and overshadow liquidity over the summer.ISM, demand and growth data spikes have come off of low bases but due to deteriorate as US re opening faces significant speed bumps.Macro remains bullish on weakness until liquidly support fades.

S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX) is teetering on a more bullish break point that will define a wave 5 thrust higher or secondary pullback within the summer flat corrective range with support near 2,950.3,220 and 3,080 will act as key break points for a continued rally or second part of a summer pullback cycle (the later is the favored sequence for a pullback from 3,200).July cycle peak should align with increased virus cases/concerns and overshadow liquidity over the summer.ISM, demand and growth data spikes have come off of low bases but due to deteriorate as US re opening faces significant speed bumps.Macro remains bullish on weakness until liquidly support fades.

SPX Buy Summer Weakness - 3,220 and 3,080 Direction Break Points - 3,200 Short Target

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

New developments outlined in today’s report are of the bullish variety. The way we see it, the positives continue to heavily outweigh the negatives. With positive new developments and essentially nothing new to be worried about, our view remains bullish. Buy the dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Materials: CD-46 Retailers, Home Improvement, CD-30 Internet Retailers, CD-55 Lawn &amp; Garden, and MA-27 Gold, Western Hemisphere, Small-Cap.

New developments outlined in today’s report are of the bullish variety. The way we see it, the positives continue to heavily outweigh the negatives. With positive new developments and essentially nothing new to be worried about, our view remains bullish. Buy the dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Materials: CD-46 Retailers, Home Improvement, CD-30 Internet Retailers, CD-55 Lawn &amp; Garden, and MA-27 Gold, Western Hemisphere, Small-Cap.

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a short-term support level to watch on the S&amp;P 500; if 3076 holds it would be further confirmation that the bulls are still in charge. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductor Equip., Large/Mid-Cap, Software, Data Analysis &amp; Solutions, Software, E-Commerce.

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a short-term support level to watch on the S&amp;P 500; if 3076 holds it would be further confirmation that the bulls are still in charge. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductor Equip., Large/Mid-Cap, Software, Data Analysis &amp; Solutions, Software, E-Commerce.

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 A Coiled Spring

Dow Jones Industrial Average / Technical Analysis

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-jones-industrial-average" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22887:1" rel="noopener">Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX)</a> has been a value perform play in our work as have small caps until last week when we started to see signals of the rise exhausting and relative trends bending lower. Our call for rotation into value bets in late May touted an exhaustion ahead of the late June cycle.We see the value trade stalling over the summer and raises the question of weaker links flashing warning signals after the SPX trendline break on June 10.July pullback does align with a rise in new virus cases from early opening and lack of social distancing (demonstrations).Evidence of weak links topping stem for the DJI and Russell (among other key sectors) not making news highs or even seriously testing resistance highs compared to the NDX.

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX) has been a value perform play in our work as have small caps until last week when we started to see signals of the rise exhausting and relative trends bending lower. Our call for rotation into value bets in late May touted an exhaustion ahead of the late June cycle.We see the value trade stalling over the summer and raises the question of weaker links flashing warning signals after the SPX trendline break on June 10.July pullback does align with a rise in new virus cases from early opening and lack of social distancing (demonstrations).Evidence of weak links topping stem for the DJI and Russell (among other key sectors) not making news highs or even seriously testing resistance highs compared to the NDX.

US Secondary Top Risk and Value Play Break

United States

The NASDAQ-100 Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of the 100 largest and most active non-financial domestic and international issues listed on the NASDAQ. No security can have more than a 24% weighting. The index was developed with a base value of 125 as of February 1, 1985. Prior to December 21,1998 the Nasdaq 100 was a cap-weighted index.

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)

NDX Reversal and July Peak in Risk

Mid - July peak in risk is expected to be an overlapping choppy affair into next week where the market will still wants to test the upside and a...

Thomas Schroeder

SPX Buy Summer Weakness - 3,220 and 3,080 Direction Break Points - 3,200 Short Target

S&P 500 (SPX INDEX) is teetering on a more bullish break point that will define a wave 5 thrust higher or secondary pullback within the summer...

Thomas Schroeder

U.S. Equity Strategy: Buy The Dips

New developments outlined in today’s report are of the bullish variety. The way we see it, the positives continue to heavily outweigh the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 A Coiled Spring

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a...

Vermilion Research

US Secondary Top Risk and Value Play Break

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX) has been a value perform play in our work as have small caps until last week when we started to see...

Thomas Schroeder