House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The year is just started but 2022 has not been good so far for U.S. stocks. The S&amp;P 500, and especially the Nasdaq, are negative YTD, and among the worst indices on a global basis</li>
<li>Indeed the value rotation is still in place, and the performance gap between value and growth stocks is widening</li>
<li>I think that the current interest rate increase could be close to the peak</li>
</ul>


The year is just started but 2022 has not been good so far for U.S. stocks. The S&amp;P 500, and especially the Nasdaq, are negative YTD, and among the worst indices on a global basis
Indeed the value rotation is still in place, and the performance gap between value and growth stocks is widening
I think that the current interest rate increase could be close to the peak


Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Both the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 have hit decent supports</li>
<li>This has come after the rise in yields has started to slow down</li>
<li>At this stage it appears at least a short term bounce may be seen. It is too soon to determine anything more than that</li>
</ul>


Both the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 have hit decent supports
This has come after the rise in yields has started to slow down
At this stage it appears at least a short term bounce may be seen. It is too soon to determine anything more than that


Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>NDX is dangerously close to a meaningful break below macro trendline and price support that would induce downside pressure on supports in other key indices.</li>
<li>NDX Pivot support break would set in motion a downward spiral in the DJI and SPX as well as the global risk cycle. On alert!</li>
<li>Late January a weaker cycle for a washout that sets up a tender bullish February grind with Q1 topping signals maturing.</li>
</ul>


NDX is dangerously close to a meaningful break below macro trendline and price support that would induce downside pressure on supports in other key indices.
NDX Pivot support break would set in motion a downward spiral in the DJI and SPX as well as the global risk cycle. On alert!
Late January a weaker cycle for a washout that sets up a tender bullish February grind with Q1 topping signals maturing.


NDX Trendline Is the Risk Inflection that Would Change Course

<ul>
<li>SPX call to reduce at 4,800 met our 4,600 buy pattern/trend support as did the NDX at 15,300 that sets up a rally sequence. SPX pivot resistance at 4,712/40.</li>
<li>Mid January a fresh retreat is due in late January ahead of a more bullish February cycle on the back of a yield lull and resumption of yield strength.</li>
<li>NDX rally will be used to re short near resistance as tech remains a weak link in the face of rising yields (banks the beneficiary).</li>
</ul>


SPX call to reduce at 4,800 met our 4,600 buy pattern/trend support as did the NDX at 15,300 that sets up a rally sequence. SPX pivot resistance at 4,712/40.
Mid January a fresh retreat is due in late January ahead of a more bullish February cycle on the back of a yield lull and resumption of yield strength.
NDX rally will be used to re short near resistance as tech remains a weak link in the face of rising yields (banks the beneficiary).


US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We have made a bullish yield argument from the 10yr 1.37% zone to clear the key 1.68% breakout barrier. A yield spike will pressure tech at NDX macro trendline support.</li>
<li>NDX long term trendline make or break support lies at 15,300. We expect a break in later Q1 but if broken now it will bring forward a negative risk cycle.</li>
<li>Our macro 10yr yield rise to the 2%+ region for a top correlated with a peak in the equity cycle in late Q1. Rate sensitive ration undercurrents.</li>
</ul>


We have made a bullish yield argument from the 10yr 1.37% zone to clear the key 1.68% breakout barrier. A yield spike will pressure tech at NDX macro trendline support.
NDX long term trendline make or break support lies at 15,300. We expect a break in later Q1 but if broken now it will bring forward a negative risk cycle.
Our macro 10yr yield rise to the 2%+ region for a top correlated with a peak in the equity cycle in late Q1. Rate sensitive ration undercurrents.


Yield Breakout and NDX LT Trendline Inflection for US and Global Risk

United States

The NASDAQ-100 Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of the 100 largest and most active non-financial domestic and international issues listed on the NASDAQ. No security can have more than a 24% weighting. The index was developed with a base value of 125 as of February 1, 1985. Prior to December 21,1998 the Nasdaq 100 was a cap-weighted index.

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)

2022: False start for U.S. equities

The year is just started but 2022 has not been good so far for U.S. stocks. The S&P 500, and especially the Nasdaq, are negative YTD, and among the...

Market Radar

US Equities: A Small Squeeze?

Having hit decent supports, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Indices look like they will bounce. At this juncture the indications should be taken as...

Shyam Devani

NDX Trendline Is the Risk Inflection that Would Change Course

NDX is dangerously close to a meaningful break below macro trendline and price support that would induce downside pressure on supports in other key...

Thomas Schroeder

SPX and NDX Met Buy Target Levels

SPX call to reduce at 4,800 met our 4,600 buy pattern/trend support as did the NDX at 15,300 that sets up a rally sequence. SPX pivot resistance at...

Thomas Schroeder

Yield Breakout and NDX LT Trendline Inflection for US and Global Risk

We have made a bullish yield argument from the 10yr 1.37% zone to clear the key 1.68% breakout barrier. A yield spike will pressure tech at NDX...

Thomas Schroeder