Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SK Hynix and Samsung both released their latest earnings last week. The companies are the leading players for Nanya Tech's memory chip industry.</li>
<li>SK Hynix's latest gross margin performance confirms Nanya Tech performing in-line with the industry leaders.</li>
<li>Guidance from both SK Hynix and Samsung indicates a likely improvement in supply/demand dynamics in 2023E for the memory chip space.</li>
</ul>


SK Hynix and Samsung both released their latest earnings last week. The companies are the leading players for Nanya Tech's memory chip industry.
SK Hynix's latest gross margin performance confirms Nanya Tech performing in-line with the industry leaders.
Guidance from both SK Hynix and Samsung indicates a likely improvement in supply/demand dynamics in 2023E for the memory chip space.


Nanya Tech: SK Hynix & Samsung Results Supportive for Memory Chip Industry 2023E Outlook

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Major milestones for Hon Hai's EV platform could be unveiled at today's Hon Hai Tech Day.</li>
<li>Apple's dropping of a key China supplier shows how international players may want to just avoid even non-restricted products from China.</li>
<li>Senior semiconductor executives across the industry are halting work for China-based firms, including some leading Chinese execs.</li>
</ul>


Major milestones for Hon Hai's EV platform could be unveiled at today's Hon Hai Tech Day.
Apple's dropping of a key China supplier shows how international players may want to just avoid even non-restricted products from China.
Senior semiconductor executives across the industry are halting work for China-based firms, including some leading Chinese execs.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Tech Day Today, Apple Drops China Supplier; Shows Severity of New Rules

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC says limited impact from U.S. China restrictions -- We crosscheck the comments.</li>
<li>TSMC guidance was strong and gives hope for 1H23 industry improvement. Looks cheap on a cycle-adjusted PE.</li>
<li>Intel has outperformed TSMC shares despite the recent TSMC rebound.</li>
</ul>


TSMC says limited impact from U.S. China restrictions -- We crosscheck the comments.
TSMC guidance was strong and gives hope for 1H23 industry improvement. Looks cheap on a cycle-adjusted PE.
Intel has outperformed TSMC shares despite the recent TSMC rebound.


Intel Vs. TSMC/​​​UMC Long/​​​Short Monitor: Mgmt Call Takeaways, Calculating a Normalized Valuation

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMD and Samsung preliminary numbers disappoint, PC demand weakness cited.</li>
<li>U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.</li>
<li>TSMC results coming out this week, expecting all-time high revenue.</li>
</ul>


AMD and Samsung preliminary numbers disappoint, PC demand weakness cited.
U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.
TSMC results coming out this week, expecting all-time high revenue.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Our Summary of Sweeping New China Restrictions, TSMC Results This Week

<ul>
<li>Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.</li>
<li>Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.
Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.
Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

Nanya Tech: SK Hynix & Samsung Results Supportive for Memory Chip Industry 2023E Outlook

Guidance from both SK Hynix and Samsung indicates a likely improvement in supply/demand dynamics in 2023E for the memory chip space.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Tech Day Today, Apple Drops China Supplier; Shows Severity of New Rules

Major Hon Hai EV developments could be unveiled today. Also, Apple's dropping of a key China supplier shows how international players may want to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Mgmt Call Takeaways, Calculating a Normalized Valuation

TSMC guidance was strong and gives hope for 1H23 industry improvement. We perform an analysis based on cycle-adjusting the company's margins and PE.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Our Summary of Sweeping New China Restrictions, TSMC Results This Week

U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

AU Optronics stock suspended, Intel's Mobileye IPO is back, Samsung takes share from TSMC, Taiwan wafer exports are at an all-time high.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Nanya Tech: SK Hynix & Samsung Results Supportive for Memory Chip Industry 2023E Outlook

Guidance from both SK Hynix and Samsung indicates a likely improvement in supply/demand dynamics in 2023E for the memory chip space.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Tech Day Today, Apple Drops China Supplier; Shows Severity of New Rules

Major Hon Hai EV developments could be unveiled today. Also, Apple's dropping of a key China supplier shows how international players may want to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/​​​UMC Long/​​​Short Monitor: Mgmt Call Takeaways, Calculating a Normalized Valuation

TSMC guidance was strong and gives hope for 1H23 industry improvement. We perform an analysis based on cycle-adjusting the company's margins and PE.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Our Summary of Sweeping New China Restrictions, TSMC Results This Week

U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

AU Optronics stock suspended, Intel's Mobileye IPO is back, Samsung takes share from TSMC, Taiwan wafer exports are at an all-time high.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Mgmt Call Takeaways, Calculating a Normalized Valuation