Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 13 November 2016USD momentum and DXY 100To view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/aJtG6x0Ix" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/aJtG6x0Ix&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1479090697780000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHwr3YkGdQWgSlN_XkGyRZUQ5AkTw">http://www.screencast.com/t/aJtG6x0Ix</a> 14:32 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/016/234/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1479004393" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="16234"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX WEBCAST</div>DXY – DXY 96.50 support held the Trump slump and quickly re took 98.16 momentum resistance. Projection lies at 99.59 with the 100.00-50 the physical topside barrier. We are looking for trim levels above 99.50 while watching the 1.08 Euro support; if that gives way then we will pressure the DXY 100.50 level. Macro cycle continues to call for…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 13 November 2016USD momentum and DXY 100To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/aJtG6x0Ix 14:32 min.FX WEBCASTDXY – DXY 96.50 support held the Trump slump and quickly re took 98.16 momentum resistance. Projection lies at 99.59 with the 100.00-50 the physical topside barrier. We are looking for trim levels above 99.50 while watching the 1.08 Euro support; if that gives way then we will pressure the DXY 100.50 level. Macro cycle continues to call for…

DXY 100 and Euro 1.08 Game-Changing Levels

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 6 November 2016USD buy supportsTo view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1478477665867000&amp;usg=AFQjCNG0Emund0g2dLrP-nIHsdC50btJ8g">http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44</a> 10:40 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/928/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1478395871" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15928"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY – Decline below 97.40 support takes away some energy needed for the next DXY push with support now near 97-96.50. For upside momentum we need to get past 98.16 resistance again. US election will play the biggest role this week. We like DXY below 97 for a secondary rally attempt. RSI now below 50 while the MACD shows no bear divergence, suggesting a…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 6 November 2016USD buy supportsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44 10:40 min.FX webcastDXY – Decline below 97.40 support takes away some energy needed for the next DXY push with support now near 97-96.50. For upside momentum we need to get past 98.16 resistance again. US election will play the biggest role this week. We like DXY below 97 for a secondary rally attempt. RSI now below 50 while the MACD shows no bear divergence, suggesting a…

USD Tactical Buy Support Within Topping Cycle

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bul / Technical Analysis

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix</a> 13:51 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/573/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1477795990" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15573"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY – Touted trimming at 99+ in currencies that look extended (TRY, SGD for example). Euro held 1.08 which puts pressure on the DXY and the dollar in a broader sense. How the Euro reacts early this week is key for the DXY bias. This is the part of the topping cycle that gets tricky with risk we fade below ideal resistance. We may very well…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix 13:51 min.FX webcastDXY – Touted trimming at 99+ in currencies that look extended (TRY, SGD for example). Euro held 1.08 which puts pressure on the DXY and the dollar in a broader sense. How the Euro reacts early this week is key for the DXY bias. This is the part of the topping cycle that gets tricky with risk we fade below ideal resistance. We may very well…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 23 October 2016DXY 99.50To view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1477273790372000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHR6xvNfhECLWKkeL1ePS7EfTKOzA">http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm</a> 11:47 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/155/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1477187467" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15155"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY 98.50 target met and surpassed. Pattern resistance is rising toward the 99+ area and with time would edge toward the macro 100 barrier. Fresh support comes in at recent congestion low at 98.10. Above 99 we will start locking in gains in a number of EM currencies. We are watching the Euro 1.08 level and DXY 99+ to fine tune a top. A Euro break below 1.08…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 23 October 2016DXY 99.50To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm 11:47 min.FX webcastDXY 98.50 target met and surpassed. Pattern resistance is rising toward the 99+ area and with time would edge toward the macro 100 barrier. Fresh support comes in at recent congestion low at 98.10. Above 99 we will start locking in gains in a number of EM currencies. We are watching the Euro 1.08 level and DXY 99+ to fine tune a top. A Euro break below 1.08…

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

Looking over the map, recent USD gains are less about renewed strength in the US economy and more about weaker trends in JPY, GBP and EUR spilling over to several emerging markets through direct links to their currencies or via currency basket regimes.  Commodity currencies and some emerging market currencies that are less influenced by these weaker major currencies, with more stable political environments, have performed solidly against the USD. We may continue to see weakness in non-dollar major currencies, provided the US economy and rates outlook remains stable. And we may see more spillover to some EM currencies in coming weeks.  Both EUR and JPY appear to be developing more sustained weaker trends and they may have some way to unwind excess gains in the first half of the year as vicious cycles turn to virtuous ones (related to rising global bond yields).  In essence, their currencies may weaken in response to their negative interest rates, improving inflation expectations, and a sense that their easy monetary policies are succeeding in holding down real yields. This may tend to perpetuate the recent trend towards a weaker EUR and JPY and relatively strong, if not outright strength, in commodity currencies. However, higher global bond yields may also tend to undermine currencies that have relied on flows into their bond market from investors seeking higher yield in an, until recent weeks, diminishing global yield environment.

Looking over the map, recent USD gains are less about renewed strength in the US economy and more about weaker trends in JPY, GBP and EUR spilling over to several emerging markets through direct links to their currencies or via currency basket regimes.  Commodity currencies and some emerging market currencies that are less influenced by these weaker major currencies, with more stable political environments, have performed solidly against the USD. We may continue to see weakness in non-dollar major currencies, provided the US economy and rates outlook remains stable. And we may see more spillover to some EM currencies in coming weeks.  Both EUR and JPY appear to be developing more sustained weaker trends and they may have some way to unwind excess gains in the first half of the year as vicious cycles turn to virtuous ones (related to rising global bond yields).  In essence, their currencies may weaken in response to their negative interest rates, improving inflation expectations, and a sense that their easy monetary policies are succeeding in holding down real yields. This may tend to perpetuate the recent trend towards a weaker EUR and JPY and relatively strong, if not outright strength, in commodity currencies. However, higher global bond yields may also tend to undermine currencies that have relied on flows into their bond market from investors seeking higher yield in an, until recent weeks, diminishing global yield environment. 

Weaker EUR & JPY, Stronger Commodity Currencies

Malaysia

The Malaysian ringgit is the official currency of the Federation of Malaysia. 

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DXY 100 and Euro 1.08 Game-Changing Levels

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 13 November 2016USD momentum and DXY 100To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/aJtG6x0Ix 14:32...

Thomas Schroeder

USD Tactical Buy Support Within Topping Cycle

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 6 November 2016USD buy supportsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44 10:40 min.DXY –...

Thomas Schroeder

US Dollar Topping Process

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix 13:51 min.DXY –...

Thomas Schroeder

Fine Tuning DXY Top Zone

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 23 October 2016DXY 99.50To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/UCNbUkZm 11:47 min.DXY 98.50 target...

Thomas Schroeder

Weaker EUR & JPY, Stronger Commodity Currencies

Looking over the map, recent USD gains are less about renewed strength in the US economy and more about weaker trends in JPY, GBP and EUR spilling...

Greg Gibbs

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