IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Thai Life Insurance  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> will start trading on 25 July. Thai Life raised US$975 million at the IPO price of THB16.00 per share.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71653" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71693" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71995" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The average of our DDM and relative valuation methodology suggests a price of THB15.43 per share. Remain on the sidelines as the IPO price is fair. </li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) will start trading on 25 July. Thai Life raised US$975 million at the IPO price of THB16.00 per share.
We previously discussed the IPO in Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case, Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case and Thai Life Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The average of our DDM and relative valuation methodology suggests a price of THB15.43 per share. Remain on the sidelines as the IPO price is fair. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> will open its book for a US$1 billion raise from 29 June to 14 July. The IPO price has been set at THB16.00 per share.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71653" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71693" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>Peer analysis suggests that Thai Life should trade at a modest premium to Bangkok Life but at a material discount to AIA. Consequently, the IPO valuation is full. </li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) will open its book for a US$1 billion raise from 29 June to 14 July. The IPO price has been set at THB16.00 per share.
We previously discussed the IPO in Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case and Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case. 
Peer analysis suggests that Thai Life should trade at a modest premium to Bangkok Life but at a material discount to AIA. Consequently, the IPO valuation is full. 


Thai Life Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71653" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid total premium performance, a checkered record in sales channel diversification, stagnating agent growth and inconsistent agent productivity.</li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.
In Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid total premium performance, a checkered record in sales channel diversification, stagnating agent growth and inconsistent agent productivity.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.</li>
<li>Thai Life is the third-largest life insurer in Thailand with a 12.9% market share as measured by gross premium income in 1Q22.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving VONB margin.</li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.
Thai Life is the third-largest life insurer in Thailand with a 12.9% market share as measured by gross premium income in 1Q22.
The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving VONB margin.


Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Recently, MCorp Review listened to a talk by E8 Consulting on open source and its applications in building fintech platforms and developing investing strategies and found it quite interesting. Firstly, they defined open source and explained why it was so useful. Typically, open source is free and bound by certain license terms; it allows various users to change the source code and develop commercial applications for it. Probably, the best example of this is how Bloomberg terminals, a highly…

Recently, MCorp Review listened to a talk by E8 Consulting on open source and its applications in building fintech platforms and developing investing strategies and found it quite interesting. Firstly, they defined open source and explained why it was so useful. Typically, open source is free and bound by certain license terms; it allows various users to change the source code and develop commercial applications for it. Probably, the best example of this is how Bloomberg terminals, a highly…

Thailand

Muang Thai Insurance PCL is a non-life insurance company. The company main products include fire insurance, marine insurance, motor insurance, and miscellaneous insurance.

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Muang Thai Insurance (MTI TB)

Thai Life Insurance IPO: Trading Debut

The average of our DDM and relative valuation methodology suggests a price of THB15.43 per share. Remain on the sidelines as the IPO price is fair.

Arun George

Thai Life Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights

Peer analysis suggests that Thai Life should trade at a modest premium to Bangkok Life but at a material discount to AIA. Consequently, the IPO...

Arun George

Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on market share pressure, tepid premium performance, a checkered record in channel diversification,...

Arun George

Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving...

Arun George

EB on Open Source & Investing

Recently, MCorp Review listened to a talk by E8 Consulting on open source and its applications in building fintech platforms and developing...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

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