Another Risk Warning: Three Bears Eat Goldilocks And Rip-Up The Shanghai Accord
The odds of a serious market correction remain high. Our probit models (see chart 1) have been warning of sharply deteriorating risks from Q2 2018,...
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Yes…. Another Liquidity Crash?
As keen watchers of Global Liquidity, we have been warning that the World’s stock market stars appear aligned and ready for a 1987-like Crash, or...
387 Views
On The Brink of A Meltdown? USD About to Surge?
Worried by the jump in LIBOR spreads? (see chart: note TED is LIBOR less US TBills) Is the US dollar about to surge? And, are global markets short...
624 Views
Did China Really Cause the 2008 Global Financial Crisis?
Most analysts would agree that US shadow banking and its associated leverage and inadequate regulation lay at the heart of the World’s financial...
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Update on the Bear -- Too Much Capital Concentration
Cross-border capital flows have done it again. Asia '97. Lehman '08 and now a US Treasury-led sell-off in '18. The danger signs have been the...
277 Views