Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Adding to last week’s concerns reiterated above, additional developments which have further dampened our overall outlook include a breakdown in the global Discretionary vs. Staples ratio, price and RS deterioration for mainland China, Germany, and European Technology, and new lows in the NASDAQ Global Automobile index. Aside from Germany, other major indexes remain above support in Europe/UK and Japan.  We highlight a number of attractive opportunities in “defensive” Financials including electronic exchanges/markets, insurance, commercial/consumer financing, and select asset managers.

Adding to last week’s concerns reiterated above, additional developments which have further dampened our overall outlook include a breakdown in the global Discretionary vs. Staples ratio, price and RS deterioration for mainland China, Germany, and European Technology, and new lows in the NASDAQ Global Automobile index. Aside from Germany, other major indexes remain above support in Europe/UK and Japan.  We highlight a number of attractive opportunities in “defensive” Financials including electronic exchanges/markets, insurance, commercial/consumer financing, and select asset managers.

Global Equity Strategy: More Cracks Begin to Show

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

While the MSCI EM index remains in a well-defined downtrend, and we continue to recommend selectivity, we highlight several investable themes and actionable individual stock recommendations, including opportunities in Brazil, Russia, Norway, Thailand and India.

While the MSCI EM index remains in a well-defined downtrend, and we continue to recommend selectivity, we highlight several investable themes and actionable individual stock recommendations, including opportunities in Brazil, Russia, Norway, Thailand and India.

EM Strategy: Brazil Breaking Out, EM Energy Remains Attractive

This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback opportunity in India's SENSEX.  We also highlight actionable setups in MSCI EM Energy and Materials sectors and within Taiwanese Financials/Banks.  Finally we uncover a number of attractive bottoms-up opportunities, sorted by sector and market-cap.

This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback opportunity in India's SENSEX.  We also highlight actionable setups in MSCI EM Energy and Materials sectors and within Taiwanese Financials/Banks.  Finally we uncover a number of attractive bottoms-up opportunities, sorted by sector and market-cap.

EM Strategy: Russia and Thailand Bullishly Inflecting; Pullback Opportunity in India

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

REAL-Economics.com

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

President Donald Trump surpassed all the appalling lows of his foreign policy with one of the most devastating European tours an American president has ever undertaken. At Helsinki, he drew a moral equivalence between the findings of 17 US intelligence agencies and the word of Vladimir Putin, declining several opportunities to criticize (let alone reprimand) Russia for its actions during the 2016 US election, its annexation of Crimea, invasion of eastern Ukraine and downing (4 years ago to the…

President Donald Trump surpassed all the appalling lows of his foreign policy with one of the most devastating European tours an American president has ever undertaken. At Helsinki, he drew a moral equivalence between the findings of 17 US intelligence agencies and the word of Vladimir Putin, declining several opportunities to criticize (let alone reprimand) Russia for its actions during the 2016 US election, its annexation of Crimea, invasion of eastern Ukraine and downing (4 years ago to the…

Putin's Triumph Is Complete as Trump Kowtows in Helsinki

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SGX FY 1H22 core results were not robust, coming in at SGD 216 mn, improving just SGD 1.0 mn (0.5%) HOH and reflected weakened revenues; </li>
<li>Derivatives revenue improved 3.4% HOH, resultant of slightly higher contract volumes, and higher rates and lower discounts. HKEX's foray into the A50 will ultimately eat away at SGX’s business; and </li>
<li>Significant strategic alternatives are needed at SGX, if it is to avoid being hollowed out by the HKEX. </li>
</ul>


SGX FY 1H22 core results were not robust, coming in at SGD 216 mn, improving just SGD 1.0 mn (0.5%) HOH and reflected weakened revenues; 
Derivatives revenue improved 3.4% HOH, resultant of slightly higher contract volumes, and higher rates and lower discounts. HKEX's foray into the A50 will ultimately eat away at SGX’s business; and 
Significant strategic alternatives are needed at SGX, if it is to avoid being hollowed out by the HKEX. 


Russia

Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS OAO operates public trading markets for equity, bond, derivative, foreign exchange, and money market products. The Company provides clearing, settlement, and depositary services. Moscow Exchange also offers information services, software solutions, and other technology services to the Russian securities market.

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Moscow Exchange Micex-Rts Pj (MOEX RM)

Global Equity Strategy: More Cracks Begin to Show

Adding to last week’s concerns reiterated above, additional developments which have further dampened our overall outlook include a breakdown in the...

Vermilion Research

EM Strategy: Brazil Breaking Out, EM Energy Remains Attractive

While the MSCI EM index remains in a well-defined downtrend, and we continue to recommend selectivity, we highlight several investable themes and...

Vermilion Research

EM Strategy: Russia and Thailand Bullishly Inflecting; Pullback Opportunity in India

This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback...

Vermilion Research

Putin's Triumph Is Complete as Trump Kowtows in Helsinki

President Donald Trump surpassed all the appalling lows of his foreign policy with one of the most devastating European tours an American president...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Singapore Exchange – No Real Progress

SGX: SGX reported FY 1H22 core results were not robust. The top-line hiccup was nearly offset by better-than-expected cost control.

Thomas J. Monaco

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