Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> revenue went up by 14% (almost 3x of China’s passenger vehicle market, which grew 5%) and net income by 20% on 1H 24</li>
<li>It has developed environmentally friendly collision aluminum, with a carbon emission of less than 2.5 kg CO2 /Kg.AL while typically it produces 16 CO2/kg.AL</li>
<li>Battery housing business contributed 21% instead of 18% of total revenue with OPM expanded from 18% to 20%. </li>
</ul>



Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) revenue went up by 14% (almost 3x of China’s passenger vehicle market, which grew 5%) and net income by 20% on 1H 24
It has developed environmentally friendly collision aluminum, with a carbon emission of less than 2.5 kg CO2 /Kg.AL while typically it produces 16 CO2/kg.AL
Battery housing business contributed 21% instead of 18% of total revenue with OPM expanded from 18% to 20%. 


Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Minth’s 1H24 net profit was in line with our forecast, coupled with strong free cash flow to cut its net debt level.</li><li>The company plans to buy back shares and resume dividend distribution for FY24. That could make its dividend yield attractive given its current low valuation.</li><li>Moreover, Minth’s earnings visibility becomes even better with its capex cuts and new business expansion, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Minth’s 1H24 net profit was in line with our forecast, coupled with strong free cash flow to cut its net debt level.The company plans to buy back shares and resume dividend distribution for FY24. That could make its dividend yield attractive given its current low valuation.Moreover, Minth’s earnings visibility becomes even better with its capex cuts and new business expansion, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Minth Group (425 HK) - In-Line 1H24 with Better Earnings Visibility Ahead

<ul><li>Initiate with BUY and TP of HK$21.00. Minth Group (Minth) has been transforming from an exterior decorative parts maker to a more diversified tier1 supplier with manufacturing capabilities in different materials.</li><li>We are of the view that investors have probably underestimated Minth’s solid overseas foundation which is crucial for the upcoming trade risks, as its valuation has dropped to a historical-low level.</li><li>We also think battery housing and other new products such as chassis structural parts and intelligent integrated exteriors could lift Minth’s dollar content per car in the next few years, which is also an important driver for its profit growth.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Initiate with BUY and TP of HK$21.00. Minth Group (Minth) has been transforming from an exterior decorative parts maker to a more diversified tier1 supplier with manufacturing capabilities in different materials.We are of the view that investors have probably underestimated Minth’s solid overseas foundation which is crucial for the upcoming trade risks, as its valuation has dropped to a historical-low level.We also think battery housing and other new products such as chassis structural parts and intelligent integrated exteriors could lift Minth’s dollar content per car in the next few years, which is also an important driver for its profit growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Minth Group (425 HK) - Overseas Foundation to Withstand Trade Risks

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Despite a pre-buying effect in 2024, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales volume to be still resilient in 2025.</li><li>We also project new-energy vehicle (NEV) market share to reach 57.8% in 2025E on a retail basis, which could make NEVs become mainstream in most price segments.</li><li>While some key themes including competition and the rising importance of new models are likely to continue in 2025, we also need to be prepared for new trends.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite a pre-buying effect in 2024, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales volume to be still resilient in 2025.We also project new-energy vehicle (NEV) market share to reach 57.8% in 2025E on a retail basis, which could make NEVs become mainstream in most price segments.While some key themes including competition and the rising importance of new models are likely to continue in 2025, we also need to be prepared for new trends.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 2025 Outlook: Likely a replica of 2024, but more

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crrc-corp-ltd-461535b2-37ac-4589-b4d9-8b71c06c43b8" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:124:1" rel="noopener">CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK)</a> recent innovation on carbon-fibre subway trains for commercial operation has displayed their capability to decarbonize transport.</li>
<li>Free cash flow improved from RMB -11 billion last year to now -1.4 billion and 28% of its market caps are in cash. </li>
<li>CRRC used to trade at as high as 40x PER and 67x price to cash flow and currently is trading at 10x PER and 4x price to cash flow. </li>
</ul>



CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK) recent innovation on carbon-fibre subway trains for commercial operation has displayed their capability to decarbonize transport.
Free cash flow improved from RMB -11 billion last year to now -1.4 billion and 28% of its market caps are in cash. 
CRRC used to trade at as high as 40x PER and 67x price to cash flow and currently is trading at 10x PER and 4x price to cash flow. 


China

Minth Group Ltd. manufactures exterior automobile body parts.  The Company produces structural body parts, decorative parts, and trim.  Minth supplies multinational automobile manufacturers operating in China.

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Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)

Minth (425): Battery Housing as New Growth Driver

Dirt cheap valuation (-27% YTD) while numbers have improved. Produced an environmentally friendly aluminum with 85% less emissions compared to...

Henry Soediarko

Minth Group (425 HK) - In-Line 1H24 with Better Earnings Visibility Ahead

Maintain BUY. Minth’s 1H24 net profit was in line with our forecast, coupled with strong free cash flow to cut its net debt level.

CMB International

Minth Group (425 HK) - Overseas Foundation to Withstand Trade Risks

Minth Group (Minth) has been transforming from an exterior decorative parts maker to a more diversified tier1 supplier with manufacturing...

CMB International

Auto - 2025 Outlook: Likely a replica of 2024, but more

While some key themes including competition and the rising importance of new models are likely to continue in 2025, we also need to be prepared for...

CMB International

CRRC (1766): Still Far from the Highs

The Chinese are now making progress in high-speed rail. CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK) , as a supplier to the train system in China, benefits from this.

Henry Soediarko

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