Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><p>Herein we revise and update MLKN estimates following MillerKnoll's FY23 earnings report and FY24 guidance.</p></li><li><p>Our 1QFY24 diluted non-GAAP EPS estimate is now $0.20, down $0.10 from our previous (reduced) $0.30 estimate.</p></li><li><p>Our FY24 annual estimate is now $1.82 (down from $2.00), below the midpoint of the $1.70-$2.00 management outlook.</p></li></ul>

Herein we revise and update MLKN estimates following MillerKnoll's FY23 earnings report and FY24 guidance.Our 1QFY24 diluted non-GAAP EPS estimate is now $0.20, down $0.10 from our previous (reduced) $0.30 estimate.Our FY24 annual estimate is now $1.82 (down from $2.00), below the midpoint of the $1.70-$2.00 management outlook.

MillerKnoll, Inc. - Refreshing Estimates and Presenting New Model

<div><div><div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><p>After the market close on 7/12/2023, Miller Knoll reported Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.41 (as adjusted), beating our estimate and consensus estimate, each at $0.39.</p></li><li><p>Additionally, revenues of $956.7MM (above the mid-point of the $930MM to $970MM guidance) beat our $936MM and consensus $942MM estimates. GAAP EPS was $0.00.</p></li><li><p>Guidance always merits significant investor attention. Management guided historically only to the current quarter.</p></li></ul></div></div></div></div>

After the market close on 7/12/2023, Miller Knoll reported Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.41 (as adjusted), beating our estimate and consensus estimate, each at $0.39.Additionally, revenues of $956.7MM (above the mid-point of the $930MM to $970MM guidance) beat our $936MM and consensus $942MM estimates. GAAP EPS was $0.00.Guidance always merits significant investor attention. Management guided historically only to the current quarter.

MillerKnoll, Inc. - 4Q23 Results Top Expectations

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The DJ30 closed above 40,000 for the first time ever.</li><li>Our Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (+2.3%) outperformed the broader market indexes (all three up +1.6%) and our Mass Retailers Index (+0.6%) last week.</li><li>Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers (-3.8%) and Home Goods Retailers (-2.8%) trailed.</li></ul>

The DJ30 closed above 40,000 for the first time ever.Our Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (+2.3%) outperformed the broader market indexes (all three up +1.6%) and our Mass Retailers Index (+0.6%) last week.Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers (-3.8%) and Home Goods Retailers (-2.8%) trailed.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - May 20, 2024

<ul><li>Residential furniture and home goods retailer issues performed well last week versus the market, while the Commercial/Contract Furniture stocks, by and large, tread water.</li><li>Our Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers index advanced 3.2%, outperforming the broader market indexes (up between 1.6 to 1.8%), while our Home Goods Retailers and Mass Retailers indexes each grew by 0.7%.</li><li>Only our Commercial/Contract Furniture Index lagged, down 0.3%.</li></ul>

Residential furniture and home goods retailer issues performed well last week versus the market, while the Commercial/Contract Furniture stocks, by and large, tread water.Our Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers index advanced 3.2%, outperforming the broader market indexes (up between 1.6 to 1.8%), while our Home Goods Retailers and Mass Retailers indexes each grew by 0.7%.Only our Commercial/Contract Furniture Index lagged, down 0.3%.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Weak Bedding, Furniture Demand

<ul><li><p>Furniture &amp; furnishings equity issues slumped in the final two weeks of 2023 and into the first week of 2024. The group had a positive year.</p></li><li><p>The commercial/contract furniture stocks gained 46%, beating all major broad market indices.</p></li><li><p>Steelcase led the sector with a ~91% gain for the year.</p></li></ul>

Furniture &amp; furnishings equity issues slumped in the final two weeks of 2023 and into the first week of 2024. The group had a positive year.The commercial/contract furniture stocks gained 46%, beating all major broad market indices.Steelcase led the sector with a ~91% gain for the year.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - WTR Furniture/Furnishings Conference Approaching

United States

MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, and distributes interior office furnishings, furniture systems, products, and services. The Company markets its products to companies, organizations, and individuals worldwide.

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MillerKnoll (MLKN US)

MillerKnoll, Inc. - Refreshing Estimates and Presenting New Model

Herein we revise and update MLKN estimates following MillerKnoll's FY23 earnings report and FY24 guidance.Our 1QFY24 diluted non-GAAP EPS estimate...

Water Tower Research

MillerKnoll, Inc. - 4Q23 Results Top Expectations

After the market close on 7/12/2023, Miller Knoll reported Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.41 (as adjusted), beating our estimate and consensus estimate,...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - May 20, 2024

Our Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (+2.3%) outperformed the broader market indexes (all three up +1.6%) and our Mass Retailers Index (+0.6%)...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Weak Bedding, Furniture Demand

Residential furniture and home goods retailer issues performed well last week versus the market, while the Commercial/Contract Furniture stocks, by...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - WTR Furniture/Furnishings Conference Approaching

Furniture & furnishings equity issues slumped in the final two weeks of 2023 and into the first week of 2024. The group had a positive year.

Water Tower Research

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