Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In a surprise, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo (9898 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> after the close of trading on 6 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$11.72bn (US$1.51bn). Passives need to buy 9x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> premium could drop due to the index inclusion providing an entry point into an AH expansion trade.</li>
</ul>


In a surprise, Midea Group (300 HK) will replace Weibo (9898 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) after the close of trading on 6 December.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$11.72bn (US$1.51bn). Passives need to buy 9x ADV in Midea Group (300 HK).
The Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) / Midea Group (300 HK) premium could drop due to the index inclusion providing an entry point into an AH expansion trade.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Midea (300 HK) Replaces Weibo (9898 HK); US$1.5bn Round-Trip Trade

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-international-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame International Holding (2533 HK)</a> will be added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) after the close on 6 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> is already in Southbound Stock Connect while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-international-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame International Holding (2533 HK)</a> will be added from the open on 9 December.</li>
<li>There is a huge lock-up expiry for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-international-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame International Holding (2533 HK)</a> in February while the lock-up for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> cornerstone investors ends in March.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group (300 HK) and Black Sesame International Holding (2533 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) after the close on 6 December.

Midea Group (300 HK) is already in Southbound Stock Connect while Black Sesame International Holding (2533 HK) will be added from the open on 9 December.
There is a huge lock-up expiry for Black Sesame International Holding (2533 HK) in February while the lock-up for Midea Group (300 HK) cornerstone investors ends in March.


HSCI Index Rebalance: Midea (300 HK) And Black Sesame (2533 HK) Added

<ul>
<li>There were only 13 new listings on the Main Board of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> in the third quarter of the year.</li>
<li>Of those stocks, we only see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> having a chance of being added to the HSCI in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> should be added to Southbound Stock Connect next week after the price stabilisation period has ended.</li>
</ul>


There were only 13 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the third quarter of the year.
Of those stocks, we only see Midea Group (300 HK) having a chance of being added to the HSCI in December.

Midea Group (300 HK) should be added to Southbound Stock Connect next week after the price stabilisation period has ended.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 100.8% as of Dec 20th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, information technology and offset by real estate, consumer staples, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 100.8% as of Dec 20th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, information technology and offset by real estate, consumer staples, industrials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 20th):BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng

China

Midea Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes home appliances. The Company produces water heaters, air conditioners, ventilation equipment, and consumer appliances. Midea Group also develops robotics and automation systems.

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Midea Group (300 HK)

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Midea (300 HK) Replaces Weibo (9898 HK); US$1.5bn Round-Trip Trade

Midea Group replaces Weibo in the HSTECH in Dec. Passives need to buy ~9% of the real float in Midea and that could lead to a drop in the AH...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance: Midea (300 HK) And Black Sesame (2533 HK) Added

Midea Group and Black Sesame will be added to the HSCI after the close on 6 December. Midea has also been added to the HSTECH Index. Black Sesame...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week

Midea Group should be added to the HSCI in Dec. Black Sesame could just miss being added. Midea could be added to Southbound Stock Connect next...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 20th):BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th and highlight short interest changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)