Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Intel's results last week beat expectations by a wide margin, with margins recovering better than expected by the Street and guided to keep improving through 4Q23E.</li>
<li>New Meteor Lake chips for PCs, branded as 'Intel Core Ultra' will officially launch December 14th and are expected to drive demand for new AI-optimized PCs in 2024E.</li>
<li>Intel said that the PC industry completed its inventory digestion in 1H23, drove sequential demand growth in 3Q23, and this is expected to continue into 4Q23E.</li>
</ul>


Intel's results last week beat expectations by a wide margin, with margins recovering better than expected by the Street and guided to keep improving through 4Q23E.
New Meteor Lake chips for PCs, branded as 'Intel Core Ultra' will officially launch December 14th and are expected to drive demand for new AI-optimized PCs in 2024E.
Intel said that the PC industry completed its inventory digestion in 1H23, drove sequential demand growth in 3Q23, and this is expected to continue into 4Q23E.


PC Monitor: Inventories Healthy & Intel Expects Over 100 Million AI PCs In Two Years

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Short duration US factor strategies outperformed in September as markets came under pressure (value and dividend yield).</li>
<li>Despite keeping rates unchanged on the 20th of September at 5.5% (upper bound), Fed Chair Powell indicated that rates would be kept higher for longer than initially anticipated.</li>
<li>In this note we explore the <em><strong>relative performance</strong></em> of US factor strategies through different interest rate cycles, to inform timing around factor/style rotation.</li>
</ul>


Short duration US factor strategies outperformed in September as markets came under pressure (value and dividend yield).
Despite keeping rates unchanged on the 20th of September at 5.5% (upper bound), Fed Chair Powell indicated that rates would be kept higher for longer than initially anticipated.
In this note we explore the relative performance of US factor strategies through different interest rate cycles, to inform timing around factor/style rotation.


US Factor Strategies: Value and Dividend Yield Outperform in September, Higher for Longer Narrative

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Super Seven are chiefly responsible for the rally in the S&amp;P 500. &gt;80% of the index gains this year were due in large part to the Super Seven.</li>
<li>Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, &amp; Tesla are referred to as Super Seven. S&amp;P is market-cap weighted. Little wonder that Super Seven have an outsized impact on it.</li>
<li>Having strongly priced in expectations, investors wait for the Super Seven to deliver. Falling short can result in sharp price pullback. What next for the Super Seven?</li>
</ul>


Super Seven are chiefly responsible for the rally in the S&amp;P 500. &gt;80% of the index gains this year were due in large part to the Super Seven.
Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, &amp; Tesla are referred to as Super Seven. S&amp;P is market-cap weighted. Little wonder that Super Seven have an outsized impact on it.
Having strongly priced in expectations, investors wait for the Super Seven to deliver. Falling short can result in sharp price pullback. What next for the Super Seven?


When Giants Run Out of Gas; Some Among Super Seven Are Losing Steam

<ul>
<li>Intel's latest results imply a potential bottoming of its business &amp; nascent turn-around; however the greater take-away is that the PC industry is heading into a major AI-driven up-cycle.</li>
<li>PC industry inventories are now "healthy" and Intel's Client Computing segment (PCs) showed the strongest QoQ revenue growth. Management is guiding for continued improvement next quarter.</li>
<li>Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide and Intel's new Meteor Lake chip could be a catalyst. Invest ahead of AI PCs having their "ChatGPT Moment".</li>
</ul>


Intel's latest results imply a potential bottoming of its business &amp; nascent turn-around; however the greater take-away is that the PC industry is heading into a major AI-driven up-cycle.
PC industry inventories are now "healthy" and Intel's Client Computing segment (PCs) showed the strongest QoQ revenue growth. Management is guiding for continued improvement next quarter.
Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide and Intel's new Meteor Lake chip could be a catalyst. Invest ahead of AI PCs having their "ChatGPT Moment".


Intel Results #1 Take-Away: Major Readthrough for PC Upgrade Cycle and Edge AI

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

Meta Platforms (Facebook) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009?</li><li>The number that got the highest votes was ~80% even though I mentioned the most recent number was ~68%.</li><li>I asked this question a couple of friends in real life too and they too picked the ~80% number.</li></ul>

During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009?The number that got the highest votes was ~80% even though I mentioned the most recent number was ~68%.I asked this question a couple of friends in real life too and they too picked the ~80% number.

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

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Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)

PC Monitor: Inventories Healthy & Intel Expects Over 100 Million AI PCs In Two Years

New Meteor Lake chips launching in December are anticipated to boost demand for AI-optimized PCs in 2024. The PC industry's inventory digestion is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

US Factor Strategies: Value and Dividend Yield Outperform in September, Higher for Longer Narrative

US rates and factor strategies: higher for longer likely to drive outperformance of short duration factor strategies, long US value short US growth.

DMA

When Giants Run Out of Gas; Some Among Super Seven Are Losing Steam

Super Seven drove >80% of the S&P 500's gains this year. Can the Super Seven continue to outperform the broader market? Lately, the Super Seven...

Mint Finance

Intel Results #1 Take-Away: Major Readthrough for PC Upgrade Cycle and Edge AI

Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide -- We recommend getting ahead of PC's having their "ChatGPT Moment".

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Meta's Moat

During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009? The number that got the highest votes...

MBI Deep Dives

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PC Monitor: Inventories Healthy & Intel Expects Over 100 Million AI PCs In Two Years

New Meteor Lake chips launching in December are anticipated to boost demand for AI-optimized PCs in 2024. The PC industry's inventory digestion is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

US Factor Strategies: Value and Dividend Yield Outperform in September, Higher for Longer Narrative

US rates and factor strategies: higher for longer likely to drive outperformance of short duration factor strategies, long US value short US growth.

DMA

When Giants Run Out of Gas; Some Among Super Seven Are Losing Steam

​Super Seven drove >80% of the S&P 500's gains this year. Can the Super Seven continue to outperform the broader market? Lately, the Super Seven...

Mint Finance

Intel Results #1 Take-Away: Major Readthrough for PC Upgrade Cycle and Edge AI

Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide -- We recommend getting ahead of PC's having their "ChatGPT Moment".

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Meta's Moat

During the weekend, I asked my twitter followers: What do you think Facebook's DAU to MAU ratio was in 2009? The number that got the highest votes...

MBI Deep Dives

Super Seven drove >80% of the S&P 500's gains this year. Can the Super Seven continue to outperform the broader market? Lately, the Super Seven...