HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>DRGs will become the main form of medical insurance payment, which will bring huge impact on all parties (hospitals, physicians, patients, companies) and fundamentally change the existing medical environment.</li>
<li>DRGs would force hospitals/doctors to cure patients within specified time and amount of cost, which would promote the improvement of technology with differentiated innovation that truly drives clinical benefits.</li>
<li>Overall, investors are advised to pay attention to related opportunities but also prepare for the potential risks in advance.</li>
</ul>


DRGs will become the main form of medical insurance payment, which will bring huge impact on all parties (hospitals, physicians, patients, companies) and fundamentally change the existing medical environment.
DRGs would force hospitals/doctors to cure patients within specified time and amount of cost, which would promote the improvement of technology with differentiated innovation that truly drives clinical benefits.
Overall, investors are advised to pay attention to related opportunities but also prepare for the potential risks in advance.


The Impact of DRGs Policy on China Medical System

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-medtech-hangzhou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28257:1" rel="noopener">Venus MedTech (2500 HK)</a> is facing competition in China TAVR market and its market share has deteriorated to 70% in 2021 from 79.3% in 2018.</li>
<li>Due to declining ASP and low pricing power, the company’s gross profit margin has declined to 78% in 2021 from 86% in 2018.</li>
<li>During 2021, the company’s loss expanded 103% y/y to RMB372 million, mainly due to elevated selling and distribution expenses and R&amp;D costs.</li>
</ul>



Venus MedTech (2500 HK) is facing competition in China TAVR market and its market share has deteriorated to 70% in 2021 from 79.3% in 2018.
Due to declining ASP and low pricing power, the company’s gross profit margin has declined to 78% in 2021 from 86% in 2018.
During 2021, the company’s loss expanded 103% y/y to RMB372 million, mainly due to elevated selling and distribution expenses and R&amp;D costs.


Venus MedTech (2500 HK): Overcrowded Market, Margin Pressure, Expanding Loss

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Orient Overseas International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.</li>
</ul>


Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 HSI INDEX constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.
We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

<ul>
<li>Laparoscopic surgical robots are one of the most important R&amp;D directions of surgical robots, which is the largest market segment and can be applied in a broad range of surgeries.</li>
<li>The launch of laparoscopic surgical robot from domestic companies with high cost performance would be very helpful to seize the markets with great potential in early stage of the industry.</li>
<li>The medical insurance coverage offers a viable way for the commercialization of surgical robots in China, which is important. The revenue/profits generated from disposables and services would be more attractive.</li>
</ul>


Laparoscopic surgical robots are one of the most important R&amp;D directions of surgical robots, which is the largest market segment and can be applied in a broad range of surgeries.
The launch of laparoscopic surgical robot from domestic companies with high cost performance would be very helpful to seize the markets with great potential in early stage of the industry.
The medical insurance coverage offers a viable way for the commercialization of surgical robots in China, which is important. The revenue/profits generated from disposables and services would be more attractive.


Industry Report – Insights on China Surgical Robots Industry

<ul>
<li>MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.</li>
<li>After continuous M&amp;A, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a> could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.</li>
<li>Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.</li>
</ul>


MicroPort’s net loss widened according to its profit warning. The negative impact of centralized procurement is already being shown. We analyzed the situation of its different business segments.
After continuous M&amp;A, Microport Scientific (853 HK) could face cash flow pressure in this unfriendly financing environment.
Due to MicroPort’s development mode, the market value of its subsidiaries could be higher than the parent company. Our view is that the subsidiaries would be a better investment.


Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

China

Microport Scientific Corp. manufactures interventional and minimally invasive devices for keyhole surgery. The Company's products are used to treat vascular diseases and is developing devices to treat diabetes and orthopedic diseases.

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Microport Scientific (853 HK)

The Impact of DRGs Policy on China Medical System

An important remaining piece of China healthcare reform is DRGs, which will fundamentally change the existing medical environment. Investors need...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Venus MedTech (2500 HK): Overcrowded Market, Margin Pressure, Expanding Loss

Despite shares plunged 82% from highs, Venus MedTech is not a bottom-fishing idea, as unfavorable competitive landscape in its operating market...

Tina Banerjee

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

There could be 5-6 inclusions to the HSI in June as part of the move to 80 members. We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index, and another...

Brian Freitas

Industry Report – Insights on China Surgical Robots Industry

We analyzed the China surgical robots industry in terms of market potential, policy support, laparoscopic surgical robots from domestic companies...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Microport Scientific (853.HK) - The Subsidiaries Would Be a Better Investment

We analyzed the centralized procurement and other concerns on MicroPort. Due to its development mode, the subsidiaries are more attractive and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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