HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai MicroPort MedBot Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>To achieve massive sales expansion, surgical robots and consumables have to reduce price largely to enter NRDL reimbursement. This is at odds with expectations that they will generate high profits.</li>
<li>The actual market share gained and revenue generated by Medbot may fall far short of expectations, resulting in an inability to cover years of rapid growth in R&amp;D/selling/administrative expenses.</li>
<li>Due to uncertainties on commercialization and profitability outlook, Medbot lacks an “anchor” for valuation.The large fluctuation in share price would continue. Surgical robots are not a good business for now.</li>
</ul>


To achieve massive sales expansion, surgical robots and consumables have to reduce price largely to enter NRDL reimbursement. This is at odds with expectations that they will generate high profits.
The actual market share gained and revenue generated by Medbot may fall far short of expectations, resulting in an inability to cover years of rapid growth in R&amp;D/selling/administrative expenses.
Due to uncertainties on commercialization and profitability outlook, Medbot lacks an “anchor” for valuation.The large fluctuation in share price would continue. Surgical robots are not a good business for now.


MicroPort MedBot (2252.HK)- Lack an “anchor” for Valuation Due to Uncertainties in Commercialization

<ul>
<li>Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>’s 2021 performance missed expectations. </li>
<li>Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.</li>
<li>Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.</li>
</ul>


Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, Microport Scientific (853 HK)’s 2021 performance missed expectations. 
Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.
Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.


Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The combination of FFR and IMR can provide a complete functional evaluation from epicardial arteries to myocardial microcirculation,pushing the precise diagnosis and treatment of coronary disease into a new era.</li>
<li>Rainmed’s caFFR System and caIMR System have obvious technical and first-mover advantages; The CE certificate also opens up the imagination space of product commercialization (such as developing markets).</li>
<li>However, the concerns on current sales model, market acceptance, medical insurance coverage, cash flow pressure and market sentiment when IPO should also not be neglected. </li>
</ul>


The combination of FFR and IMR can provide a complete functional evaluation from epicardial arteries to myocardial microcirculation,pushing the precise diagnosis and treatment of coronary disease into a new era.
Rainmed’s caFFR System and caIMR System have obvious technical and first-mover advantages; The CE certificate also opens up the imagination space of product commercialization (such as developing markets).
However, the concerns on current sales model, market acceptance, medical insurance coverage, cash flow pressure and market sentiment when IPO should also not be neglected. 


Pre-IPO Rainmed Medical - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

MicroPort NeuroTech / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The advantages of NeuroTech are mainly reflected in the comprehensive product portfolio and stable product performance, with higher gross margin, stronger cost control ability and first-mover advantage than its peers.</li>
<li>The major concerns here are the domestic shrinking market size due to the centralized procurement, the fierce market competition and the pain points on its sales model.</li>
<li>In terms of valuation, our view is that NeuroTech’s valuation could be higher than that of the peers such as Zylox-Tonbridge, HeartCare Medical, Peijia Medical and Sino Medical.</li>
</ul>


The advantages of NeuroTech are mainly reflected in the comprehensive product portfolio and stable product performance, with higher gross margin, stronger cost control ability and first-mover advantage than its peers.
The major concerns here are the domestic shrinking market size due to the centralized procurement, the fierce market competition and the pain points on its sales model.
In terms of valuation, our view is that NeuroTech’s valuation could be higher than that of the peers such as Zylox-Tonbridge, HeartCare Medical, Peijia Medical and Sino Medical.


Pre-IPO MicroPort NeuroTech - The Industry, the Business and the Concern

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>DRGs will become the main form of medical insurance payment, which will bring huge impact on all parties (hospitals, physicians, patients, companies) and fundamentally change the existing medical environment.</li>
<li>DRGs would force hospitals/doctors to cure patients within specified time and amount of cost, which would promote the improvement of technology with differentiated innovation that truly drives clinical benefits.</li>
<li>Overall, investors are advised to pay attention to related opportunities but also prepare for the potential risks in advance.</li>
</ul>


DRGs will become the main form of medical insurance payment, which will bring huge impact on all parties (hospitals, physicians, patients, companies) and fundamentally change the existing medical environment.
DRGs would force hospitals/doctors to cure patients within specified time and amount of cost, which would promote the improvement of technology with differentiated innovation that truly drives clinical benefits.
Overall, investors are advised to pay attention to related opportunities but also prepare for the potential risks in advance.


The Impact of DRGs Policy on China Medical System

China

Microport Scientific Corp. manufactures interventional and minimally invasive devices for keyhole surgery. The Company's products are used to treat vascular diseases and is developing devices to treat diabetes and orthopedic diseases.

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Microport Scientific (853 HK)

MicroPort MedBot (2252.HK)- Lack an “anchor” for Valuation Due to Uncertainties in Commercialization

Medbot lacks an “anchor” for valuation due to uncertainties on commercialization/profitability outlook. Surgical robots are not a good business for...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang