Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nanya Technology's recent results showed a margin and ASP decline that appears to have performed better than the industry average. </li>
<li>However, Nanya Technology may have traded off better pricing and margins for a continuation of high inventory levels. Nanya shares have underperformed Micron since our Mar 30th piece.</li>
<li>Nanya said it expects a marginal recovery for the DRAM market in the second half of 2023E. SK Hynix will be a next major data point, to report April 26th.</li>
</ul>


Nanya Technology's recent results showed a margin and ASP decline that appears to have performed better than the industry average. 
However, Nanya Technology may have traded off better pricing and margins for a continuation of high inventory levels. Nanya shares have underperformed Micron since our Mar 30th piece.
Nanya said it expects a marginal recovery for the DRAM market in the second half of 2023E. SK Hynix will be a next major data point, to report April 26th.


Memory Monitor: Nanya Technology Hopeful of 2H23E DRAM Recovery

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ASPs &amp; bit shipments decreased by high single digits percent QoQ</li>
<li>Anticipated recovery in H2 '23 will be slow &amp; gradual</li>
<li>The potential for inventory write-downs remains a headwind but March revenue MoM increase is a hopeful sign</li>
</ul>


ASPs &amp; bit shipments decreased by high single digits percent QoQ
Anticipated recovery in H2 '23 will be slow &amp; gradual
The potential for inventory write-downs remains a headwind but March revenue MoM increase is a hopeful sign


Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor revenues remain in a decline, although that decline has slowed.</li>
<li>Prices appear to have reached cost.  They should follow cost declines until a shortage returns.</li>
<li>The timing of the next shortage is still in question.</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor revenues remain in a decline, although that decline has slowed.
Prices appear to have reached cost.  They should follow cost declines until a shortage returns.
The timing of the next shortage is still in question.


<ul>
<li>Samsung's Q1 2023 operating profit has collapsed to 0.6 trillion Korean won (TKW), down from 4.31 TKW in Q2 2022 and 14.12 TWK in Q1 2022</li>
<li>A promise to "meaningfully lower" memory production sent competitor shares soaring, presumably in anticipation of a faster end to the current memory downturn.</li>
<li>The memory production cut report is elusive and vaguely attributed. We don't anticipate a return to meaningful profitability in the memory segment until Q1 2024. </li>
</ul>


Samsung's Q1 2023 operating profit has collapsed to 0.6 trillion Korean won (TKW), down from 4.31 TKW in Q2 2022 and 14.12 TWK in Q1 2022
A promise to "meaningfully lower" memory production sent competitor shares soaring, presumably in anticipation of a faster end to the current memory downturn.
The memory production cut report is elusive and vaguely attributed. We don't anticipate a return to meaningful profitability in the memory segment until Q1 2024. 


Samsung Q1 2023 Profit Collapse Triggers Memory Production Cut Promise In Regulatory Filing

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung announced that it would reduce memory chip production in light of crashing profits, this is after the company had previously said it would not reduce production. Memory names rallied.</li>
<li>Hon Hai announced a $820m investment plan for EV manufacturing in southern Taiwan.</li>
<li>Japan's semiconductor manufacturing equipment export restrictions targeting China will take effect starting in July.</li>
</ul>


Samsung announced that it would reduce memory chip production in light of crashing profits, this is after the company had previously said it would not reduce production. Memory names rallied.
Hon Hai announced a $820m investment plan for EV manufacturing in southern Taiwan.
Japan's semiconductor manufacturing equipment export restrictions targeting China will take effect starting in July.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Finally Announces Chip Production Cuts; Hon Hai's New EV Factory

United States

Micron Technology, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets dynamic random access memory chips (DRAMs), very fast static random access memory chips (SRAMs), Flash Memory, other semiconductor components, and memory modules.

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Micron Technology (MU US)

Memory Monitor: Nanya Technology Hopeful of 2H23E DRAM Recovery

Nanya Technology may have traded off better pricing and margins for a continuation of high inventory levels. Nanya shares have underperformed...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nanya Q1 2023 Revenue Declines 19.2% QoQ

ASPs & bit shipments decreased by high single digits % QoQ. Anticipated recovery in H2 '23 will be slow & gradual. March revenue MoM increase is a...

William Keating

No Signs of a Chip Recovery

Has the chip downturn ended? No. Is there any sign that it's going to end soon? Again, no. This Insight provides concrete data points to...

Jim Handy

Samsung Q1 2023 Profit Collapse Triggers Memory Production Cut Promise In Regulatory Filing

Samsung's Q1 2023 operating profit collapsed to 0.6 TKW, down from 4.31 TKW in Q2 22 and 14.12 TWK in Q1 22. Don't anticipate a return to...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Finally Announces Chip Production Cuts; Hon Hai's New EV Factory

Samsung reversed its production capacity strategy after suffering losses. Also, Japan's semiconductor manufacturing equipment export restrictions...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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