Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The year 2023 began with a significant downturn in the semiconductor market.</li><li>Significant capacity additions were brought on after the historic shortages due to COVID-19, and then demand wobbled as interest rates quickly rose.</li><li>Supply outpaced demand, and the market turned into a period of oversupply.</li></ul>

The year 2023 began with a significant downturn in the semiconductor market.Significant capacity additions were brought on after the historic shortages due to COVID-19, and then demand wobbled as interest rates quickly rose.Supply outpaced demand, and the market turned into a period of oversupply.

Semiconductor Outlook 2024: AI's Adolescence

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector</li>
<li>Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months</li>
<li>Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle</li>
</ul>


There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector
Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months
Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle


<ul>
<li>China is considering banning gallium and germanium shipments to the US</li>
<li>Semiconductors consume well under 20% of world gallium production, and an almost immeasurably small amount of germanium</li>
<li>Very little of the consumption is in the US, indicating that the impact of a boycott should be very small</li>
</ul>


China is considering banning gallium and germanium shipments to the US
Semiconductors consume well under 20% of world gallium production, and an almost immeasurably small amount of germanium
Very little of the consumption is in the US, indicating that the impact of a boycott should be very small


Is China's Boycott of Germanium Gallium to the US Meaningful?

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

<ul>
<li>The worlds #1 producer of automotive MCUs has already launched a series of RISC-V solutions which replace Arm as the core ISA </li>
<li>A leading US semiconductor manufacturer has designed an FPGA based on RISC-V which has been chosen by NASA for use in the International Space Station</li>
<li>RISC-V has the potential to be seriously disruptive in the Automotive &amp; FPGA segments, and that's just for starters.</li>
</ul>


The worlds #1 producer of automotive MCUs has already launched a series of RISC-V solutions which replace Arm as the core ISA 
A leading US semiconductor manufacturer has designed an FPGA based on RISC-V which has been chosen by NASA for use in the International Space Station
RISC-V has the potential to be seriously disruptive in the Automotive &amp; FPGA segments, and that's just for starters.


RISC-V. Two Blue-Chip Names Betting Big On A Bright Future For The Upstart ISA

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WSTS is revising up Semiconductor demand for 2024 and 2025, AI demand higher than expected. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues are still booming, impressive numbers.</li>
<li>Samsung and SK Hynix expediting new LPDDR “In Memory Processing” for Nvidia in 2026. TSMC forecast AI demand 3x increase to 2026.</li>
<li>Intel 18A low yield and low density brings new light on management reshuffle. TSMC N2 is ~20% ahead. Apple trying its own 5G modem, again.</li>
</ul>


WSTS is revising up Semiconductor demand for 2024 and 2025, AI demand higher than expected. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues are still booming, impressive numbers.
Samsung and SK Hynix expediting new LPDDR “In Memory Processing” for Nvidia in 2026. TSMC forecast AI demand 3x increase to 2026.
Intel 18A low yield and low density brings new light on management reshuffle. TSMC N2 is ~20% ahead. Apple trying its own 5G modem, again.


Tech News: Semi Revised Up, TSMC CoWoS up 3x, Hynix Speeding up for Nvidia, Intel 18A Behind TSMC N2

United States

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

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Microchip Technology (MCHP US)

Semiconductor Outlook 2024: AI's Adolescence

Its time to jog your memory. We've gone through the downturn, what does an upturn look like? The year 2023 began with a significant downturn in the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Is China's Boycott of Germanium Gallium to the US Meaningful?

Although China has threatened to boycott shipments of germanium and gallium to the US, the impact of such a move is likely to be very small. This...

Jim Handy

RISC-V. Two Blue-Chip Names Betting Big On A Bright Future For The Upstart ISA

RISC-V has the potential to be seriously disruptive in the Automotive & FPGA segments, and that's just for starters. The floodgates are beginning...

William Keating

Tech News: Semi Revised Up, TSMC CoWoS up 3x, Hynix Speeding up for Nvidia, Intel 18A Behind TSMC N2

Semi revised up for 2024 and 2025, with AI demand exceeding expectations. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues continue to soar. Samsung, Hynix, TSMC...

Nicolas Baratte

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Semiconductor Outlook 2024: AI's Adolescence

Its time to jog your memory. We've gone through the downturn, what does an upturn look like? The year 2023 began with a significant downturn in the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

​The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Is China's Boycott of Germanium Gallium to the US Meaningful?

Although China has threatened to boycott shipments of germanium and gallium to the US, the impact of such a move is likely to be very small. This...

Jim Handy

RISC-V. Two Blue-Chip Names Betting Big On A Bright Future For The Upstart ISA

RISC-V has the potential to be seriously disruptive in the Automotive & FPGA segments, and that's just for starters. The floodgates are beginning...

William Keating

Tech News: Semi Revised Up, TSMC CoWoS up 3x, Hynix Speeding up for Nvidia, Intel 18A Behind TSMC N2

​Semi revised up for 2024 and 2025, with AI demand exceeding expectations. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues continue to soar. Samsung, Hynix, TSMC...

Nicolas Baratte

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Semi revised up for 2024 and 2025, with AI demand exceeding expectations. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues continue to soar. Samsung, Hynix, TSMC...