Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Earnings season wrapping up -- Hon Hai &amp; Asustek recently reported... Some AI names rallied hard but our Nvidia L/S trade still working</li>
<li>Hon Hai’s margin expansion story is finally starting to be realized. Stock's perceived political risk could be an opportunity.</li>
<li>How Asustek plans to take the lead globally in AI PCs; Gaming PCs will be the first key battleground. MSI could be an interesting play on Asustek's recent strong performance.</li>
</ul>


Earnings season wrapping up -- Hon Hai &amp; Asustek recently reported... Some AI names rallied hard but our Nvidia L/S trade still working
Hon Hai’s margin expansion story is finally starting to be realized. Stock's perceived political risk could be an opportunity.
How Asustek plans to take the lead globally in AI PCs; Gaming PCs will be the first key battleground. MSI could be an interesting play on Asustek's recent strong performance.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Names Rally But Nvidia Long/Short Still Working; Hon Hai & Asustek Take-Aways

<ul>
<li>Key Results This Week: Delta, Elan, ChipMOS, Nuvoton, AU Optronics in Taiwan... Plus Samsung, AMD, and Qualcomm.</li>
<li>Positive signs for the PC &amp; mobile space have come from recent Intel, UMC, Mediatek results.</li>
<li>Top Losers: Macronix Slumps on Weak Results and Outlook, Hon Hai Slumps on China Tax &amp; Land Probe</li>
</ul>


Key Results This Week: Delta, Elan, ChipMOS, Nuvoton, AU Optronics in Taiwan... Plus Samsung, AMD, and Qualcomm.
Positive signs for the PC &amp; mobile space have come from recent Intel, UMC, Mediatek results.
Top Losers: Macronix Slumps on Weak Results and Outlook, Hon Hai Slumps on China Tax &amp; Land Probe


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Key Taiwan Results; Heavyweights Samsung, AMD, Qualcomm Internationally

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of high dividend yield stocks within emerging markets.</li>
<li>The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~37% and in a one-way trade of US$926m. There are 92 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>In Asia, the largest buy flows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> and the largest sell flows on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">POSCO Holdings (005490 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of high dividend yield stocks within emerging markets.
The October rebalance will result in a one-way turnover of ~37% and in a one-way trade of US$926m. There are 92 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.
In Asia, the largest buy flows are expected on Astra International (ASII IJ) and the largest sell flows on POSCO Holdings (005490 KS). 


WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Trade Next Week

<ul>
<li>Samsung Electronics and Nanya Technology will report their results this week. Samsung could reportedly increase NAND prices this month, giving a potential hint to the memory outlook they will provide.</li>
<li>Hon Hai will begin mass production of its Model C electric car in 4Q23E in Taiwan. This will provide a proof point for Hon Hai's global EV platform business model.</li>
<li>Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Electronics and Nanya Technology will report their results this week. Samsung could reportedly increase NAND prices this month, giving a potential hint to the memory outlook they will provide.
Hon Hai will begin mass production of its Model C electric car in 4Q23E in Taiwan. This will provide a proof point for Hon Hai's global EV platform business model.
Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung & Nanya Earnings; AI Names Rebound Again

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD318.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD776mln and highlight foreign changes in Gigabyte, Hon Hai, Novatek, Quanta, Asia Vital.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD318.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD776mln and highlight foreign changes in Gigabyte, Hon Hai, Novatek, Quanta, Asia Vital.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 29th): Gigabyte, Hon Hai, Novatek, Quanta, Asia Vital

Taiwan

Micro-Star International Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets motherboards and video graphic accelerate (VGA) cards.  The Company exports its products to Europe, North America, and other Asian countries.

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Micro Star International (2377 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Names Rally But Nvidia Long/Short Still Working; Hon Hai & Asustek Take-Aways

Also how Asustek plans to take the lead globally in AI PCs; Gaming PCs will be the first key battleground. MSI could be an interesting play on...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Key Taiwan Results; Heavyweights Samsung, AMD, Qualcomm Internationally

This week's key results in Taiwan include Delta, Elan, ChipMOS, Nuvoton, and AU Optronics. Positive signs for the PC and mobile space have been...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover & Trade Next Week

There are 265 adds/215 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Index. One-way turnover is 37% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung & Nanya Earnings; AI Names Rebound Again

Top gainers recently have included rebounding AI names -- One can consider using the bounce to find AI shorts to pair against an Nvidia long.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 29th): Gigabyte, Hon Hai, Novatek, Quanta, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlight foreign holding changes in Gigabyte, Hon Hai, Novatek, Quanta, Asia Vital.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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