Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.</li>
<li>We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.</li>
<li>Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.</li>
</ul>


We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.
We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.
Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.


Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While the earnings season continues, this will be the final dedicated earnings edition.</li>
<li>For reference, the previous earnings editions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/week-8-namaste-india-earnings-edition-part-i" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:115688" rel="noopener">[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/week-9-namaste-india-earnings-edition-part-ii" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116224" rel="noopener">[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II</a> </li>
<li>At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings (~ 50) tracked so far and we would be happy to engage in discussions on any of them.</li>
</ul>


While the earnings season continues, this will be the final dedicated earnings edition.
For reference, the previous earnings editions are [Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I &amp; [Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II 
At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings (~ 50) tracked so far and we would be happy to engage in discussions on any of them.


[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

<ul>
<li>Our earnings coverage continues for the second edition and is expected to continue for one more week.</li>
<li>At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far (Bullish / Bearish) and would be happy to engage on any of them.</li>
<li>We also highlight the earnings of some of the global companies that have significant operations or growth in India.</li>
</ul>


Our earnings coverage continues for the second edition and is expected to continue for one more week.
At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far (Bullish / Bearish) and would be happy to engage on any of them.
We also highlight the earnings of some of the global companies that have significant operations or growth in India.


[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans), maintaining its robust asset quality alongside a healthy PCR (~83%)</li><li>Loan growth was driven by healthy deposit growth (+19% YoY), largely retail TDs as the CASA ratio eased to 40.8% (-222bps QoQ), resulting in a 22-bps QoQ spike in the cost of deposits</li><li>With limited yield reflation despite improving retail mix, NIMs softened by 25bps QoQ to 4.53% and are likely to trend further lower</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans), maintaining its robust asset quality alongside a healthy PCR (~83%)Loan growth was driven by healthy deposit growth (+19% YoY), largely retail TDs as the CASA ratio eased to 40.8% (-222bps QoQ), resulting in a 22-bps QoQ spike in the cost of depositsWith limited yield reflation despite improving retail mix, NIMs softened by 25bps QoQ to 4.53% and are likely to trend further lowerContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands, CreditAccess Grameen

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

India

Metro Brands Limited designs and manufactures footwear. The Company offers men's and women's footwear, footcare products, and related accessories. Metro Brands serves customers in India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Metro Brands (METROBRA IN)

Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

There is significant evidence that global equities $ACWI have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. It all started when we discussed that the...

Vermilion Research

[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands, CreditAccess Grameen

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

There is significant evidence that global equities $ACWI have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. It all started when we discussed that the...

Vermilion Research

[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

​This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

​Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands, CreditAccess Grameen

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Metro Brands

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) clocked another steady quarter on the back of consistent loan growth (+18% YoY) and lower credit costs (23bps of loans)

HDFC Securities

This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...