Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In aggregate, Big Tech was worth $1.1 Tn at the end of 2012.</li><li>Over the last ten years (2013-2022), Big Tech collectively generated $2.3 Tn Operating Cash Flow (OCF), slightly more than double their aggregate market cap ten years ago!</li><li>To say it differently, Big Tech was a form of deep value investing that was deeply underappreciated even though they are all widely followed companies at that time!</li></ul>

In aggregate, Big Tech was worth $1.1 Tn at the end of 2012.Over the last ten years (2013-2022), Big Tech collectively generated $2.3 Tn Operating Cash Flow (OCF), slightly more than double their aggregate market cap ten years ago!To say it differently, Big Tech was a form of deep value investing that was deeply underappreciated even though they are all widely followed companies at that time!

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>The current market expectation of 800G transceivers shipment to reach 12mn in 2024 seems too optimistic.</li><li>Optical transceiver manufacturers are in the spotlight this year. As key beneficiaries of Generative AI enthusiasm, Innolight/Eoptolink grew 354.6%/200.2% YTD.</li><li>Admittedly, the surging demand for Nvidia (Not Rated) GPU will bring increasing orders for 800G transceivers in 2023/24. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The current market expectation of 800G transceivers shipment to reach 12mn in 2024 seems too optimistic.Optical transceiver manufacturers are in the spotlight this year. As key beneficiaries of Generative AI enthusiasm, Innolight/Eoptolink grew 354.6%/200.2% YTD.Admittedly, the surging demand for Nvidia (Not Rated) GPU will bring increasing orders for 800G transceivers in 2023/24. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hardware – Investors Expect Spectacular Results in the AI Infrastructure Arms Race

Managing Partner, VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Managing Partner

Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS) is a boutique financial advisor with more than 17 years of experience in Corporate Valuation and Finance, and a diversified client base including some of the largest Companies in Greece.

Since 2002, VRS has completed more than 200 engagements in the areas of business valuation and financial analysis for more than 100 clients in a wide range of industries.

VRS has been honored to work with small and large private and publicly traded companies in Europe and overseas.

Boutique Financial Advisor

<ul><li>The re-emergence of AI as a topic of hype, caution and investment contains, in equal parts, the re-discovery of a pre-existing technology, but now on steroids, plus all the excitement of the race among the top 5 techs to invest enough in order to dominate the field .</li><li>The 2000 Dot.com boom involved hundreds of IPOs of start-ups, all with the word “internet” in their names, except now the AI boom involves mostly buying up existing startups by the big Techs.</li><li>The re emergence of AI will undoubtedly change a lot of the ways in which data are used and monetized, it will make Google search far more client-friendly and it will step up the capacity of software to program themselves. </li></ul>

The re-emergence of AI as a topic of hype, caution and investment contains, in equal parts, the re-discovery of a pre-existing technology, but now on steroids, plus all the excitement of the race among the top 5 techs to invest enough in order to dominate the field .The 2000 Dot.com boom involved hundreds of IPOs of start-ups, all with the word “internet” in their names, except now the AI boom involves mostly buying up existing startups by the big Techs.The re emergence of AI will undoubtedly change a lot of the ways in which data are used and monetized, it will make Google search far more client-friendly and it will step up the capacity of software to program themselves. 

The “ AI Revolution” : A Cautionary Tale and Its Investment Consequences

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Joko Widodo /: Interview with Indonesian President Joko Widodo: A unifying ‘outsider’</li>
<li>IPO /: China’s first U.S. IPO under new listing rules moves a step closer</li>
<li>Economy /: Half of China’s provinces fall behind the national economy</li>
</ul>


Joko Widodo /: Interview with Indonesian President Joko Widodo: A unifying ‘outsider’
IPO /: China’s first U.S. IPO under new listing rules moves a step closer
Economy /: Half of China’s provinces fall behind the national economy


CX Daily: Interview With Indonesian President Joko Widodo: A Unifying ‘Outsider’

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

Equity Bottom-Up

Meta Platforms (Facebook) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite the positives, we are worried about a potential nominal earnings decline and its effect on Meta's price multiples.</li>
<li>The company's second quarter financial results communicate robust growth.</li>
<li>However, risks remain, and we are concerned about the potential nominal Earnings decline and the effect onMeta's priceMultiples.</li>
</ul>


Despite the positives, we are worried about a potential nominal earnings decline and its effect on Meta's price multiples.
The company's second quarter financial results communicate robust growth.
However, risks remain, and we are concerned about the potential nominal Earnings decline and the effect onMeta's priceMultiples.


Meta: Making Sense Of Its Q2 Highs And Lows

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)

The Curious Case of Big Tech

Over the last ten years (2013-2022), Big Tech collectively generated $2.3 Tn Operating Cash Flow (OCF), slightly more than double their aggregate...

MBI Deep Dives

Hardware – Investors Expect Spectacular Results in the AI Infrastructure Arms Race

Optical transceiver manufacturers are in the spotlight this year. As key beneficiaries of Generative AI enthusiasm, Innolight/Eoptolink grew 354.6%...

CMB International

The “ AI Revolution” : A Cautionary Tale and Its Investment Consequences

The re-emergence of AI as a topic of hype, caution and investment contains, in equal parts, the re-discovery of a pre-existing technology, but now...

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

CX Daily: Interview With Indonesian President Joko Widodo: A Unifying ‘Outsider’

Joko Widodo /: Interview with Indonesian President Joko Widodo: A unifying ‘outsider’ IPO /: China’s first U.S. IPO under new listing rules moves...

Caixin Global

Meta: Making Sense Of Its Q2 Highs And Lows

Despite the positives, we are worried about a potential nominal earnings decline and its effect on Meta's price multiples.

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

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